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Monday 1 May 2023

4:55 Brighton Racing Tips (2nd May)


A field of 11 for this class 6 sprint where I expect the early pace might be set by Liberty Bay 20/1 but this one hasn't produced much time wise since 2021 but might be worth a small each way punt as it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its best rating from 2021 would make it my 2nd top rated horse. Madrinho 6/1 hasn't won a race since 2021 and might be worth laying if its a single figure price, McQueen 4/1 might need a longer trip to show its best work as might Rainbow Sign 7/1 but I doubt they will be a single figure price (which goes to show how much I know about predicting the betting). No Speed Limit 5/1 and Autumn Flight 6/1 on the other hand might prefer a shorter distance to shine so I could look to lay these if they are of value to do so. Hagla Sophia 4/1 usually races in midfield before staying on at the finish and could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price and if fully fit on its first run for quite a while, I will take a punt in this race on MINHAAJ 10/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly over this distance and might be worth a small each way punt. 

Minhaaj 10/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Autumn Flight -6pts, Madrinho +1pt, No Speed Limit +1pt

Total -6pts 


Another field of 11 for this class 6 dash this time I can see 2 horses that have been known to lead before, Next Second could possibly lead if nothing else wants to and if allowed an easy lead then could be a danger but I think the early pace will be set by Rockley Point 7/4 who comes in 4th on my ratings and could do enough to make the frame and to me looks poor value to back but I also couldn't lay it in case its allowed an easy lead and leads all the way. Pandemic Princess 11/1 and Bankrupt 5/1 both usually run on at the finish over this distance but both would need to improve time wise to win this race. Red Allure has a good time to its name from Newcastle but its not done anything worthwhile time wise at this course since 2021, Iconicdaay also has a good rating but has never won over this distance and hasn't been in good from recently. My money will be riding on WE’RE REUNITED 10/3 who will be staying on strongly at the finish, it indicated a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and if getting some luck in running when making a challenge it could get back to winning ways here but I will admit I was expecting it to be about double the price on offer. 

We're Reunited 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 


One extra runner here to make it 12 runners for this class 6 sprint where the early pace looks most likely to be set by Another Angel 4/1 who happens to be my 4th top rated and with an easy lead could at least make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. If Jumira Bridge 15/2, Hard Solution 18/1 and Fair And Square 5/1 are single figure prices I would look to lay them all as they seem better prospects over shorter distance races. Catesby 15/2 comes out 3rd top on my figures and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, BUNGLE BAY 11/2 is my 2nd top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and the switch back to turf could see this one bounce back to form and the same can be said for YAAHOBBY 14/1 (EW) who also recorded its best time over this course and distance last year and i will be backing them both, with a win bet on the former and an each way wager on the latter, hoping at least one of them can reproduce its previous best.

Yaahobby 14/1 3rd +2.8pts
Bungle Bay 13/2 4th -1pt 

Total +1.8pts 

Total on the day -5.2pts

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