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Showing posts with label Indian Creak. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Indian Creak. Show all posts

Sunday, 21 May 2023

2:35 Carlisle Racing Tips (22nd May)

CARLISLE 2.35 

A field of 9 for a class 4 dash on hopefully good to firm ground and if it is then I would look to lay Princess Karine 13/2 who prefers some cut in the going and the same applies to Huddle Up 11/2 and both will be lays if single figure prices, Albegone has the top rating but may need this run for fitness, Glorious Rio stays on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit it, there is one horse that has been known to lead if nothing else wants to I'm hoping that OUR ABSENT FRIEND 15/2 can lead here and then kick for home and lead all the way. 

Our Absent Friend 9/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Princess Karine +1pt, Huddle Up +1pt

Total +1pt

CARLISLE 3.10 

To be honest this class four, seven runner sprint is a race where it might be best not to have a bet, I can't work out what will set the early pace which always makes analysis that much harder, Westmorian races as though further might suit it better so this race might not be run to suit it, Thaki can produce a good rating but usually in lower class races and I can only see me putting PAPA COCKTAIL 5/2 into a multiple bet, it has won its last 2 races so is it tip top form and has been found a good opportunity to complete its hattrick. 

Papa Cocktail 11/4 1st +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

WINDSOR 5.00 

A class 4 dash where 3 of the 8 runners have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for its class, La Roca Del Fuego is one of them but its only turf win came at a lower grade of racing, I will look to lay Antiphon who might be better when tackling a longer distance, Faustus is another possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated so could go well but they might push each other too hard in the early stages which might play into the hands of GLAMOROUS BREEZE 7/1 who usually races in midfield before saying on strongly at the finish but this one would like the going to be good to firm to show its best form. 

Glamorous Breeze 7/1 1st +7pts 

Lay bet Antiphon +1pt 

Total +8pts

WINDSOR 6.35 

A class 3 sprint with 10 entrants of which 2 are known as front running types and if Bear Profit gets to the front it could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Count Otto comes out as my 3rd top rated on my own speed ratings and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so another that could make the frame and a possible each way prospect, Lethal Nymph comes out in 2nd top spot and another that likes to track the leaders but my money will be riding on INDIAN CREAK 5/1 who likes to run in midfield before running on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockeys stats making me think the connections are expecting a big run in this race.

Indian Creek 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +10.75pts

Sunday, 26 June 2022

2:15 Pontefract Racing Tips (27th June)

PONTEFRACT 2.15 

A field of 6 for this dash but with no known front running types in the race it always puts me on the backfoot and means my stakes will kept fairly low, Rhythm 15/2 might need further and this race might not be run to suit its racing style, Coleys Koko 14/1 and Lady Celia 7/1 are capable of producing a good speed figure but usually in lower class races than today's class 4 affair, Esken Rose 6/1 hasn't any distance form to its name but has faded at 6 furlongs so today's distance might be ideal, Elegant Erin 7/4 would need to improve time wise to win this race, it has won its last 3 races and might now be in the grip of the official handicapper so I will put my faith in HAVEAGOMECCA 3/1 who has decent trainer/jockey stats and could go one place better than when it finished second last time out. 

Haveagomecca 17/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 4.45 

I was going to omit this race from tonight's blog and as for looking for the winner I am leaving this race alone it was only when i saw the betting that I noticed how short in price True Mason 10/3 was and at that price will be looking to lay it, it did win last time out at Doncaster on good going but if the going here is good to firm as forecast then this horse who hasn't produced its best before when on the faster ground may struggle in this race. 

Lay Bet True Mason +1pt (13/8f)

Total +1pt 

WINDSOR 6.15 

The 2 3yo’s in this race could be dangerous, Sterling Knight 10/3 is my 3rd top rated using a c/d time recorded earlier this year while Witch Hunter 5/2 has never run on good or good to firm ground before but has a rating from the AW at Wolverhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but price wise they are bot way too short in my opinion so I will stick with the proven and put my money on INDIAN CREAK 9/2 who has a rating over this c/d recorded this year that would see it winning this race a shade cosily but once again there isn't any known front running types in this race which is always a worry and means I will be keeping my stakes fairly low in this race as well. 

Indian Creak 9/2 1st +4.5pts 

Total 4.5pts

MUSSELBURGH 7.30 

Just 8 runners which is ideal if they all run, Sixcor 11/4 is my 4th top rated and has been in good form lately so could go well again here and be trying to stay on at the finish but I doubt it will get to the leader in time to win this race and at the price I will look to lay it, Hey Mr 10/1 is another who may need further but will be trying to stay on at the finish, Birkenhead 5/1 is my 3rd top rated and I usually held up for a late run, Sound Of Iona 20/1 is always capable of winning at this level but has been in poor form time wise recently and usually gives a signal when its coming into form so my money will be riding on GOWANBUSTER 11/2 who is the only known front running type in this race and if given an easy lead and allowed to set the pace it could lead all the way here.

Gowanbuster 9/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Sixcor +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day +4.5pts