A field of 12 for this class 4 dash with 2 known front running types and Airshow is one of them and my 4th top rated and this one could go well if allowed an easy lead and could make the frame but I doubt it can actually win this race and might in fact need this run for fitness, Aberama Gold may need further to show its best and I will look to lay this pair if they are single figure prices. Twilight Madness completed its hattrick last time out and should go well again here but is only 3rd on my course and distance figures so it might be in the grip of the official handicapper now so may need to be raised in class to be more competitive, Stone Of Destiny is my 2nd top rated horse on course and distance ratings but drops down 4th on Tapeta ratings from elsewhere. I've got HIYA MAITE 4/1 as my top rated on both sets of figures and has good trainer 34% and jockey 29% win ratios but the draw hasn't been kind for it so I just hope it can get a decent early position just behind the leaders from which to attack nearing the finish.
Hiya Maite 4/1 2nd -1pt
Total -1pt
SOUTHWELL 6.30
A full house of 14 for this class 5 sprint and once again 2 known front running types amongst them, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay in this race but the analysis is made difficult with 2 sets of figures, one for just course and distance rating and the second for Tapeta ratings from either Newcastle or Wolverhampton, Blackjack has finished 2nd in its last 2 runs and ought to make the frame again here as its my 2nd top rated on ratings over this course and distance while Politics is my 2nd top rated on times from elsewhere, my top rated on Tapeta times from elsewhere is PORFIN 10/1 but this one hasn't any form on this course to work with but if taking to this course it could go well so has to carry some of my money in an each way wager at the price and then i will also back the course and distance top rated horse in the shape of POLITICS 7/2, both won last time out and both appear to have been found an opportunity to follow up here.
Porfin 10/1 2nd -1pt
Politics 7/2 6th -1pt
Total -2pts
Total on the day -3pts
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