3:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (25th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.20

A class 6 sprint with 13 runners and 3 natural front running types amongst them, I will look to lay Squeezebox and Show Compassion, if they are value to do so, Another Angel has been in good form recently and is a front running type and my 4th top rated so could go well, Della Mare is another front running type and my joint 2nd top rated alongside Eldeyaar who likes to track the leaders before staying on resolutely at the finish, my money will be on PORFIN (EW) who is a hold up type and likes to have a fast pace to aim at so this race should suit it well. 

Each Way Bet PORFIN 11/1 Unp -2pts

Lay SQUEEZEBOX 5/1 +1pt 

Total 0pts

HAYDOCK 4.00

A class 4 dash where half the field have been known to lead before and looking at the make-up of this race it could be won from the front, Street Life is capable of recording a good time but hasn't won before at this level, Dandy Dinmont might be better over a longer distance so these 2 might be lays if of value. Birkenhead is my 4th top rated and is a hold up type, Catch Cunningham comes out as 3rd top and likes to track the leaders, my money will be riding on SO SMART who should prove hard to catch if it gets its head in front. 

Bet SO SMART 4/1 6th -1pt

Lay DANDY DINMONT 6/1 + STREET LIFE 8/1 +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.22 

A 7 runner class 5 dash where I will be looking to lay Blue Flame who might be better when racing over a longer distance, Dark Side Prince is the one I expect will set the pace to the race and being my 4th top rated it could go well, Saaheq and Street Parade are my joint 2nd top rated and both like to track the leaders, my money will be riding on SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD who likes a fast pace to aim at and this race could be run to suit it with 2 or 3 that like to track the pacesetters so making sure its a fast early gallop.

Bet SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 13/2 7th -1pt 

Lay BLUE FLAME 4/1 +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 8.22 

A class 6 sprint with just 7 runners so there cant be any each way bets, where Jungle Run my 3rd top rated could set the pace, Josies Kid might prefer a shorter distance while Laertes might prefer further and I will look to lay both of them if of value to do so, Show Me A Sunset can struggle to stay the distance if there's a really fast early pace but in this race it comes out 2nd top on my figures so could go well but my money will be riding on UNDER CURFEW who usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish. 

Bet UNDER CURFEW 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay JOSIES KID 7/1 + LAERTES 7/1 +2pts

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +1pt

2:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (9th May)

LINGFIELD 2.50 

There's 8 runners for this class 5 sprint and half of them have been known to lead before so probably a fast and furious early pace which might suit the horse I'm going to back. I'm not sure if there's anything I could confidently put forward as a lay bet in this race but the betting might change that thought, Impeach should ensure the early pace is fast as its my 4th top rated in this race but Pablo Del Pueblo is drawn better in stall 1 and this one is my joint 2nd top rated so it could set the pace and have control of the rails which is always a useful combination, Kensington Agent is the other joint 2nd top rated horse but this ones best rating came on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and its best Polytrack rating isn't near to that level so it may struggle here but I know PORFIN 7/1 likes a fast pace to aim at and this race could be run to suit it perfectly and the 7lb the apprentice jockey claims should enhance its chances even further. 

Porfin 15/2 7th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

A field of 10 for this class 5 dash with possibly 2 front running types but one of them Caribbean Sunset has been leading over longer distance races so if getting to the front would have the stamina to win this race but it could also get outpaced over this distance and then might struggle to catch the leaders in time for the victory so I couldn't back or lay this one. Jarvis is the other known front runner and could be dangerous if allowed an easy time at the front of the field but hasn't any English form, its been running in Ireland, so I'm not sure what it has achieved so another I'm unsure about and I couldn't back or lay this one also. Princess Karine and Elzaal are my joint 3rd top rated horses, the former likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish while the latter can race in midfield or be held up for a late run and will be running on at the finish. Yaahobby races as though a longer distance would suit it better and will be trying to run on at the finish and being my 2nd top rated it could make the frame but my money will be riding on my top rated horse SAAHEQ 9/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the booked jockey does have a 20% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Saaheq 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

1:40 Southwell Racing Tips (10th February)

SOUTHWELL 1.40 

This 12 runner class 6 dash is very tight on my ratings with just 2lbs between my top 5 ratings and there's 4 known front running types amongst the dozen runners, I don't think Autumn Flight is at good on this Tapeta surface so i will look to lay it in this race. The Tron is my top rated but the apprentice is 0-5 which moves it down to 4th top spot, Yaahobby is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-12 in the last 2 weeks and the jockey has a poorish 9% win ratio for the stable, Wee Fat Mac is my joint 4th top rated but that's using a Wolverhampton speed figure but hasn't any course and distance form to work with so not sure what to expect. Tantastic hasn't been in good form lately so maybe not ready to win this race, I will be putting my faith in MEHMO 9/2 hoping that it can lead all the way.

Mehmo 17/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 2.10

Fourteen runners for this class 6 stakes race where they all carry the same weight with the official rating of the top rated is 48 so a poor race but hey ho something has to win but it is hard to work out exactly what. There's 3 known front running types in the race and they are all in my top 4 ratings so a lot of these wont be able to get involved, Stroxx 7/2 is actually my top rated but this one is still a maiden after 21 races and 15 of them have been on an artificial surface and this one could do best of those coming from off the pace but could I back this maiden with any confidence? The answer has to be no. I think the winner will come from the 4 top rated horses, Rockley Point 11/1 and Another Angel 8/1 both have poor jockey stats which is slightly off-putting, I think I really ought to dutch all 4 horses and I will back the 3 mentioned so far for small stakes just in case they do win but I will probably back EMBLA 7/1 as my main bet mainly because the jockey has only had 2 previous rides for the stable and finished 3rd and 1st in those 2 rides so hopefully that points to connections expecting it to win here.

Embla 7/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

SOUTHWELL 5.25

A full house of 14 for this class 5 sprint where I can see 4 front running types and Rebel Redemption 28/1 is my highest rated of them in 5th top spot on my figures so would need others to falter to win this race but could possibly make the frame and if of value to do so maybe worth a small each way interest, its not a race where I can see anything worthwhile to lay, Mostallim 14/1 and Papa Cocktail 10/1 are my joint 3rd top rated horses where the former likes to track the leaders but always races as though further would suit it better while the latter is usually held up for a late run. I've got Palifico as my 2nd top rated but this one has never won over this distance so may have been flattered when recording its best distance rating, top rated is PORFIN 12/1 (EW) who is a hold up type and i have to admit stall 14 isn't the ideal draw but if it can follow Rebel Redemption in stall 10 across to the rails it might be able to get a good early position from which to attack nearing the finish and if an each way price then all the better.

Porfin 12/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -4pts

6:00 Southwell Racing Tips (29th December)

SOUTHWELL 6.00 

A field of 12 for this class 4 dash with 2 known front running types and Airshow is one of them and my 4th top rated and this one could go well if allowed an easy lead and could make the frame but I doubt it can actually win this race and might in fact need this run for fitness, Aberama Gold may need further to show its best and I will look to lay this pair if they are single figure prices. Twilight Madness completed its hattrick last time out and should go well again here but is only 3rd on my course and distance figures so it might be in the grip of the official handicapper now so may need to be raised in class to be more competitive, Stone Of Destiny is my 2nd top rated horse on course and distance ratings but drops down 4th on Tapeta ratings from elsewhere. I've got HIYA MAITE 4/1 as my top rated on both sets of figures and has good trainer 34% and jockey 29% win ratios but the draw hasn't been kind for it so I just hope it can get a decent early position just behind the leaders from which to attack nearing the finish. 

Hiya Maite 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 6.30 

A full house of 14 for this class 5 sprint and once again 2 known front running types amongst them, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay in this race but the analysis is made difficult with 2 sets of figures, one for just course and distance rating and the second for Tapeta ratings from either Newcastle or Wolverhampton, Blackjack has finished 2nd in its last 2 runs and ought to make the frame again here as its my 2nd top rated on ratings over this course and distance while Politics is my 2nd top rated on times from elsewhere, my top rated on Tapeta times from elsewhere is PORFIN 10/1 but this one hasn't any form on this course to work with but if taking to this course it could go well so has to carry some of my money in an each way wager at the price and then i will also back the course and distance top rated horse in the shape of POLITICS 7/2, both won last time out and both appear to have been found an opportunity to follow up here.

Porfin 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Politics 7/2 6th -1pt

Total -2pts

Total on the day -3pts 

6:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (28th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.25 Div I

The first division of a 6 furlong class 5 race with eleven runners where four of them have been known to lead before so that should ensure its a true run race, one of them Ahlawi 6/1 hasn't any distance form on this surface apart from Southwell but its best rating came on the Polytrack surface so may be worth opposing, two others Bare Necessity and Ooh Is It both need to improve time wise to win this race so Bezzas Lad 33/1 may do best of the front runners but hasn't been in good form lately but if leading might make the frame but it would be a risk to even back it . Alcazan 6/1 is outside my top four ratings and looks as though further would suit it better so might also be worth taking on. Dark Shot recorded a time at Southwell which could make it competitive and this is a drop in class from four to five yet still carries bottom weight so cannot be dismissed easily. Algheed and Lilkian are my joint third top rated horses, the former is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could possibly lead i nothing else wants to but from stall ten if pushed to try and lead could spend too much energy so i expect it will be held back in the early stages while the latter who likes to track the leaders is well drawn to do that from stall three. I will be putting my money on PORFIN 16/1 (EW) who is my top rated and is usually held up for a late run and with so many early speedsters in the race it could play into his hands so could make a decent each way prospect and a chance to win as well. 

Porfin 16/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.55 Div II 

Just ten runners in this second division but with just two known front running types and they have been drawn in stalls one and two so I expect it will be a fast run race for the class and surely nothing else will try to lead, Rebel Redemption isn't in my top four ratings so may have to give way at some point to RATTLING 7/1 who comes out in second top spot on my figures and if this one is allowed to set the pace before kicking from home in the straight it could prove very hard to catch the apprentice jockeys seven pound claim pushes it up to joint top spot and a front running horse is the easiest of rides for a less experienced jockey so it could lead all the way and this three year old has to be backed for that reason. So Grateful 9/2 hasn't any form at this course but is top rated using times recorded at Southwell but would need to improve on its best Newcastle rating to win this race but cannot be dismissed lightly. Sir Gregory is my fourth top rated and can be held up or track the leaders, Astro Jakk 7/1 comes out in third top spot and likes to track the leaders before trying to stay on at the finish so could make the frame but if EL HOMBRE 9/1 who is my top rated decides to put its best hoof forwards it could pick up the leader nearing the finish and hasn't been in bad form lately but has been known to spring back to form without warning previously so could repeat that here my main concern is the stall nine draw and the fact that the jockey is zero from seventeen when riding for the family,s stable. It is one of those races where I have to go with the two bets to cover the angles of a front running type and one that stays on strongly at the finish.

Rattling 15/2 1st +7.5pts

El Hombre 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Total +6.5pts

Total on the day  +4.5pts

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th November)

LINGFIELD 2.35 

This a Listed class sprint and the fast track qualifiers final so it should be a competitive race and with four runners that have led before it should be fast and furious. I will be laying *Logo Hunter 9/2 who races in Ireland but all of its best form has been over shorter distances and its sole win at this distance was in a relatively slow run maiden race, it has run against better opposition at times but without ever winning so I would expect the same to happen here and it will tire in the closing stages. Harry's Bar is a hold up type and my joint 3rd top rated along with Tippy Toes 18/1 who likes to lead and has the stall 1 draw so could go well here if bouncing back to form without warning like it did when it won four runs ago so might be worth an each way interest. Another Romance comes out as my 2nd top rated but that is using a rating it recorded on turf at Salisbury so not sure what it will produce here but the betting will hopefully give an indication to its chances of winning. My top rated horse is JUDICIAL 13/2 who won last time out in a Listed race on turf and has been found an opportunity to follow up here and the jockey booking, Jim Crowley, looks a positive one. 

*NR 

Judicial 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

A field of 13 for this class 5 sprint and with 4 known front running types it will probably have a fast early pace and could play into the hands of something coming from off the pace and when backing a staying on type in a race you always need a bit of luck for your horse to get a clear run. I will be looking to lay Alcazan 5/1 who will be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the front runners and stall 1 isn't always ideal for a hold up type. Of the front running types the one that could be a big danger is Algheed 8/1 it needs to improve on its best course and distance rating from 2021 but its best Polytrack rating would make it my top rated but I'm not sure if I can rely on that rating, if getting to the front but in the make-up of this race stall 9 might not be ideal. I will be backing two runners in this race, SOVEREIGN SLIPPER 7/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and the trainer has a 22% win ratio with their older horses at this course but stall 12 isn't ideal else it might have been my sole bet in the race while PORFIN 11/1 can also run in midfield or be held up nearer the back of the field before staying on strongly at the finish, I don't know much about the 7lb claiming apprentice but if worth their claim it could tip things in their favour. 

Sovereign Slipper 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Porfin 11/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Alcazan +1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 

This class 5 dash is very competitive for its class with 4 known front running types amongst the eleven runners, Dream By Days 7/1 is a 3yo who hasn't made the frame in its 2 runs on an artificial surfaced track and it races as though further would suit it better so maybe a lay if a single figure price. Bang On The Bell is a possible pacesetter and my joint 3rd top rated along with Kim Wexter who either races in midfield or tracks the leaders. Melody King 10/1 is another possible pacesetter and being my 2nd top rated it ought to do enough to make the frame and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead so might be worth an each way interest but i will be backing STREET LIFE 9/1 who is a previous course and distance winner and likes to track the leaders so looks ideally drawn in stall 2.

Street Life 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Dream By Day +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -2pts

3:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (12th October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50 

A field of 13 runners with only Araifjan 12/1 having been known to lead before but its only when nothing else wants to take on the pace making role and could do enough from the front to make the frame and if allowed an easy lead it could prove hard to catch but with a few that like to track the leaders I doubt the early pace will be a slow one, there's seven 3yo’s in this race so there isn't a great deal of data to work with so any stakes have to be kept on the low side, I'm not sure I can find anything positive to put forward as a lay here but I will be having a few pounds on PORFIN 7/1 who is my top rated and finished 2nd last time out and has been found a decent opportunity to go one better here but the jockey is 0-11 when riding for the stable which doesn't fill me with confidence but I'm hoping a small win bet will pay dividends and the price is bit better than I expected so I back it at the price with guaranteed odds and then you win price wise wherever happens. 

Porfin 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

KEMPTON 7.00 

A nice looking class 3 race with 8 runners so I hope they all take part so my each way bets will have 3 places to aim at, Love De Vega 13/2 hasn't any all weather form to its name and its best speed figure over this distance on grass wouldn't be good enough to win this race so will need to improve for the switch but I believe a longer distance would be beneficial to it so maybe one to lay another could be Out From Under 9/4 another 3yo and this one also might need further to show its best and at the price has to worth taking the risk of laying it, I'm not sure that Badri 8/1 really likes this surface producing slow times at both Chelmsford and here at Kempton and looks better on Tapeta but even its best from that surface wouldn't be good enough to win this race so maybe a third one to lay, INTERVENTION 11/1 (EW) has been known to adopt the front running type and has the plum 1 stall draw so could go well from the front and its best figure produced at Chelmsford makes it my 2nd top rated and only 3lb’s below the top rated TYGER BAY 16/1 (EW) who's best rating was produced at Lingfield this year, both of them have good jockey/trainer stats and the latter comes out best on both stats, I will be backing them both to cover the angles of the front running Intervention and Tyger Bay who is usually held up for a late run and the latter will need a near perfect run to catch the pacesetter and at the prices they both have to be each way bets.

Intervention 11/1 2nd +1.75pts 

Tyger Bay 18/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets Love De Vega +1pt, Out From Under +1pt 

Total +1.75pts 

Total on the day +0.75pts