1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (23rd June)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Only 4 runners with half of them being 3yo’s which doesn't help my analysis, Miss Calculation 7/1 may need further and isn't proven on good to firm ground so maybe worth laying, As If By Chance 3/1 needs to improve time wise to win this race, Aphelios 11/8 is my joint top rated thanks to the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim and has had only 1 run for this stable before which he won on, PRINCE OF BEL LIR 3/1 is my other joint top rated and the only known front runner in the race so this one could be able to lead all the way.

Prince Of Bel Lir 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts 

NOTTINGHAM 4.05 

This race isn't much better with 5 runners and 4 of them have been known to lead before and I think the race could be between HIGH SECURITY 9/2 and EEH BAH GUM 10/3 as long as they don't cut each others throat in a desperate battle to lead, they flip flop as my top rated with the latter being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice who certainly looks worth his claim, I have negatives against the other 3 runners in the race but if they do go off at a madcap fast pace then possibly Stone Circle 7/4 could follow up its win from just a few days ago but isn't of much value so I will go with dutching my top rated pair. 

Eeh Bah Gum 10/3 2nd -1pt 

High Security 11/2 4th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

HAMILTON 8.30

Up to 6 runners for this race where Huraiz seems the most likely pacesetter but this one hasn't been in good form lately and has poor trainer/jockey stats which puts me off, Primo's Comet can record a good rating but might get outclassed at this level but what will win this race is something I cannot fathom and maybe the best way to make a profit from this race is with a lay and I would look to lay Boogie Time 5/2 who may need further and this race most likely will not be run to suit it plus the apprentice jockey has a dire 1-40 win ratio for the stable. 

HAMILTON 9.00

WOW a field of 10 for this race with a couple of known front running types amongst them, Fircombe Hall 4/1 finished 2nd last time out and actually recorded its best rating that day but it was still a relatively slow time and might therefore have been flattered by that result and will be much shorter here than its chance merits the trainer is 0-21 at this course and the jockey is 0-6 for the stable so certainly looks one to lay, Elladora 10/1 who likes to track the leaders starts off as my top rated but drops to 2nd top spot when an opponent has a 5lb claiming apprentice on board so looks as though it could make the frame and possibly be worth an each way bet, as for the winner I think MACHO PRIDE 4/1 could set the pace to this race and if leading could be hard to peg back and the apprentice jockey is 1-3 when riding the stables older horses.

3:10 Ayr Racing Tips (22nd June)

AYR 3.10 

A 9 runner race with only one known front runner amongst them, I will look to lay Tomily 9/1 if its a single figure price, there is only 3lbs between Soul Seeker, Be Proud and Son And Sannie in 6th to 4th top rated on my figures and all or any could go well and even make the frame if others falter, EEH BAH GUM 4/1 is only my 3rd top rated but the reason I cannot discard this ones chances of winning is because its the one I expect will set the pace and could steal the race from the front if allowed an easy time out in front, NEVER DARK 4/1 sits in 2nd top spot using a time from Musselburgh this year on good ground but I'm not convinced it really likes good to firm going but if they water too much the going could suit it, SOUND OF IONA 16/1 is my top rated horse using a time from Hamilton on good to firm ground and the jockey does quite well (17%) for the stable and I will dutch all 3 as any of them could win this race. 

Never Dark 15/2 3rd -1pt 

Sound Of Iona 33/1 5th -1pt 

Eeh Bah Gum 4/1 6th -1pt 

Total -3pts

AYR 3.45 

A Listed class race and once again I can only see one front running type in the race but I doubt it can lead all the way or even make the frame as its one of the outsiders in the field, value wise I cannot see anything to lay although there is a few big priced runners that look to have virtually (never say never) no chance of winning this race, the 3yo Dickiedooda comes out 4th top on my figures and it could be capable of some improvement so could make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price, Keep Busy 8/11 sits in 3rd top spot using a time from Ascot this year and is dropped in class and is the very hot favourite, my top rated is Free Love who did its best time at Windsor but it wasn't at this level/class of racing so it might be outclassed in this race but then again it could still go well but I will putting my faith and money on WISE WORDS 11/2 who recorded its best time at Bath when finishing 2nd on its first and only race of the year a couple of months ago and this has what I call a positive jockey booking as he has a 30%win ratio on the stables older horses and tome it looks the value call in the race. 

Wise Words 11/2 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

AYR 4.50 

This is quite a nice looking race for a class 6 affair with 1 known front runner amongst the 9 entrants, I will look to lay (The Mackem Torpedo) who may have been flattered when finishing 3rd last time out where it was well beaten in a slow run race and if a single figure price it would be one to lay, the 3yo Symbol Of Hope is my joint 2nd top rated on its best time from Doncaster so this course should suit it, the other joint 2nd top rated is BREAKING RECORDS 12/1 and I have put this one up as a possible bet because its the one that looks the likely front runner and could attempt to steal the race from the front and is dropped in class in this race which is the same foe EQUIDAE 15/2 who is my top rated on a time recorded at Hamilton this year but this one could have got towed along in a fast run race as it finished 3rd but was beaten nearly 5 lengths so I will back them both to cover the angles.

Equdae 15/2 2nd -1pt

Breaking Records 12/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day  -6pts