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Showing posts with label Judicial. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Judicial. Show all posts

Friday, 11 November 2022

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th November)

LINGFIELD 2.35 

This a Listed class sprint and the fast track qualifiers final so it should be a competitive race and with four runners that have led before it should be fast and furious. I will be laying *Logo Hunter 9/2 who races in Ireland but all of its best form has been over shorter distances and its sole win at this distance was in a relatively slow run maiden race, it has run against better opposition at times but without ever winning so I would expect the same to happen here and it will tire in the closing stages. Harry's Bar is a hold up type and my joint 3rd top rated along with Tippy Toes 18/1 who likes to lead and has the stall 1 draw so could go well here if bouncing back to form without warning like it did when it won four runs ago so might be worth an each way interest. Another Romance comes out as my 2nd top rated but that is using a rating it recorded on turf at Salisbury so not sure what it will produce here but the betting will hopefully give an indication to its chances of winning. My top rated horse is JUDICIAL 13/2 who won last time out in a Listed race on turf and has been found an opportunity to follow up here and the jockey booking, Jim Crowley, looks a positive one. 

*NR 

Judicial 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

A field of 13 for this class 5 sprint and with 4 known front running types it will probably have a fast early pace and could play into the hands of something coming from off the pace and when backing a staying on type in a race you always need a bit of luck for your horse to get a clear run. I will be looking to lay Alcazan 5/1 who will be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the front runners and stall 1 isn't always ideal for a hold up type. Of the front running types the one that could be a big danger is Algheed 8/1 it needs to improve on its best course and distance rating from 2021 but its best Polytrack rating would make it my top rated but I'm not sure if I can rely on that rating, if getting to the front but in the make-up of this race stall 9 might not be ideal. I will be backing two runners in this race, SOVEREIGN SLIPPER 7/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and the trainer has a 22% win ratio with their older horses at this course but stall 12 isn't ideal else it might have been my sole bet in the race while PORFIN 11/1 can also run in midfield or be held up nearer the back of the field before staying on strongly at the finish, I don't know much about the 7lb claiming apprentice but if worth their claim it could tip things in their favour. 

Sovereign Slipper 10/1 2nd -1pt 
Porfin 11/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Alcazan +1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 

This class 5 dash is very competitive for its class with 4 known front running types amongst the eleven runners, Dream By Days 7/1 is a 3yo who hasn't made the frame in its 2 runs on an artificial surfaced track and it races as though further would suit it better so maybe a lay if a single figure price. Bang On The Bell is a possible pacesetter and my joint 3rd top rated along with Kim Wexter who either races in midfield or tracks the leaders. Melody King 10/1 is another possible pacesetter and being my 2nd top rated it ought to do enough to make the frame and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead so might be worth an each way interest but i will be backing STREET LIFE 9/1 who is a previous course and distance winner and likes to track the leaders so looks ideally drawn in stall 2.

Street Life 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Dream By Day +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -2pts

Tuesday, 20 September 2022

Tuesday's Racing Tips (20th September)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

A field of 12 with 3 front runners amongst them, the betting will decide whether there's any lays or not in this race but I am hoping that Michael's Choice will be of value to lay because this front running type wont get its own way in front and time wise it needs to improve to win this race so I doubt it can hold on even if it does lead, the 3yo Kodias Sangarius is my 4th top rated but did record its best rating this year over today's course and distance, Peggoty another 3yo could make the frame being my 3rd top rated, SWISS PRIDE 8/1 is my 2nd top rated and the one that could go well here and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and in the make-up of this race stall 12 might not be too bad and will be carrying some of my money but i do have YIMOU 7/1 rated higher who hasn't won from 8 previous runs on an artificial surface but in the last 2 weeks the stable has had 3 winners from just 5 runners and I will be backing both of them. 

Yimou 7/1 2nd -1pt 
Swiss Pride 8/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Micheal's Choice +1pt 

Total -1pt 

BEVERLEY 3.27 

Just 7 runners for this class 2 conditions race with 3 of them being known to lead before, apart from Sophie's Star who hasn't shown much the other 6 all have pieces of form that would give them a chance in this race, Bedford Flyer is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace as my top rated pair both like race to the fore, King Of Stars sits in 2nd top spot and could gain control of the rails from stall 3 but JUDICIAL 4/1 is my top rated and a repeat of the rating it recorded at Ascot would see it winning this race and the jockey has a decent 19% win ratio for the stable. 

Judicial 5/1 1st +5pts

Total +5pts

LINGFIELD 3.55 

A class 6 race with 10 runners and just one known front running type, Saxon Village 10/3 is making its handicap debut but races as though a longer distance would be better for it and it might be worth taking the risk and laying it, Shawwaaq another 3yo is my 4th top rated and usually races in midfield during its races, Stake Acclaim comes out in 3rd top spot but hasn't been in good form lately especially its 3 runs this year, Hey Ho Lets Go comes out 2nd best on my figures and is a course and distance winner which is a positive but then so is my top rated HOWZAK 11/1 who is also the one that I think will set the pace to the race and this is a drop in class from some races its competed in lately and time wise it would win cosily if able to reproduce the rating it recorded here in 2021.

Howzak 12/1 1st +12pts 

Lay bet Saxon Village +1pt

Total +13pts

Total on the day +17pts