6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (6th January)

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

UPDATE: READ BELOW

BRAZEN ARROW 8/1 comes out fourth best on my speed figures but its 133 days since the stable last had a winner and the horse is still a maiden after twelve races but could possibly do enough to make the frame but I might lay the win part at a single figure price. 

BUT YOU SAID has run on this surface in Ireland but didn't show anything of merit so the same surface here might not suit it and is also a maiden after twelve previous races and another that I will look to lay if value to do so which 11/2 is. 

DELLA MAN hasn’t any form on this course and would need to improve time wise on what it has produced on this surface and distance at both Lingfield and Kempton and usually likes to track the leaders and I will look to lay this one at 4/1. 

INDIAN AFFAIR has been known to lead before and normally stall 13 would be a problem but with only 2 known front running types in this race it could be ok for it but time wise it would need to improve to lead all the way and I expect it will be a double figure price.

KNOCKABOUT QUEEN is usually held up for a late run but hasn't been in good form in its latest runs plus time wise it would need to improve to win this race and I doubt it can peg back the leaders in this race and I doubt it will be fancied in the betting. 

KRAZY PAVING has only slow times over this c/d in 2021 and its best from 2020 leaves it outside my top four ratings and I don't think this surface suits it the best but I think the price will reflect that notion. 

LADY MONICA has only had one previous course and distance run which resulted in a time not quick enough to register on my speed figures and it races as though a longer distance would suit it better and another I think will be an outsider. 

MONSIEUR FANTAISIE has a time from 2021 that makes it my third top rated horse and usually races in midfield and then stay on at the finish, it could make the frame but would need to improve to win this race but could do so, so I couldn't lay it. 

MOVEONUP has poor recent form and it would be a bit of a surprise if this one managed to win this race and I am not sure this surface will suit it either and will be an outsider.

NOZIERES has shown very little and another that would be a surprise winner and will be an outsider. 

RED ALLURE hasn't any form on this surface and would need to improve for the switch to the Polytrack surface to win this race and I expect it will be a double figure price. 

ROCKESBURY (EW) is a known front running type and has a rating from 2020 makes it my top rated so from stall 2 it could possibly get away smartly and get control of the rails and then be hard to peg back.

VINCENZO COCCOTTI (EW) has pieces of form that give it a decent chance in this race, it is my top rated on c/d times from 2021 or this year and comes out in second top spot using a 2020 speed figure. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay, But You Said who doesn't look to like this surface looking at its Irish form and Della Mare who has poor ratings on this surface, as for the winner I will be having two bets firstly on ROCKESBURY 20/1 who has been known to lead and if getting to the front and gain control on the rails it could prove hard to catch but just in case things don't go to plan i will also be backing VINCENZO COCCOTTI 12/1 who is usually held up for a late run so I will have both angles covered and will go with two each way punts.

UPDATE: 

PS: there are now 2 non runners, Indian Affair and Rockesbuy who were the only front runinng types in this race, which now paints a completely different picture and now the favourite, Monsieur Fantaisie, has been given a better chance of winning this race but isn't of value at 9/4 so this race is now best left alone.

5:25 Chelmsford Racing Tips (4th November)

CHELMSFORD 5.25 

I have found a couple of front running types which is always a bonus and even better when they are your two top rated horses, I'm not sure there will be anything of value to lay but the betting will decide, Smokey and Storm Melody my 4th and 3rd top rated horses could be the ones to prosper if the leaders go off too fast and fade but could be an each way wager anyways especially the latter as its time was recorded this year, I will be splitting my stake between DARK SIDE PRINCE 9/2 and *LA ROCA DEL FUEGO 5/1 they both have good trainer/jockey stats and i think the rest will find it hard to catch them if they get the pace right. 

*NR

Dark Side Prince 8/1 1st +pts

Total +8pts

CHELMSFORD 5.55 Div I

Again I can find two front running types in this race and again it think it could be won from the front, I will look to lay Irish Times if its a single figure price as I think a longer trip will suit this one better, Bernard Speirpoint could do best of those coming from off the pace and could be worth an each way punt, the top weight HOWZAK 5/4 comes out 3rd best on just 2021 c/d times but it ran and won on Monday at Lingfield and that speed figure would make it my top rated depending on what size penalty it has to carry, it has come out joint top rated, but I have ROCKESBURY 7/1 who has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated on overall figures, ignoring the top weight until I see that ones penalty, and another that likes to lead and I'm hoping that at least one of them can hold on for the win. 

Howzak 5/4 1st  +1.25pts  

Rockebury 40/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Irish Times +1pt 

Total +1.25pts

CHELMSFORD 6.25 Div II

The top weight Little Sunflower may set the pace to the race but would need to improve time wise unless its allowed an easy lead and sets a slow pace and keeps plenty in reserve to repel any late challengers, Iesha sits in 4th top spot on my figures just one pound below Giovanna Tiepolo who is my 3rd top rated, my 2nd top rated horse It Must Be Faith recorded its best time last year over this distance at Lingfield but I will be hoping that MAID MILLIE 10/3 can reproduce its best course and distance time from last year and if able to do so would be winning this race a shade cosily. 

Maid Millie 10/3 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

Total on the day +8.25pts

1:50 Yarmouth Racing Tips (9th June)

YARMOUTH 1.50 

A field of 13 runners with just the one known front running type amongst them, I will look to lay both Pedestal 9/2 who has never won over this distance and on recent form its held by Twice As Likely who is my 5th top rated horse, and Thake 6/1 who races as though its better over a shorter distance and as usual that's it they are single figure prices, I cannot with any confidence narrow it down to less than 3 horses so I will be dutching the 3 of them, the top weight ROCKESBURY 9/1 is the one that could set the pace and it comes out top rated but that is using a time from on the AW at Chelmsford and taking into consideration the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim, LINCOLN RED 8/1 is 3rd best on my figures but has run to the same level for both 2019 and 2020 so is capable of being competitive here and this one has decent trainer/jockey stats so could be worth an each way interest, NIBRAS SHADOW 7/2 is the 3rd one in my list to dutch but this one has poor trainer/jockey stats with the stables older horses. 

Rockesby 11/1 1st +11pts (Betfair SP 15.5) + £83.60 EX

Lincoln Red 8/1 2nd -pt

Nibras Shadow 4/1 8th 

Total +9pts

Winner winner chicken dinner! That's what they say. I'm not sure what they say in France but I've been visiting this online casino meilleurs jeux casino and getting into the action. Who doesn't like a bit of oooh la la. 

You know, my cousin's husband came from Australia and he loves a bet. I wonder if ever tried acepokies online pokies because I would love to have a chat with him over a cold beer.   

HAMILTON 8.15 

Only 6 runners with one known front running type amongst them, I will look to lay Fendale 7/2 who might prefer a shorter trip and Equidae 9/2 who may be better over further, Call Me Ginger is my 3rd top rated and the jockey has a 15% win ratio for the stable, the early pace might be set by BREAKING RECORDS 7/1 who is my 2nd top rated so could be hard to catch for most of the others but I do have ABEL HANDY 11/1 rated higher, the trainers 1-28 win record here and the jockeys 1-27 win record is quite a bit off-putting but I don't think I have any choice so I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Abel Handy 16/1 4th -1pt 

Breaking Records 7/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

HAMILTON 8.45 

What a dire looking race which sure wont take much winning and I only have 2 horses with recorded speed figures with rest being a bunch of slowcoaches, firstly I will look at Corton Lass 8/1 to lay if its a single figure price who might prefer a longer as might Lord Of The Glen 7/4 who I will also hope to lay, Signore Piccolo is the only known front running type in the race and with an easy lead could go well and maybe worth an each way interest, Guardia Svizzera i my 2nd top rated who might be better over further on good to firm ground and hasn't won since 2018 so I will be backing THRILLA IN MANILA 9/4 who just looks the best of a poor lot but i expect it will be to the fore in the betting but the trainer does have a 15% win ratio with the older horses at this course.

Thrilla In Manila 9/4 1st +2.25pts (Betfair SP 2.76) 

Total on the day: +9.25pts

2:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (31st May)

CHELMSFORD 2.00 Div I 

Division one of a poor class 6 race but luckily there is a couple of known front running types in the race, its a hard race to find anything in a single figure price to lay so I will have to look for something to win the race, I think/thought that Nibras Shadow might be better over a shorter trip but it has good trainer 18% winners + jockey 15% winning stetson the stables older horses but I wont be backing it but it could run well if the early pace isn't too fast but I somehow doubt that will happen, Requited is one of the possible pacesetters and it comes out in 3rd top position on my figures, Agueroo comes out 2nd best but that is using a time from 2018 and hasn't shown much speed figure wise since then, my money will be riding on the one I think/hope can get away smartly and lead all the way and stall 1 is the perfect draw for ROCKESBURY 12/1 (EW) to implement its front running style and if repeating its best time from 2020 it would get back to winning ways and the price allows me to go with an each way wager. 

CHELMSFORD 2.35 Div II 

This sure isn't a race to be betting heavily in if betting at all, I have got negatives against 9 of the 12 runners but none of the 3 that are left on my list fill me with any confidence, I think the best way to make a profit in this race is by picking out 1 or 2 to lay but I cannot do that until I've seen the betting, Delegate The Lady comes out 3rd top on my figures and usually stays on nearing the finish over this distance but trainers 3% win ratio here doesn't inspire confidence while the jockey is 1-12 for the stable, TARSEEKN 22/1 (EW) is the only known front running type in the race and if allowed an easy lead it could go well especially as this race wont take much winning and might be worth an each way wager, my top rated is PERFECT SYMPHONY 50/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form and the jockey is 0-6 for the stable but this horse is capable of hitting form without any warning so I am hoping to have 2 small each way bets in this race.

11:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (19th December)

LINGFIELD 11.45 

A dash with 3 known front runners, I'm not sure A Go Go 3/1 can reproduce its form on this surface so worth a lay, Kaths Lustre 7/2 may need a longer trip therefore worth laying, Starchant and Fairy Fast are my joint 2nd top rated but both from times earlier in the season and they haven't shown much on their recent starts, my money will be riding on EQUALLY FAST 11/2 who is a possible pace setter and should be able to gain control of the rails and once in front it ought to prove hard to catch but the jockey Franny Norton is 0-10 for this stable which surprises me but it surely that must just be a coincidence and he has a chance to break his duck for the stable here. 

Equally Fast 11/2 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

LINGFIELD 1.25 

A very competitive class 2 race i can only see Lomu 10/1 to lay if it drops to a single figure price, time wise I might also take on Premier Power 5/4 it has been in good form but none of its races were as fast as some of these can go on a good day and if favourite wont be of value and its even a shorter than i anticipated, Brian The Snail could stay on at the finish and is going for a hattrick of wins here, i will take a wild punt in this race by backing MERHOOB 12/1 (EW) each way, it has led before and from stall 4 could even grab the rails if it can beat the stall 2 horse out of the stalls, it has the fastest c/d figure for 2020 and that would be 2nd best overall but its best from 2019 pushes it back into top spot. 

Merhoob 12/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 Div I 

Quite a poor race where on tissue prices 8 of the 11 runners are predicted to be double figure prices and my top two are in the 3 that are fancied in the betting, The Mackem Torpedo 2/1 could be the favourite but i think it might need further to show its best and might be worth taking on with a lay bet and at the price isn't value to back in my opinion, i will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, ROCKESBURY 13/2 could be the one to set the pace, it hasn't run here before so not 100% sure what to expect but its best time from Chelmsford makes it my top rated on overall figures so could lead all the way if not then my 2nd top rated horse KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 7/2 who is top rated on just c/d times and it was recorded this year which is always a positive. 

Knockabout Queen 13/2 7th (-1pt)

Rockesbury 13/2 8th (-1pt)

Total: -2pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 Div II

This is a strange race where there's not a single horse that has a recorded c/d time from 2020 so I've had to go back to 2019 to find Billyoakes 6/1 best time while in its defence it has only had one c/d run this year so it could make the frame but the trainer/jockey stats are quite low and the price isn't really big enough to back each way, Miracle Garden is my joint top rated horse once again using a 2019 time but again the trainer doesn't have the greatest of stats at this course which leaves me with SWANTON BLUE 28/1 (EW) and this ones time was recorded this year but at Chelmsford and if it takes to this course it could be worth a small each way wager especially at the price on offer. 

Swanton Blue 28/1 1pt EW (+4.6pts)

Total: +4.6pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

This is a decent looking class 4 race with just one known front runner in Mythmaker 5/1 who is my joint 3rd top rated horse alongside A Sure Welcome 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and both could make the frame if things go their way but neither are each way prices in my opinion, sitting in 2nd top spot is Steelriver 12/1 but its only by 1lb and this one can be held up or track the leaders so could make the frame and is an each way price but my money will be riding on CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 4/1 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here, stall 10 isn't ideal but a repeat of its time last time out would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

Sprint number 6 for the day, there's only 11 runners but its a race where I will have to dutch a few of them, ZULU ZANDER 10/1 is top rated on just 2020 c/d times so has to be included and its versatile when it comes to racing tactics, ANOTHER ANGEL 7/2 could be the one to set the early pace and is my 2nd top rated on overall figures and could make the frame but isnt an each way price then add BALLYARE 11/2 into the mix as this one is top rated using a Newcastle time but its best c/d time isn't good enough to even make the frame, I hope I've got the winner within the three selections but my stakes wont be at full strength.

4:25 Chelsmford Racing Tips (7th December)

CHELMSFORD 4.25 6f Class 6 

A full house of 14 runners with a couple of known front running types one of them Dreamboat Annie hasn't shown much worthwhile time wise since 2018, the 3yo Spreadsheet is my 3rd top rated on 2020 times and 4th top overall, Aguerooo has a time from 2018 that would make it my top rated but only by 1lb but its form since then has been woefully short of that level, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in VINCENZO COCCOTTI 4/1 who is usually held up for a late run but it will need a perfect run to catch ROCKESBURY 9/2 who from stall 6 could lead and if doing so it ought to prove very hard to catch, I will be backing them both but tilting in favour of the latter selection whom hoping can lead from start to finish. 

Abandoned due to fog.

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 5f Class 5 

A 10 runner race with just 1 known front runner in the 3yo The Nosey Parker who could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but there's a few ho like to track or chase the leaders so it should be a true run race, another 3yo Cloudea might like this drop down in distance and has won at the distance on turf, Dynamo Walt and Show Me The Bubbly have times that could see them involved in the finish but my money will be riding on an old favourite in the shape of QAARAAT 16/1 (EW) usually stays on strongly at this distance and if able to repeat its best times from either 2020 or its even better time from 2019 it would find itself back in the winners enclosure and at the price going with an each way bet looks the best call.

Qaaraat 16/1 +(2.2pts)

Total on the day: +2.2pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (10th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A competitive looking class 4 race with 13 entrants and 4 that like to set the early pace but I think they will set the race up for something coming from off the pace, there's a few that could battle to make the frame, Clareyblue, Extraordinaire (who may do best of the front runners) Recall The Show and Lilklan, my selection is ROCK BOY GREY 6/1 who should be staying on at the finish but I will also have a small each way bet on *STORM OVER 33/1 who has a time from 2019 that would make it top rated and at the price I cannot let it run without a bet on it. 

*NR

Rock Boy Grey 6/1 1st (+6pts) Betfair SP (5.9)

Total: +6pts 

(If you get  a chance, watch the race from the start)

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A full house of 14 for this race with a couple of front running types and another that can lead if nothing else wants to, Indian Pursuit has a speed figure from 2018 that would see it winning this race but it hasn't shown the same level since then from limited opportunities, Poppy May is a possible pacesetter and comes out joint 3rd best on my figures the other joint 3rd rated being Dubai Paradise, ROCKETEER 10/1 is joint top rated and the one that could do best of those coming from off the pace and has a positive jockey booking and it will be carrying some of my money along with ROCKESBURY 9/1 who is a possible pacesetter and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch but i have to back them both to cover both angles.

Rockesbury 9/1 2nd (-1pt)

Rocketeer 10/1 6th (-1pt)

Total -2pts

Total on the day +4pts

7:00 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th October)

KEMPTON 7.00 

There's only 7 runners but I still cannot narrow it down to one selection, there is a couple of frontrunners so it should be a true run race and if I knew HIGHLAND DRESS 12/1 would like this surface it would be my sole selection hoping it would lead all the way but its best time comes from Southwell, the horse 2nd on my figures is HARRY'S BAR 4/1 who has a fast time from Chelmsford which is the same surface but right-handed while its left-handed here, the one with the top c/d rating is CHIL CHIL 14/1 that time did come from 2019 but its been running well on turf so I expect it reproduce its previous best, there is only 4 lbs between my top 3 so I will look to dutch them and then lay (Glamorous Anna) as I think this one is better over 5 furlongs but it is only a 3yo so could still improve but i think its worth taking the risk if no bigger than a 7/1 shot. 

Harry's Bar 4/1 1st (+4pts) Betfair SP 5)

Chil Chil 14/1 4th (-1pt)

Highland Dress 14/1 5th (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Glamorous Anna +1pt

Total:  +3pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15

A full house of 14 for this race but only Tagovalloa known for pace setting and this ones best time from Kempton would see it just outside my top 4 ratings but if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame, I have found a couple i will look to lay (*Algaffaal + Highly Sprung) the former may need further and the latter is 0-12 on the AW tracks, on just 2020 c/d times there is only 1 lb between Kind Review and Devils Angel so both could make the frame if reproducing their best, my selection KAPONA 9/1 has the same rating as Kind Review from 2019 and hasn't any recent c/d form to work with but has a time from Chelmsford this year which would see it winning cosily in this race (if only everything went to plan) 

*NR 

Kapona 9/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Highly Sprung +1pt 

Total: 0pts

KEMPTON 8.30 

Twelve runners with two known front running types, (Gherkin) is only a 3yo but I think it needs further to show its worth and maybe worth laying in this race, another race where I will be dutching 3 runners, MERCERS 7/1 near the bottom of the weights has been running well lately finishing 2nd on its last 2 runs and this is a hold up type, its 3rd top overall but top on just c/d times, ROCKESBURY 3/1 is the one I'm hoping sets the early pace and if getting to the front it should prove hard to catch but its best time does come from Chelmsford and this is its debut over this c/d, the top weight SWANTON BLUE 3/1 also has its best time from Chelmsford which makes it top rated overall so i have to back/dutch the 3 selections to cover all the angles.

Mercers 9/1 5th (-1pt) 

Rocksbury 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Swanton Blue 9/2 8th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Gherkin +1pt

Total: -2pts

Total on the Day: +1pt