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Showing posts with label Great Yarmouth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Great Yarmouth. Show all posts

Tuesday, 8 June 2021

1:50 Yarmouth Racing Tips (9th June)

YARMOUTH 1.50 

A field of 13 runners with just the one known front running type amongst them, I will look to lay both Pedestal 9/2 who has never won over this distance and on recent form its held by Twice As Likely who is my 5th top rated horse, and Thake 6/1 who races as though its better over a shorter distance and as usual that's it they are single figure prices, I cannot with any confidence narrow it down to less than 3 horses so I will be dutching the 3 of them, the top weight ROCKESBURY 9/1 is the one that could set the pace and it comes out top rated but that is using a time from on the AW at Chelmsford and taking into consideration the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim, LINCOLN RED 8/1 is 3rd best on my figures but has run to the same level for both 2019 and 2020 so is capable of being competitive here and this one has decent trainer/jockey stats so could be worth an each way interest, NIBRAS SHADOW 7/2 is the 3rd one in my list to dutch but this one has poor trainer/jockey stats with the stables older horses. 

Rockesby 11/1 1st +11pts (Betfair SP 15.5) + £83.60 EX
Lincoln Red 8/1 2nd -pt
Nibras Shadow 4/1 8th 

Total +9pts

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HAMILTON 8.15 

Only 6 runners with one known front running type amongst them, I will look to lay Fendale 7/2 who might prefer a shorter trip and Equidae 9/2 who may be better over further, Call Me Ginger is my 3rd top rated and the jockey has a 15% win ratio for the stable, the early pace might be set by BREAKING RECORDS 7/1 who is my 2nd top rated so could be hard to catch for most of the others but I do have ABEL HANDY 11/1 rated higher, the trainers 1-28 win record here and the jockeys 1-27 win record is quite a bit off-putting but I don't think I have any choice so I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Abel Handy 16/1 4th -1pt 
Breaking Records 7/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

HAMILTON 8.45 

What a dire looking race which sure wont take much winning and I only have 2 horses with recorded speed figures with rest being a bunch of slowcoaches, firstly I will look at Corton Lass 8/1 to lay if its a single figure price who might prefer a longer as might Lord Of The Glen 7/4 who I will also hope to lay, Signore Piccolo is the only known front running type in the race and with an easy lead could go well and maybe worth an each way interest, Guardia Svizzera i my 2nd top rated who might be better over further on good to firm ground and hasn't won since 2018 so I will be backing THRILLA IN MANILA 9/4 who just looks the best of a poor lot but i expect it will be to the fore in the betting but the trainer does have a 15% win ratio with the older horses at this course.

Thrilla In Manila 9/4 1st +2.25pts (Betfair SP 2.76) 

Total on the day: +9.25pts

Wednesday, 16 September 2020

5:10 Yarmouth Racing Tips (17th September)


YARMOUTH 5.10 

I cannot find anything to lay confidently so I will concentrate on my top 3 ratings, in 3rd spot is Spanish Angel who usually races midfield before staying on at the finish, *SPIRITED GUEST 7/2 is top rated on 2020 times and likes to track the leaders before staying on resolutely nearing the business end of the race but MOKAATIL 7/1 has a time from 2019 that is just 4 spots higher and this one can be held up or track the leaders and I will have to back them both but maybe tilting in favour of the one that did its best rating this year, the only problem with this race is the lack of known pace setting types. 

Mokaatil 7/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt



CHELMSFORD 5.30

Again a race where I'm not sure where the ealy pace will come from which always puts me on the backfoot, 4th top spot overall goes to Maid Millie but its 2020 time makes it 2nd best on just this years times, Phoenix Star is joint 2nd top but this ones best time did come from 2019 and hasn't shown much lately, the other joint 2nd top rated is Tomshalfbrother who recorded his speed figure this year so has to be considered as the winner but PERFECT SYMPHONY 12/1 has a time from 2019 that would see it winning cosily and the jockey booking looks a positive move as the 7lb claiming apprentice has a 2-5 record for the stable so at the double figure price on offer it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Perfect Symphony 12/1 2nd (+2pts)

Total: +2pts

YARMOUTH 5.40

The top weight Prince Caspar could be a possible danger making its handicap debut but its time from the AW would need to be improved upon to win this race, the early pace could be set by Arzaak who is my 5th top rated and/or Tilsworth Rose who is my joint 2nd top rated, the other joint 2nd top rated is Wild Flower who likes to track the leaders and then run on at the finish but my money will be riding on SWELL SONG 6/1 who also likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, its best time from 2020 puts it in top spot but has a 6lb faster time from 2019 but the jockeys 0-37 record for the stable is a little off-putting.

Swell Song 6/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day:  0pts

Monday, 27 July 2020

7:00 Yarmouth Racing Tips & Lay Bets (28th July)


YARMOUTH 7.00 

Once again I think I will lay (Napping) who usually does its best form in lower class races, there's four 3yo’s in the race plus another 2 with relatively little data from the turf to work with, the trainer of CAMACHESS 9/4 has a decent 18% win ratio at this course which makes it my selection but the jockeys 0-5 record for the stable tempers my enthusiasm and at the price looks poor value but I cannot find anything to take it on with. 

Camachess 11/4 1st (+2.75)

Lay bets: Napping +1pt

Total: +3.75pts

YARMOUTH 8.30 

Only Michaels Choice is known as a frontrunner but this one would need to improve a few pounds to hold on but if given an easy lead that is quite possible, the top 3 in the weights all have higher speed figures, Thegreatestshowman is top-rated on just 2020 times but only 3rd top overall, Texting is 2nd top-rated overall using a 2019 Ascot time, GRANDFATHER TOM 9/1 has a relatively slow time from 2020 to its name but top rated on its course and distance win in 2019 and that's the reason I will have a small bet on this one.

Grandfather Tom 14/1 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt 

Total on the day: +2.75

Tuesday, 20 August 2019

1:40 Brighton Racing Tips (20th August)

BRIGHTON 1.40 (8.1) 

Only 5 runners but 3 of them have led before and my top 2 ratings are possible pacesetters, BIG TIME MAYBE 11/8 comes out top rated on just 2019 times and this one might not want it to be really fast ground while PINK ICEBERG 11/2 who has a faster time but that was in 2018 and this one likes the fast going, so the going will be my deciding factor. 

Big Time Maybe 13/8 1st
Pink Iceberge 7/1 3rd

BRIGHTON 2.40 (8.1) 

A very muddled race, Enthaar and or Lightning Charlie 5/1 look the likely pacesetters and the latter is my 3rd top-rated, Alicia Darcy 15/2 is well weighted on its best time and with the apprentices claim could be the new 3rd top-rated, Pour La Victoire 9/1 is top-rated using its best 2018 time but hasn't shown much so far this year, the top weight Tin Hat 9/2 is top-rated using just 2019 times and the apprentices claim moves it to top spot but it's looking more of a fluke time now, I will look to dutch the four I've put prices up for if possible to make a profit. 

YARMOUTH 4.55 (7.4) 

The early pace here may come from Gifted Zebedee my 3rd top-rated but it needs to improve a few pounds to win this race, Archimedes is top-rated by just 1lb but that time was from 2017 and hasn't been near that time lately so my money will be riding on SIMBA SAMBA 2/1 a 3-year-old who won last time out and a repeat of that time would see it follow up here. 

Simba Simba 2/1 6th

KEMPTON 5.05

An 11 runner AW race, right up my street no going issues to worry about, there's 4 runners that have led before and my top 2 ratings are possible frontrunners here, Katheefa could run well if able to repeat its Chelmsford time on this track, Lady Dancelot 11/4 is my 2nd top-rated and stall 1 is ideal although it doesn't have to lead to win and was very very unlucky last time out when finishing 3rd as it got no clear run on its first 2 attempts to pick up and then finished like the proverbial train and would have won in another stride or two but SPARKALOT 10/1 has a c/d time that puts it 2lb clear and if the apprentice is worth the 7lb claim it could tip things even more in its favour and this one can also lead so I'm hoping it does lead and then repel all challengers.

Sparkalot 14/1 5th