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Showing posts with label Breaking Records. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Breaking Records. Show all posts

Monday, 21 June 2021

3:10 Ayr Racing Tips (22nd June)

AYR 3.10 

A 9 runner race with only one known front runner amongst them, I will look to lay Tomily 9/1 if its a single figure price, there is only 3lbs between Soul Seeker, Be Proud and Son And Sannie in 6th to 4th top rated on my figures and all or any could go well and even make the frame if others falter, EEH BAH GUM 4/1 is only my 3rd top rated but the reason I cannot discard this ones chances of winning is because its the one I expect will set the pace and could steal the race from the front if allowed an easy time out in front, NEVER DARK 4/1 sits in 2nd top spot using a time from Musselburgh this year on good ground but I'm not convinced it really likes good to firm going but if they water too much the going could suit it, SOUND OF IONA 16/1 is my top rated horse using a time from Hamilton on good to firm ground and the jockey does quite well (17%) for the stable and I will dutch all 3 as any of them could win this race. 

Never Dark 15/2 3rd -1pt 
Sound Of Iona 33/1 5th -1pt 
Eeh Bah Gum 4/1 6th -1pt 

Total -3pts


AYR 3.45 

A Listed class race and once again I can only see one front running type in the race but I doubt it can lead all the way or even make the frame as its one of the outsiders in the field, value wise I cannot see anything to lay although there is a few big priced runners that look to have virtually (never say never) no chance of winning this race, the 3yo Dickiedooda comes out 4th top on my figures and it could be capable of some improvement so could make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price, Keep Busy 8/11 sits in 3rd top spot using a time from Ascot this year and is dropped in class and is the very hot favourite, my top rated is Free Love who did its best time at Windsor but it wasn't at this level/class of racing so it might be outclassed in this race but then again it could still go well but I will putting my faith and money on WISE WORDS 11/2 who recorded its best time at Bath when finishing 2nd on its first and only race of the year a couple of months ago and this has what I call a positive jockey booking as he has a 30%win ratio on the stables older horses and tome it looks the value call in the race. 

Wise Words 11/2 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

AYR 4.50 

This is quite a nice looking race for a class 6 affair with 1 known front runner amongst the 9 entrants, I will look to lay (The Mackem Torpedo) who may have been flattered when finishing 3rd last time out where it was well beaten in a slow run race and if a single figure price it would be one to lay, the 3yo Symbol Of Hope is my joint 2nd top rated on its best time from Doncaster so this course should suit it, the other joint 2nd top rated is BREAKING RECORDS 12/1 and I have put this one up as a possible bet because its the one that looks the likely front runner and could attempt to steal the race from the front and is dropped in class in this race which is the same foe EQUIDAE 15/2 who is my top rated on a time recorded at Hamilton this year but this one could have got towed along in a fast run race as it finished 3rd but was beaten nearly 5 lengths so I will back them both to cover the angles.

Equdae 15/2 2nd -1pt
Breaking Records 12/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day  -6pts

Tuesday, 8 June 2021

1:50 Yarmouth Racing Tips (9th June)

YARMOUTH 1.50 

A field of 13 runners with just the one known front running type amongst them, I will look to lay both Pedestal 9/2 who has never won over this distance and on recent form its held by Twice As Likely who is my 5th top rated horse, and Thake 6/1 who races as though its better over a shorter distance and as usual that's it they are single figure prices, I cannot with any confidence narrow it down to less than 3 horses so I will be dutching the 3 of them, the top weight ROCKESBURY 9/1 is the one that could set the pace and it comes out top rated but that is using a time from on the AW at Chelmsford and taking into consideration the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim, LINCOLN RED 8/1 is 3rd best on my figures but has run to the same level for both 2019 and 2020 so is capable of being competitive here and this one has decent trainer/jockey stats so could be worth an each way interest, NIBRAS SHADOW 7/2 is the 3rd one in my list to dutch but this one has poor trainer/jockey stats with the stables older horses. 

Rockesby 11/1 1st +11pts (Betfair SP 15.5) + £83.60 EX
Lincoln Red 8/1 2nd -pt
Nibras Shadow 4/1 8th 

Total +9pts

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HAMILTON 8.15 

Only 6 runners with one known front running type amongst them, I will look to lay Fendale 7/2 who might prefer a shorter trip and Equidae 9/2 who may be better over further, Call Me Ginger is my 3rd top rated and the jockey has a 15% win ratio for the stable, the early pace might be set by BREAKING RECORDS 7/1 who is my 2nd top rated so could be hard to catch for most of the others but I do have ABEL HANDY 11/1 rated higher, the trainers 1-28 win record here and the jockeys 1-27 win record is quite a bit off-putting but I don't think I have any choice so I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Abel Handy 16/1 4th -1pt 
Breaking Records 7/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

HAMILTON 8.45 

What a dire looking race which sure wont take much winning and I only have 2 horses with recorded speed figures with rest being a bunch of slowcoaches, firstly I will look at Corton Lass 8/1 to lay if its a single figure price who might prefer a longer as might Lord Of The Glen 7/4 who I will also hope to lay, Signore Piccolo is the only known front running type in the race and with an easy lead could go well and maybe worth an each way interest, Guardia Svizzera i my 2nd top rated who might be better over further on good to firm ground and hasn't won since 2018 so I will be backing THRILLA IN MANILA 9/4 who just looks the best of a poor lot but i expect it will be to the fore in the betting but the trainer does have a 15% win ratio with the older horses at this course.

Thrilla In Manila 9/4 1st +2.25pts (Betfair SP 2.76) 

Total on the day: +9.25pts