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Showing posts with label Lilkian. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lilkian. Show all posts

Wednesday, 5 July 2023

8:45 Kempton Racing Tips (6th July)

KEMPTON 8.45 

6F Class 5 12-Runners I can see 5 known front running types in this sprint and as my top 3 ratings are amongst that quintet this race should be won from the front unless they cut each others throats in trying to lead and tire badly nearing the finish. Profit Given finished 2nd on its only run over this distance but that was a slow run affair and may get outpaced here plus its drawn between 2 other fast starters so might get squeezed out in the early stages, Gnat Alley and Mumayaz both race as though further would suit them but they could enter calculations if the leaders go off too fast but i still think there would be others with better credentials if there was a manic early pace to the race. Oriental Spirit is my 4th top rated but hasn't been in good form recently but if bouncing back to form it could be the one to prosper if the leaders fade badly, Pablo Del Pueblo in stall 7 is my 3rd top rated but with 3 fast starters drawn in stalls four, five and six it could be taken wide and that could scupper its chances. Sir Rodneyredblood has got the worst of the draw out in stall 12 which might ensure that this one doesn't win this race plus its 26 runners and 70 days since the stable last tasted success, my money will be riding on LILKIAN 5/1 who from stall 4 could gain control of the rails and be first into the home straight and kick on and control the race from the front, the stable is in good form with 3 winners from 11 runners in the last 2 weeks.

Lilkian 5/1 1st +5pts

Total on the day +5pts

Tuesday, 28 February 2023

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (1st March)

LINGFIELD 3.00 

A class 6 sprint with 2 known front running types in Pablo Del Pueblo 11/2 and Expert Opinion who is my 3rd top rated so it should be a true run race and this one could do enough to make the frame and if allowed an easy lead could prove very hard to catch, I think Beauzon needs to improve a bit time wise but is officially the best horse in this race so this might rejuvenate it but I will as always stick with the proven. Big Bard is my 4th top rated and only 1lb below the 3rd top pot while Big Time Maybe is 1lb higher than the 3rd top rated so its very close between these 3 horses but I do have LILKIAN 8/1 rated a few spots higher and a reproduction of its best rating recorded over this course and distance in 2022 would see it win with a bit in hand. 

Lilkian 9/1 1st +9pts

Total +9pts

KEMPTON 8.30 

Again in this class 6 stakes race there's 2 known front running types so again it should be a true run race, Paddy K 7/2 is forecast to be at the fore of the betting but it needs to improve a few spots on its best Tapeta rating from Southwell but this is its first run on the Polytrack surface so could possibly improve but I will as usual stick with the proven. Lothian comes out 4th best on my figures while Elisheva comes out in 3rd top spot but this ones best rating came on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle so this one also needs to improve a few spots for the switch to this surface to win this race so I wouldn't put you off backing this one if you think it will excel on this surface, Jumira Bridge is my actual top rated using a 2022 rating but seems to be getting slower each year so in this race I will back my 2nd top rated front running horse in the shape of MAY REMAIN 5/1 who is only 2lbs below my top rated and being in stall 2 it could gain control of the rails and lead from start to finish.

May Remain 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +8pts

Wednesday, 4 January 2023

3:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.45 

A field of 8 for this class 5 dash where 5 of the runners have been known to lead before so it should be fast and furious for this class of race. Frisky 8/1 only produced a very low rating on its only run on an artificial surface and would need to improve a couple of pounds on its best turf rating to win this race and might need this run for fitness after 4 months off. Motawaazy 7/2 might prefer a longer distance so could get outpaced early in the race before staying on at the finish, Ooh Is It is 2nd best using Southwell times but drops to 4th using course and distance ratings. Ornate is 3rd best on Southwell ratings and joint top rated on course and distance rating but has the worst of the draw in stall 8 which could be its downfall in this race so I will be backing the other joint top rated in the shape of KIM WEXLER 3/1 who is another fast starter and if getting to the front should prove too hard to catch as its also my top rated using Southwell ratings. 

Kim Wexller 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

Another race with 8 runners also another class 5 race but this one if for apprentice jockeys where they can carry their whips but are not allowed to use them, so its not just a case of analysing the race its also trying to work out if they can win without being urged by the jockeys whip (I will admit here that I haven't got a clue) the 2 known front running sorts, Magical Max and Winnetka, will both have to improve time wise to win this race, but I have a feeling that other jockeys will be given similar instructions to either lead or at least get a good prominent position so it could be a free for all in the early stages. I don't think Porfin 11/4 really stays the distance if there's a fast early pace so might be worth opposing here especially if its the favourite, Show Me A Sunset 15/2 might also struggle to stay with a fast early pace. My money will be riding on LILKIAN 7/1 as it usually races in midfield so wont be as keen as others to get a good prominent early position and from stall 8 it could slot in anywhere but my stake will be kept low because of the no whips rule. 

Lilkian 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

Typically there's a full house for this lowly class 6 stakes sprint where the highest rated horse on the official handicappers list is rated 50. The early pace could be set by Viewfromthestars 8/1 but it would need to improve a few spots to hold on even to make the frame, Tahonta 7/2 may need further as might Privilege, while Maybe Tonight 15/2 looks better over a shorter distance so I would look to lay one or more if they are single figure prices. Company Minx is my 5th top rated but there is only 4lbs between 5th and 2nd top rated, Jumira Bridge is my 4th top rated with Iesha and Delegate The Lady in joint 2nd top spot. My money will be riding on SHAMSHON 7/1 who started out as joint top rated but its apprentices 5lb claim moves it top spot and it has decent trainer/jockey stats with the stables older horses.

Shamshon 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Viewfromthestars +1pt, Maybe Tonight +1pt, Tahonta +1pt 

Total +2pts

Total on the day 0pts

Wednesday, 21 December 2022

3:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (22nd December)

LINGFIELD 3.20 

A field of 9 for this class 5 sprint where I think the early pace will be set by Swiss Pride 7/2 who is my joint 3rd top rated and finished 2nd last time out and might have to be satisfied with a place again here but it could be very close near the finish but at the weights LILKIAN 6/1 should reverse the form, this one may have finished 5th that day but it was less than 2 lengths behind. My 2nd top rated horse is Daphne May who will be staying on at the finish and could make the frame. I might look to lay Shalaa Asker 15/2 and I'm Mable 14/1 if they are value to lay as they can both struggle to stay the distance when there's a fast early gallop. 

Lilkian 6/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Shalaa Asker +1pt

Total 0pts 

SOUTHWELL 5.00 

A full house of 14 runners for this class 6 dash on this straight 5 furlong course but I can only see a couple of horses that like to front run, Procivity 33/1 is one of them but has shown very little worthwhile form so I can see Pepper Streak 7/1 who is my 3rd top rated using a rating recorded on the Polytrack surface at Lingfield setting the pace and it could do enough from the front to make the frame if it takes to this Tapeta surface. The top weight Sir Gregory 6/1 has never won over this distance and may get outpaced in the early stages before trying to stay on at the finish, its not in my top 4 ratings so could struggle and I will look to lay it. Tantastic is my 4th top rated and can be held up for a late run or it can track the leaders, sitting in 2nd top spot is Basholo 20/1 in stall 10 which might not be ideal as I think those drawn middle to low have a slight advantage but at the price might be worth a small each way punt. My money will be riding on MARWARI 7/2 who is my top rated on Tapeta ratings from elsewhere and top on just course and distance ratings, the 7lb claiming apprentice is having their 1st ride for the stable and their claim could swings even further into its favour while the trainer has a 32% win ratio at this course with their older horses I'm not a fan of backing favourites and i thought this race would have been five to one the field.

Marwari 7/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sir Gregory +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day 0pts


Friday, 16 December 2022

1:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (17th December)

LINGFIELD 1.15 

A class 5 dash with 10 runners with half the field having been known to lead, I have eliminated 4 runners as having virtually no chance of winning but only Bethersden Boy looks likely to be of value to lay. Of the front running types Yimou 9/2 hasn't any form over this course and distance and would need to improve on its best Chelmsford rating to win this race but does have the best of the draw in stall 2, Corinthia Knight has been in poor form lately and The Defiant is my 4th top rated but stall 9 doesn't look good for it in the make-up of this race. PEPPER STREAK 8/1 my joint 2nd top rated has stall 5 so is a possible pacesetter and being a 3yo could still improve and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but its been over a 100 days since the stable last had a winner and the jockey is 0-15 when riding for the stable, MICK'S SPIRIT 6/1 is my other joint 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, it has good trainer/jockey stats, LILKIAN 4/1 is only top rated when taking off the apprentice jockeys 7lb allowance and in this race stall 1 might not be ideal if the leaders come across and in front of it. I will back all 3 to varying degrees with Micks Spirit being my biggest bet, then Lilkian as my 2nd best bet and Pepper Streak as my smallest bet. 

Abandoned due to weather

LINGFIELD 1.50

A class 6 sprint with 12 runners and no natural front running type amongst them although both Dazzerling 8/1 and Pollinate have done so when nothing else wants to lead but I think this distance might be too far for the former so could be worth laying, both would need to improve time wise. Admirable Lad, Perfect Symphony and Tawanafoq are my 5th, 4th and 3rd top rated and there's only 3lbs between them, If Lothian can produce its best Chelmsford rating at this course it comes out in 2nd top spot but I will be relying on REAL ESTATE 7/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish so I'm hoping this one is an each way price. 

Abandoned due to weather

CHELMSFORD 3.15 

A class 6 sprint with a full house of 14 runners and a couple of front running types, I will look to lay Breezyandbright 10/1 if its a single figure price near the off, as it looks a better prospect over a shorter distance, Amazing Amaya 7/1 seems better on the Tapeta surface and might also be of value to lay, Elegant Ellen 9/2 is still a maiden after 15 runs and might have been flattered when 3rd in a slow run race so could be added to my list of lays. Company Minx is my 3rd top rated and has the best of the draw in stall 1 but has been held up for a run most often in its previous runs, Shamshon can struggle to stay this distance if there's a really fast early pace but still comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings and this race could be run to suit it. Viewfromthestars is one of the known front running types but would need to improve a good few spots time wise but the other front running type is DELEGATE THE LADY 12/1 (EW) who is drawn widest of all but it might not be too much of a hindrance with very little other early paced types in this field, yes it hasn't been in good form lately but has been known to spring back to form without prior warning and if getting to the front here could be hard to catch and has to be an each way punt at a double figure price.

Abandoned due to weather

Friday, 4 November 2022

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (5th November)

6.00 Chelmsford

A class 5 race with just 8 runners and I hope they all take part, Harb 6/4 looks too short in price as it needs to improve a few spots to win this race if others run to their best but it does inflate the prices for other horses. the two 3yo's Reversion and Pandemic Princess both need to improve on what they have shown so far and I certainly couldn't lay the latter. There's 3 horses Harb stall 8, La Roca Del Fuego stall 4 and Mount Mogan stall 1, that have been known to lead but it might set the race up for something coming from off the pace. Inevitable is a hold up type but would need to improve a little time wise to win this race but its an outsider. Muscika 5/1 has a time from last year that would give it a chance of winning this race but hasn't shown any worthwhile recent form the value call for this race looks to be LILKIAN 12/1 (EW) who can race in midfield or track the leaders and with the make-up of this race it ought to be able to get a good position on the rails from which to launch its attack nearing the finish and the trainer has a decent 18% win ratio at this course and at the price it has to be backed each way. 

Lilkian 12/1 3rd +1.4pts

Total on the day +1.4pts

Sunday, 5 June 2022

3:38 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th June)

LINGFIELD 3.38 

LILKIAN comes out on top on my figures and the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim will help its cause as he has a 60% strike rate on the stables older horses and the trainer has a 33% strike rate with their older horses here.

TYGER BAY is usually held up for a late run and comes out in third top spot and may not be able to catch those ahead of it in this race. 

WISEACRE is making its handicap debut so if the stable have been trying to get a low rating which they can exploit when it goes handicapping so it could be dangerous in this race.

ALGHEED is the only “known” front runner in the race but even if it does lead I don't expect it to be there when they reach the finishing line. As it has quite a few spots to find time wise to win here. 

MOBARHIN is usually tracking the leaders and then stays on at the finish and as its my 2nd top rated horse it could go well and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

SUMMARY: If as I expect Alghhed sets the pace it will ensure that it is a true run race, I doubt it will win the race but I'm not confident enough to lay it, Wiseacre is the tricky one in the race making its handicap debut but again I couldn't lay it with any confidence but also couldn't back it, Mobarhin is my 2nd top rated and I might have a covering bet on this horse as trainer/jockey stats make me thing connections think it can win but I think the connections of LILKIAN 11/4 are also expecting to win and is my top rated and will be carrying my money. 

Lilkian 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.48 

DUKE OF FIRENZE can either track the leaders or run in midfield but time wise it needs to improve a good few spots to win this race but expect it will be an outsider. 

TRIBUTO this one also needs to improve time wise to win this race but that's because this one races as though a longer distance would suit it better. 

HEY HO LET'S GO has good trainer and jockey stats and usually likes to track the leaders and the apprentice jockeys 3lb claim could sway things its way. 

MORTY likes to be covered up in midfield and then stay on strongly at the finish but would need to improve time wise to even make the frame so not for me. 

WINGS OF A DOVE is one of two known front running types in this race and being my third top rated horse it could go well from the front and could make the frame and if given an easy lead it could be dangerous. 

STORM MELODY is my top rated but only just, it likes to track the leaders but hasn't been in the best of form recently, if reproducing its best could get back to winning ways. 

EQUALLY FAST is the other known front running type in the race but time wise it would need to improve to win this race but its best was recorded here so that's a bonus. 

HARBOUR STORM this horse hasn't any distance form to its name on the All-Weather tracks and this very fast five furlong race might be too short for it and it might be of value to lay. 

SUMMARY: Wings Of A Dove and or Equally Fast could set the pace to this race but I doubt either can stay there for the victory but never say never especially if one of them is allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Tributo if its a single figure price and also Harbour Storm as both might be better racing over further, there is very little between HEY HO LET'S GO 4/1 and STORM MELODY 10/1 (EW), the former is my 2nd top rated but has the better trainer/jockey stats while the latter would probably be my sole bet if it had shown some better form in its last few races, so I will have to go with backing them both with one win bet and an each way wager on the bigger priced selection.

Storm Melody 20/1 3rd -2pts 
Hey Ho Let's Go 13/2 7th -1pt 

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -4pts 

Monday, 23 May 2022

7:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (24th May)

LINGFIELD 7.40 

A ten runner race with three known front running types amongst them, I will start off with Hey Ho Lets Go 11/4 who won last time out but may be out of its depth again here as every time its raised in class if falters and has to drop down in grade to win again so I will look to lay this one as i also think it will be a shorter price than its chance merits, of the known front running types Lethal Blast looks best as its my 4th top rated and could do enough to make the frame but maybe not enough to win the race, Lilkian and Lothian have only 1lb between them being my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses in this race, the former is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it into 2nd top spot, my top rated is BIG BARD 15/2 who ran in a higher class race on its first run of this year 17 days ago, I assume to get it race fit, so could be primed to win this race but stall 9 isn't ideal so I will also have a bet on LILKIAN 5/1 who is only 2lbs off top spot with the apprentices 7lb claim. 

Lilkian 5/1 1st +5pts 
Big Bard 10/17th -1pt 

 Lay bet Hey let's Go +1pt 

Total +5pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.05 

A field of 13 for this race but I have 6 of them as having no chance but I expect 5 of them to be double figure prices so not of value to lay unless your a big risk taker but I do have Truth In Jest 13/2 as one of those 6 but is forecast to be in single figures, its one c/d run resulted in a slow time for it and its best rating on turf wouldn't be enough for it to win this race, Power Point 8/1 won last time out on turf on a good to soft ground so this surface might be too fast for it and i also think a longer distance would suit better especially on this surface, the top pair in the handicap, Tributo and Thaki are my 4th and 5th top rated but they are also the only known front running types in this race so one or the other could make the frame if allowed an easy lead, Singe Anglais usually tracks the leaders or is held up and then tries to stay on at the finish and comes out 3rd best on my figures, sitting in 2nd top spot is Ginato who likes to race in the middle of the pack, my money will be riding on WATER OF LEITH 11/2 who recorded a course and distance time earlier this year that would see it winning this race with a bit in hand.

Water Of Leigh 7/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Truth In Jest +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +5pts

Monday, 2 May 2022

4:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd May)

LINGFIELD 4.00 
Only 7 runners which I always hate I prefer 8 for each way purposes, there looks to be plenty of early pace in the race but it think they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace, all 3 of the possible pacesetters, Merhoob, Impeach and Charming Kid could make the frame, if pushed I would side with Impeach as the one to do best of the trio as Merhoob may need this run for fitness and Charming Kid has been in poor form, I will look to lay Ooh Is It 9/2 who may struggle to stay the trip with a fast early pace which I expect will happen here, the top weight COUNT OTTO 11/1 has been running in better class races than this one and its best time over this course and distance from 2021 would see it back to winning ways and the jockey does have a decent 18% win ratio for the stable. 

Count Otto 11/1 1st +11pts

Total +11pts

LINGFIELD 4.35 

Another race where there looks to be plenty of early pace in the race with 4 that have been known to lead before, Bowling Russian would win this race if able to reproduce its best rating from 2020 but it hasn't been in form lately and its best from last year was well below the previous years best, Twilight Heir and Stay Smart would need to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me thinking that Swiss Pride may do best of the front runners but the trainers last winner was 28 runners and 54 days ago, I think that Pure Dreamer 9/1 may need this run for fitness after being off for 568 days and a longer trip may also be better for it so I will put it up as a lay if it stays a single figure price near the off, my money will be riding on LILKIAN 11/4 who has both good trainer and jockey stats which is usually a positive.

Lilkian 5/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Pure Dreamer -5.5pts 

Total -6pts 

Total on the day +5pts 

Friday, 5 November 2021

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (6th November)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

LILKLAN 9/2 usually races in midfield and then runs on strongly at the finish and with its apprentice jockeys 5lb claim it comes out in joint top position on my own unique speed ratings. 

FAUVETTE 7/1 hasnt any form on this course and one slow run on this surface at Kempton to its name while its best figure from Wolverhampton wouldn't be enough to win this race so its one i might look to lay if a single figure price. 

TYGER BAY 9/2 has had one slow run race over this course and distance and its best time which was recorded at Kempton would see it fall short of what’s required to win this race so at the price it might be worth laying. 

COTAL BEAR this 3yo hasnt any form at this distance on the polytrack surface, its best time comes from Newcastle, Tapeta surface, and that was also a slow time and may need further to show its best and i will lay it if its a single figure price. 

STORM OVER 9/1 (NR) has only slow course and distance times this year but its best time from 2019 would make it my 4th top rated and its time from Newcastle makes it joint top but i am assuming tapeta suits it better so i doubt it can win this race but it could feasibly make the frame. 

CAPPANANTY CON 9/1 is one of two known front runners in the race and its best time from 2020 makes it my joint 3rd top rated but hasn't hit those heights so far this year and I'm not sure it will but i guess it could possibly make the frame if at its best.

EXPERT OPINION 9/1 a 3yo who is usually held up in the early stages and time wise its only produced slow times over this distance on this surface and 2 of those runs were over today's course and distance so maybe worth laying if a single figure price at the off. 

GIORGIO VASARI 25/1 this 3yo recorded a time this year over this course and distance which makes it the other joint 3rd top rated it is usually held up for a late run and may get there too late for the win but might make the frame and maybe worth an each way punt at the price. 

CUBAN BREEZE 14/1 a 3yo who hasn't any form over this distance on this surface, it is the other known front running type in the race so could go well but it will need to improve a good few spots on its best time from Wolverhampton to win this race but i cant recommend a bet or a lay. 

SPANISH ANGEL 9/1 has been in poor form lately and hasn't any form on this surface while its best speed figure from Wolverhampton would leave it short of whats required to win this race so maybe worth laying if a single figure price. 

RED ALERT 6/1 time wise this horse needs to improve to win here and that is mainly down to the fact that its better over a shorter distance so will have to be held up here but i think to no avail and worth laying if of value to do so. 

SILVER NEMO 5/1 usually runs in midfield or held up at the back, time wise it needs to improve a good few spots but it could still improve but hope its not here but I'm not sure its value to take on but i also couldn't back it so i will leave it alone and just hope it doesn't win 

SUMMARY: There is quite a few that could be worthy of laying (depending on the betting) in this race with my biggest lay being Cotal Bear if its a single figure price, Storm Over a hold up sort could go well here if on a going day and Giorgio Vasari will also be held up for a late run and could go well either could make the frame if springing back to form, Cappananty Con could set the pace to the race and returning to the All-Weather surface could rejuvenate it and maybe worth an each way punt but that 3 possible each way bets competing for 2 places so maybe they are best left alone so my money will be riding on the top weight LILKLAN 9/2 who usually races in midfield and then staying on strongly at the finish and from stall 1 it should be able to get a good early position on the rails just behind the leaders waiting to pounce, it finished second on its last run over this course and distance when giving the leader too much of a head start before staying on but too late to catch the leader the faster early pace in this race might suit it better.

Lilklan 9/2 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Friday, 6 August 2021

8:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (7th August)

LINGFIELD 8.05 

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD will try to track the leaders and its best time from Chelmsford would make it my top rated but its times here have been quite a bit slower and the trainer is 0-12 in the last fourteen days.

GOOD EARTH got the ideal draw for a front runner but hasn't any c/d form but its best time from Chelmsford would make it my 2nd top rated and if allowed an easy lead could lead all the way and the trainer is in form 4-13. 

TRUE BELIEF has only slow recent times and its best times here in 2019 and Kempton leave it with a few spots to win this race. 

EPSOM FAITHFUL has only 1 run over this c/d which didn't result in a time to register on my figures and its best from elsewhere were also slow. 

LILKLAN the trainer is in form 2-9 in the last 2 weeks and is top rated on just 2021 c/d times and joint 3rd top on overall speed figures. 

VIVENCY no c/d form to its name and only a slow time from Kempton and I expect it will be one of the outsiders.

REAL ESTATE comes out joint 3rd top if I use a 2019 time and 2nd top on just 2021 c/d times so could possibly make the frame.

GIVE EM THE SLIP again no c/d form to work with but seems a bit of a weak finisher but did fade when raced over 7 furlongs so could possibly make the frame.

ROCKINGHAM JILL has a time from last year would give it some sort of chance but it seems to do its best in lower class races. 

SUMMARY: I expect GOOD EARTH 4/1 to set the pace and could do enough to at least make the frame and could lead all the way, Sir Rodneyredblood would also be a selection if it wasn't for the poor form of the trainer who is 0-12 in the last 2 weeks, LILKLAN 7/2 is top rated on this years c/d times so i will back them both to hopefully cover all the angles.

Tuesday, 29 June 2021

3:55 Thirsk Racing Tips (30th June)

THIRSK 3.55 

With 11 runners I'm surprised there isn't at least one known pacesetter in their midst plus I cannot find anything of value to put up as a lay, George Bowen is my 3rd top rated using a time from Hamilton recorded this year, my 2nd top rated is MANIGORDO 10/1 who is usually found to be running on in the closing stages so it will be hoping there is at least a decent early pace and the jockey has a 15% win rate on this stables older horses, my top rated is RATHBONE 7/2 and this one recorded its best time this year over this c/d and if the apprentice is worth the 7lb claim then it would help its cause greatly but I will be backing them both just in case the apprentice, who is 0-4 for today's stable, rides a poor race. 

Rathbone 5/1 +5pts 
Manigordo 10/1 7th -1pt 

Total +4pts

MUSSELBURGH 4.35 

A 10 runner race where half the field have been known to lead before but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace but maybe Abel Handy could do best of those racing from the front, Never Bark my 4th top rated and Sound Of Iona who is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run so this race may be run to suit its style, both recorded their best times this year actually add my 2nd top rated Good Luck Fox into that list but this one recorded its best time this year over this c/d but I will be siding with NORTH WIND 7/2 who usually runs on strongly at the finish over this distance after tracking the leaders so this race will be right up its street. 

North Wind 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 8.35 

I would like to lay *Al Asef if under 5/1 who I think struggles to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but I am not sure what will lead or how fast a pace will be set, anything else with a negative against its name I think will all be double figures prices, I'm going with backing 2 horses in this race, LILKIAN 14/1 comes out 2nd top rated using its best time from Chelmsford and is also 2nd best on recent, 2020/21, c/d times but I do have LETHAL ANGEL 10/1 rated 2lbs higher who usually stays on strongly at the finish and this ones best time also comes from Chelmsford but that was this year which is a positive so two each way bets looks the way to go.

*NR

Lilkian 20/1 5th -2pts 
Lethal Angel 10/1 8TH -2pts 

Total on the day -1pt