2:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (15th December)

LINGFIELD 2.25 

DURDLE DOOR 11/2 a possible pacesetter who hasn't run over this course and distance, it has a mediocre rating from Kempton but a higher rating from Chelmsford so not sure what to expect but the jockeys 0-17 record for the stable makes me think they have a future target in mind. 

GHAALLYA 16/1 is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could lead if allowed to dictate and set a slightly slower early pace to keep something in reserve for the finish which I don't think will happen, it hasn't run at this course before and it would need to improve on its best time recorded at Wolverhampton.

LOTHIAN 14/1 can either be held up for a late run or track the leaders but time wise it would need to improve on both its course and distance speed figure and its better rating recorded at Chelmsford. 

CAPPANANTY CON 18/1 is another one that is quite versatile with its racing tactics and it has been known to lead before usually when nothing else wants to and that could happen in this race which could mean that its stall 12 draw might not be a big a negative as usual and if getting to the front it could prove a hard nut to crack. 

HURCLE 40/1 has shown very little in its three runs this year, it can track the leaders or be held up for a late run but time wise its sits outside my top four ratings and may struggle to catch the leaders in this race and I think it will be an outsider in this race.

CAMACHESS 8/1 has a speed figure from February this year over this course and distance which makes it my 3rd top rated in this race, it usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on nearing the finish and could at least make the frame.

PATSY FAGAN 9/1 on what this one has shown so far with its speed figures it would need to improve quite a few spots but it is only a 3yo so could be capable of improvement but its last 2 runs haven't shown much and i hope it doesn't improve too much here. 

PRINCELY 16/1 has only relatively slow times on recent form and it hasn't won from 13 previous runs on an artificial surface but has made the frame twice but its not for me in this race and i think it will be another outsider in the betting. 

*PORTELET BAY 6/1 hasn't ever run over this distance on this surface and hasn't won from 6 previous All-Weather races, making the frame in two of them, it may not like this surface and seems a bit of a weak finisher whatever distance they run it over and maybe worth laying at the price. 

DEPUTISE 7/2 has only slow ratings for its more recent course and distance forays and even its best rating on the Tapeta surface leaves it short of breaking into my top four ratings and I am surprised its such a short price.

PABLO DEL PUEBLO 4/1 this 3yo won last time out recording a speed figure that would make it my third or fourth top rated so it could run another good race hear and may even get to follow up that win of 19 days ago, it usually races in midfield or held up for a late run. 

REAL ESTATE 22/1 has one high speed figure when it got towed along in a fast run race and that is becoming to look like a flukey one off rating and has been in poor form on it’s more recent runs. 

SUMMARY: I think I will start with a horse that I will be looking to lay in this race as Portelet Bay is forecast to be the second favourite around the four to one price but it still hasn't managed a win on the AW tracks and I think this surface may not be its favoured one and it needs to improve on its best rating from Wolverhampton, as for the winner I will be backing three horses firstly CAMACHESS who is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 c/d times and may really be top with question marks about the top rated horses rating most likely being a fluke or one off time and it likes to track the leaders the other bet will be on CAPPANANTY CON who from stall 12 may be forced into making an early attempt to either lead or at least contest the lead and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch and this horse has been known to spring back to form without prior warning and finally PABLO DEL PUEBLO 4/1 who won last time out and could be an improving 3yo and could follow up here.

*NR 

Camachess 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Capananty Con 18/1 4th 

Pablo Del Pueblo 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

2:50 Southwell Racing Tips (4th March)

SOUTHWELL 2.50 

I will look to lay Qaaraat if of any value as this trip is usually too far for it also Scale Force for the same reason while Red Jasper and Wrath Of Hector both race as though a longer trip would suit them and the latter has a good time from last year that makes it 2nd top spot on recent c/d times, Marvel would be top rated if using a time from 2019 and may need this run for fitness, I am hoping that YOUNG JOHN 4/1 gets away well and then sets the pace and if leading it should prove hard to catch and has very good trainer/jockey stats making me believe that connections are expecting to get back to winning ways here. 

Young John 4/1 6th -1pt

Total - 1pt

SOUTHWELL 3.25 

A field of 11 with 3 o them known as front running sorts and 2 of them are my top 2 ratings, Brandy Station, Jeans Maite and possibly Angel Eyes could prosper if they go off too fast and then fade, Archimedes is my 2nd top rated and coming out of stall 8 over this straight five furlong course and could do enough to at least make the frame but I will be backing the other one that I think will attempt to lead, RED STRIPES 6/1 who is only rated 3lbs better but it could be enough to swing things in its favour but it isn't a race I will be betting too heavily in. 

Red Stripes 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 5.50 

Down to 8 runners for this race with just the one runner that has been known to lead before, Global Hope comes out 4th top rated using a Kempton time from 2019 but hasn't no course form to its name and hasn't won any of its previous 10 AW runs, Boy In The Bar comes out 2nd top but again that is using a time from 2019 and neither have been in good form lately, Suzis Connoisseur comes out 2nd top rated on recent c/d times and its a good enough time for 3rd top spot overall which leaves me putting my faith in CAPPANANTY CON 4/1 who I am hoping could lead all the way in this race and has been found a good opportunity to complete the hattrick of wins.

Cappananty Con 9/2 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts