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Showing posts with label Copper Knight. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Copper Knight. Show all posts

Tuesday, 4 July 2023

4:42 Musselburgh Racing Tips (5th July)

MUSSELBURGH 4.42 

5F Class 4 7-Runners I can see 3 known front running types in this dash so I expect it will be a fast and furious pace from the off, Venturous 8/1 and Rock Melody 7/2 might not like to encounter fast good to firm ground so might get outpaced here if the going is fast but the latter is a 4yo who won last time out and could be capable of improving further but would need to improve a good few spots to win this race. Glory Fighter and maybe Resilience will ensure there's a fast early pace but if COPPER KNIGHT 4/1 can get to the front and get the fractions right it could lead all the way for victory and will be carrying my money. 

Copper Knight 5/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.20 

6F Class 3 8-Runners There's three 3yo’s in this race which can sometimes make analysis more difficult but maybe not in this case, I couldn't lay either of Danger Alert 7/2 or Zaman Jemil 8/1, (nor anything else to lay in this race), but I also couldn't back them as they have shown very little time wise and would need to improve to win this race but that's what 3yo’s can do, improve without warning. Ghathanfar 14/1 and Music Society 13/2 are capable of producing good ratings when in the mood and could make the frame if on song. My money will be riding on ROCK OF ENGLAND 11/2 who led all the way the time before last when winning at Hamilton and a repeat of that rating would see it winning with a bit too spare. 

Rock Of England 11/2 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts



Saturday, 17 June 2023

2:10 Chester Racing Tips (17th June)

CHESTER 2.10 – 

5f –Class 3 – 8 Runners With 4 front running types it should be a true run race and at this course a lot of races are won from the front, I'm not sure if Speedacus is capable of leading here from stall 3 while Ancient Times has got stall 10 also both need to improve time wise to win this race, I think the 3yo Absolutelyflawless 15/2 will be better when racing over further so might be worth laying if a single figure near the off. Vespasian is my 4th top rated and Lihou is 3rd top and are a few spots behind my top 2 ratings but is a front running type and stall 8 might not be ideal in the make-up of this race but could do enough to make the frame, Leodis Dream is that 2nd top rated horse and likes to track the leaders but could get squeezed out in the early stages from stall 7. My top rated is COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who has its ideal conditions for the 1st time this year and its best rating recorded last year was over todays course and distance and it looks as though this race has been its target and has been prepared for this race so hopefully it can lead all the way from stall 4. 

Copper Knight 9/2 8th -1pt

Lay bet Absolutely Flawless +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHESTER 4.30 – 

6f – Class 4 – 10 Runners I can see 3 front running types and Cuban Breeze and Bezza's Lad from stalls 6 and 9 should make sure there's a fast early pace, if Follow Your Heart is a single figure price i would look to lay it as it either wants a longer distance or maybe some cut in the ground or maybe a bit of both while Ramon Di Loria finds this distance too far for it on fast ground. Ventura Express is my 4th top rated but I'm not sure if this turning track will suit it and from stall 5 its drawn between 2 fast starters so could get squeezed out, Roman Dragon is 3rd top using a course and distance rating from last year and from stall 2 it ought to be able to get a good position on the rails just behind the leaders, Ballyare is capable of recording a fast time but maybe not on good to firm ground at this level or at this distance. My money will be riding on TOUSSAROK 11/1 (EW) who is drawn in stall 4 and should be able to get away quickly and gain control of the all important rails position needed at this course, with its best ratings coming from Brighton and Goodwood it should be able to handle this track and at a double figure price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Toussarock 12/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

YORK 5.25 – 

6f – Class 4 – 15 Runners In big fields here the draw favours those drawn low which wont help the cause of Abate, who is my joint 2nd top rated using a 2021 rating, completing its hattrick of wins but with only 1 other known front running type it might not be too much of a handicap and could possibly at least make the frame, I'm not sure if there's anything of value I can put forward as a lay but the betting might show me an opportunity but I will have to wait and see, Muscika is capable of running well, its my top rated using just this years ratings, and is my 4th top rated overall only rated 1lb higher than Rathbone in 5th top spot who from stall 3 could be the one to set the pace and if gifted an easy lead it could at least make the frame as its my top rated on just this years ratings, Showtime Mahomes is the other joint 2nd top rated using a Yarmouth rating from last year and is drawn in stall 1 which might be an advantage, Many A Star comes out in top spot using a 2021 rating recorded at Yarmouth that year and hasn't had many opportunities since then with ideal conditions. Its a tricky race and I will probably go with dutching 3 horses in this race with each way wagers, RATHBONE 22/1 who could lead all the way from stall 3 with very little competition for the early pacesetters role, SHOWTIME MAHOMES 14/1 who seems to like these courses without many if any undulations and MANY A STAR 20/1 who could go better than its form figures suggest because of the lack of ideal conditions and even then my stakes will be kept low.

Rathbone 22/1 7th -1pt 
Showtime Mahones 14/1 9th -1pt 
Many A Star 20/1 Unp -1pt

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -5pts

Friday, 26 May 2023

2:40 York Racing Tips (27th May)

YORK 2.40 

A cracking looking class 2 dash over this flat surface with 3, Chipstead stall 5 and Fine Wine stall 4 are 2 of them, known front running types to ensure there's a fast early pace and its a race where it could be won from the front. Reigning Profit maybe not class, Squealer maybe too short a distance will be lays if they are single figure prices. Alligator Alley who usually tracks the leaders is my 3rd top rated and drawn in stall 7 so could go either side of the course depending where the early pace is, Korker in stall 10 is my 2nd top rated and usually races at the rear of the field or in midfield but my top rated is the 3rd front running type is Copper Knight who is drawn in stall so if leading could prove a hard nut to crack. 

Each Way Bet COPPER KNIGHT 16/1 Unp -2pts 
Lay REIGNING PROFIT 9/1 (NA) 

Total -2pts

HAYDOCK 3.30 

A Group 2 dash and again there's 3 known front running types but there's 7 that are either 4yo’s or 3yo’s who might be capable of front running and or improve but haven't shown it so far in their relatively short careers so this race is probably best left alone and if Raasel isn't an each way price then I will leave the race alone, the two 3yo’s are forecast to be to the fore in the betting but I was told many years ago not to back a 3yo against older horses until June so hoping that's right and an each way bet on an older horse might pay dividends.

Each Way Bet RAASEL 14/1 Unp -2pts

Total -2pt

SALISBURY 7.10

A Listed sprint with 9 runners but I'm not sure what will set the pace, Marbaah is a 3yo so that might be against it here taking on its elders and it might need further to show its best form so this race might not be run to suit it so I will look to lay it if its of value to do so, Sir Maximus doesn't seem to like good to firm so I will add that to my lay list, Khaadem is my 3rd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders, Rohaan is a hold up type so this race might not be run to suit it but on the other hand if its a slow early pace its fitness might not be called into question, and my top rated its dropped in class to run in this race but this will be its 1st run after 244 days off so might need this run for fitness as it has done so before after a break, Run To Freedom is my 2nd top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders its a course and distance winner and had its 1st run of the year 14 days ago so hopefully that has got it fully tuned up for this race.

Bets 

ROHAAN 6/1 8th -1pt   
RUN TO FREEDOM 13/2 1st +6.5pts 

Lay MARBAAH 11/2 + SAM MAXIMUS 13/2 +1pt 

Total +6.5pts

Total on the day +2.5pts

Wednesday, 17 May 2023

1:50 York Racing Tips (18th May)

YORK 1.50

A field of 14 for this class 2 dash and I can see 4 natural front running types in the field so it will be a fast and furious race, as long as the going is good or better. If Designer 8/1 and Illusionist 9/1 are single figure prices I would look to lay them, the former wants some cut in the ground to show its best so if the going is good or better it could struggle while the latter races as though a longer distance would suit it better. Mondammej will be trying to stay on at the finish and comes out 5th best on my ratings and could feasibly make the frame, Nomadic Empire one of the front running types in this race is my 4th top rated and another front running type is Mountain Peak sits in 3rd top spot. I've got Korker as my 2nd top rated horse in this race and this might be the one to do best of those coming from off the pace but my money will be riding on another front running type in the shape of COPPER KNIGHT 12/1 (EW) who is housed in stall 1 so i am hoping there isn't a draw bias in favour of those drawn high and if this one does get to the front, without exerting too much energy if its poorly drawn, it could prove hard to catch and I'm hoping it will be of value to have an each way wager.

Copper Knight 14/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Designer +1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

Friday, 3 June 2022

3:21 Musselburgh Racing Tips (4th June)

MUSSELBURGH 3.21 

There's now 14 runners in this race with 4 front running types amongst them and this race looks very likely to be won from the front, I cannot see anything of value to lay as I expect them all to be in double figure prices, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in Ancient Times who is a possible pacesetter and Indian Sounds who could do best of those coming from off the pace, COPPER KNIGHT 12/1 (EW) in stall 15 is my 2nd top rated which it recorded earlier this year at Haydock but MODULAR MAGIC 10/1 (EW) in stall 2 comes out top rated but only by 2lbs and that was recorded over this course and distance but was recorded in 2021 and its one run so far this year was quite a bit below that level, so i have one drawn high and one drawn low so that covers that angle and at the prices I have to put it up as two each way wagers. 

Copper Knight 12/1 4th -2pts 
Modular Magic 12/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -4pts

MUSSELBURGH 4.01 

From the 13 runners in this race I will be looking to lay Sixcor who won last time out but maybe better over a longer distance but is my 3rd top rated, also Lord Of The Glen who may also prefer further and looks a better prospect when there is some cut in the ground,The Gloaming sits in 4th top spot on my figures and usually likes to track the leaders, the early pace could well be set by the top weight Eeh Bah Gum and it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead especially as it comes out in 2nd top spot on my ratings but if MOKAMAN can repeat its best rating Ripon last year it would win with a bit in hand and the trainer has a good strike rate at this course. 

Mokaman 10/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet Sixcor +1pt 

Total 0pts 


CHEPSTOW 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part and I can see a couple of known front runners in the field, Our Man In Havana and Monsieur Fantasie both race as though a further distance would suit them better but the former is my 2nd top rated who won last time out and could run into a place here if gaining a clear run when trying to stay on at the finish and could win if others falter while I could look to lay the latter as it would need to improve time wise, Fittleton Ferry comes out in 3rd top spot and will also be trying to stay on at the finish but I will be hoping that SHESADABBER 16/1 (EW) can get away smartly and then lead all the way for victory and at the price it has to be an each way punt.

Shesadabber 16/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bet Monsieur Fantasie +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

Friday, 24 September 2021

2:40 Haydock Racing Tips (25th September)

HAYDOCK 2.40 

WOW what a competitive looking class 2 dash, I can only see Premier Power as a possible lay bet in this race, Mountain Peak is one of two known front running types in this race and comes out 4th best on my figures so could run well and maybe even make the frame,Jawwaal is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs below the pair who are my top rated, Mondammej is one of the joint top rated horses but drops to 2nd best when I take off the 5lb the apprentice claims riding COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who is also the other known front runner and if getting to the front here it could be hard to catch. 

Copper Knight 9/2 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Premier Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 3.15 

Another nice looking race and class 3 this time, I think the early pace will be set by Al Simmo but it would need to improve to hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger who has won its last 3 races comes out 3rd top on my figures and maybe the handicapper has caught up with it, there is only 2lbs between my top rated pair and I will be backing both of them, NEVER DARK 8/1 and SECOND COLLECTION 12/1 as to be honest I cannot split them and both look good value at their prices with there being just seven runners. 

Second Collection 16/1 4th -1pt 
Never Dark 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 3.30 

A field of 12 for this race with a couple of front runners of whom Machree may go best but I doubt it can hold on for the win and I might well lay the other possible leader, Raydmoor who might have been flattered when winning a slow run race last time out, James Watt, Nibras Again and Deputise could all go well but I will be splitting my stake between COLEY'S KOKO 9/2 who is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below ATLYAH 7/1 in top spot, the former is usually held up for a late run while the latter likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish. 

Coley's Koko 7/1 Unp -1pt 
Atlyah 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 4.05 

As usual with an eight runner race I hope they all take part so there is 3 places available for an each way bet, it is a good looking class 2 race where I cannot see anything that I could dismiss its chances and lay it, Bossipop may do best of the two known front runners in the race as it comes out 4th best on my figures and could even stay on well enough to sneak a palace especially if others falter, Thegreatestshowman is sitting in 3rd top spot but the trainer is 0-10 in the last 2 weeks, Manigordo is my 2nd best rated horse and is usually seen staying on at the finish over this distance and could make the frame but it hasn't been in good form lately, my money will be riding on BOWMAN 10/1 (EW) who recorded a fast time at Carlisle and a repeat would see it winning a touch cosily.

Bowman 10/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

RIPON 5.50 

Only 6 runners where the top pair, Nearly A Gonna and Ustath, look the likely pacesetters and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and the former might have been flattered when it won 2 runs ago at Nottingham, Hurstwood comes out 2nd best using a time from way back in 2019, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 13/8 who is from a stable in decent form in the last two weeks and it will be held up for a late run. 

Singe Anglais 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 4 race, 10 runners and 2 known front running types equals a true run affair, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam who should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders, Garth Rockett has a good time from 2020 which would give it a good chance of winning but the jockey booking, 0-18, makes me think it will be aimed at a future race, I did have TOUSSARAK 7/1 and NIGEL NOTT 5/1 level on my ratings but the former has a 3lb claiming apprentice on board and the latter has a 5lb claiming apprentice, so just 2lbs between them but as the latter is the one I think might set the early pace and could prove hard to catch but just in case I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 4th -1pt 
Toussarak 7/1 UR -1pt 

Lay bet: Seas Of Elzaam +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them are known as front runners and five of them are 3yo’s so my stakes are already going to be low, I think *Iesha may need further and may be worth laying despite the fact this race might be run to suit its racing style, I think JORVIK PRINCE 9/1 should lead and then prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but its time from 2021 would give TOPLIGHT 9/2 a chance to pick it up in the closing stages and I will be backing them both.

*NR

Jorvik Prince 9/1 2nd -1pt 
Toplight 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

Wednesday, 28 July 2021

6:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (29th July)

NEWCASTLE 6.25 

I usually love AW racing but to be truthful neither of today's class 3 races fill me with confidence, May Remain has won in Ireland and has a time from Kempton that would make it my joint top rated and its one of two known front running types in this race but whether it can reproduce that time on this surface I have no idea but its one try over this course and distance resulted in a time too slow to register on my figures so I will stick with the proven, COPPER KNIGHT 3/1 is the other likely front runner and its time from 2020 makes it my other joint top rated but its best time for this year has been quite a bit slower, the one that comes out top rated on just 2021 course and distance times is SALUTI 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Saluti 15/2 1st +7.5pts 
Copper Knight 100/30 Unp -1pt 

Total +6.5pts

NEWCASTLE 6.55 

Quite a mish mash of form in this race and looking at things I would never have thought it was a class 3 affair, I haven’t got one horse with a rating for this year and only one horse with a rating for this course and distance at least i can see five horses that have led before so it should be a true run affair and I think it ought to be won from the front, the 3yo Strike Red has a fast time from the turf at Hamilton but hasn't any form on this surface at this distance, Lipsink is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics, I will be backing two runners in this race and both of them do like to lead, MOHAREB 11/2 who is the only one who has recorded its best time over this course and distance which happened in 2020 but hasn't any form to its name for this year and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable but isn't quite top rated as PAPA STOUR 7/1 has a faster time but it was recorded at Chelmsford which is a different surface so cannot be ignored and it does have fairly good jockey stats.

Mohareb 11/2 6th -1pt 
Papa Stour 7/1 8th 

Total on the day +4.5pts

Thursday, 24 June 2021

2:15 Doncaster Racing Tips (25th June)

DONCASTER 2.15 

With 3 or 4 possible pacesetters this should be a true run race, Abate is a versatile type and my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall, Boy In The Bar hasn't been in good form lately but comes out 2nd top rated using a time from 2019 but would need to bounce back to form to go well here, the top weight THEOTHERSIDE 20/1 is dropped in class to run in this class 5 race, it hasn't been in the best of form this year but it has been known to bounce back to form without warning and I am hoping its worth an each way punt in this race. 

Theotherside 20/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

YARMOUTH 2.35

Only 8 runners but an intriguing race both Invincible Larne and Global Prospector have been known to lead but both would need to improve time wise to win this race but the latter has a time on the AW surface at Chelmsford that would make it my 2nd top rated, both Seneca Chief and Autumn Flight could go well here and either could make the frame being my 2nd and 3rd top rated on just 2021 times, the bottom weight CASE KEY 33/1 hasn't shown much lately but is another horse that can bounce back to form without prior warning so I am hoping all 8 take part so there is 3 places up for grabs as with only 2 places each way bets are not of as much value. 

Case Key 33/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.10 

For a class 5 race this looks very competitive, I cannot see anything of value to lay but the betting might highlight something, the 3yo Tantastic 11/2 is my top rated if I use a time from Wolverhampton while its best c/d time is 9lbs lower but could still run well enough to make the frame, Canford Bay 22/1 is versatile with its racing tactics but might be drawn away from the early pace in this race which might not help its cause but at the price might be worth an each way punt, I think ASTROZONE 8/1 in stall 12 might be the one to set the pace and could lead all the way. 

Astrozone 8/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.45

I can see 5 front running types amongst the 14 runners in this race and i think it might be won from the front, one possible front runner is Sunday Sovereign 6/1 who finished 2nd last time out but that was on soft ground and I am not sure it will take to this surface as it is its 1st run on an AW surface so I will look to lay it especially if its as short as the tissue prices forecast, Desert Safari and Caspian Prince could go well in this race and the former does have good trainer/jockey stats and the latter is my 2nd top rated on 2021 times, Ornate and Kind Review are possible pacesetters who could go well but i am hoping COPPER KNIGHT 15/2 can get to the front at some point of the race and then prove hard to catch and it might be a worthwhile each way wager. 

Copper Knight 15/2 5th -2pts

Total -2pts

NEWMARKET 7.30

A six runner race where I think half the field have got some chance of winning this race, I would lay Silent Queen as I'm not sure it will stay the sixth furlong but being a 3yo it could improve so best left alone, Ishvara is another that might prefer a shorter trip and one I will look to lay, the 3yo NIGHT NARCISSUS 4/1 will I think set the pace to the race and comes out top rated on just 2021 times but only 3rd best on overall figures, LOVELY BREEZE 9/4 another 3yo is my 2nd top rated on overall figures and has decent trainer/jockey stats, the older horse BIMBLE 4/1 is my top rated on its best time from 2020 but the jockeys 0-4 record for the stable is a little off-putting so i will look to dutch all 3 of them.

Lovely Breeze 11/4 1st +2.75pts
Night Narcissus 4/1 2nd -1pt 
Bimble 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -5.25pts