4:45 Bath Racing Tips (21st May)

BATH 4.45 

I have posted this race in the hope that the going is at least good which it is forecast to be but with showers everywhere I will watch the earlier races to look at the going before I place any bets, if there is any cut in the ground then leave the race alone. 

BAY WATCH 6/1 is usually staying on at the finish over this distance and time wise it needs to improve to win this race neither a bet or lay. 

GINGER JAM 10/1 is in my top 5 speed ratings so could go well but the trainer is 0-5 with their older horses and is usually held up and then finishes strongly. 

PETTOCHSIDE 10/1 the trainers 0-16 record is off-putting but the apprentice jockey has won all 3 of her wins on this horse and is 3-7 for this stable and with her 7lb allowance it could go well again in this race. 

NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND 7/1 has a relatively slow time but in its favour is that it was recorded this year and usually likes to track the pacesetters. 

BOOM THE GROOM 6/1 isn't the horse of old and at this distance usually finds things happening too quickly for it and I would look to lay it if a single figure price. 

CENTURIAN SONG 6/1 hasn't any form over this distance on turf and it either wants a longer trip or a slower surface or maybe both and another i would look to lay if a single figure price. 

THE DALEY EXPRESS 8/1 hasn't shown much lately on good ground and might be better when raced in a lower class race than this class 4 affair. 

SENECA CHIEF 14/1 this ones best time is just outside my top 5 ratings and can be held up or track the leaders but I'm doubting it could win this race but never say never.

GREY GALLEON 8/1 this ones best time was recorded back in 2018 and its another horse that will be better suited when its dropped in class and one I would lay if a single figure price. 

SECRETFACT 12/1 hasn't won since 2019 and even then its best form was recorded in lower class races and may struggle here but I expect it will be a double figure price so no value to lay. 

ICONIC KNIGHT 18/1 this one has a time over this course and distance from last year that would make it my 2nd top rated and this class holds no fears and could go well in this race. 

CORONATION COTTAGE 15/2 is the one i think might lead in this race but all its best speed figures are from lower class races. 

SUMMARY: This isn't a bad looking race but it is quite hard to analyse so my stakes will be kept low, I will look to lay the horses I mentioned in the write up above but I will be hopefully be able to have two small each way wagers in the race, as the apprentice does well on this horse the first each way bet is PETTOCHSIDE 10/1 (EW) and I hope it is a double figure price the second each way bet will be on ICONIC KNIGHT 18/1 (EW) this ones trainer does well at this course and the jockey has won once and been placed in ten other races from seventeen c/d runs so it would maybe be better doing the place part only on a betting exchange.

No bets (soft ground) 

3:25 Salisbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (21st August)

SALISBURY 3.25 

Let's hope all 8 runners take part in case there's any each-way selection, the going is described as good but I somehow don't believe that, so please check before you place a bet on this race but just in case the going is ok, the one that interests me is PETTOCHSIDE 7/1 who won last time out in a one-class lower race than today's but was riding in better class affairs in 2018 and this class last year so could have been found a good opportunity to follow up here. 

Pettochside 10/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 

There's 13 participants here and only 1 known frontrunner in the topweight Slowmo who might do enough from the front to make the frame but I doubt it can hold on for the victory, I will look to lay (Dubai Elegance) who might find the distance a bit too far if there is a fast early pace, there's a few, Englishman, Equipped, Puchita, Chocco Star and Kraka, that could run well in this race, Chocco Star has a fast time from Lingfield but hasn't any form on this surface, Puchita is top-rated using just 2020 times and this one might be worth an each-way punt but my main bet will be riding on GLOBAL HUMOR 5/1 who hasn't any course and distance form to its name but if able to repeat its best time on this surface at Newcastle it would get back to winning ways. 

Global Humor 5/1 1st (+5pts) Betfair SP (7.01)

Total: +5pts  

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.05

This 11 runner class 6 affair isn't a race to be betting too heavily in mainly due to the fact I am not sure what will set the early pace in this race, I backed Captain Ryan at 20/1 last time it ran when finishing too late and finished 2nd, it won't be that price today and this looks a slightly harder race but it could run on into a place if gaining a clear run, there's some horses, Thegreyvtrain, Miaella and George Thomas, have times from Lingfield that could possibly see them make the frame if taking to this surface, I will be backing my top rated horse, QAARAAT 7/1 who has only won one race from 23 on the AW tracks but has been placed in 10 of them so hopefully it can be backed each way and it ought to at least make the frame and could win.

Qaaraat 7/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total -1pt 

Total on the day: +3pts 

12:45 Musselburgh Racing Tips & Lay Bets (1st July)

MUSSELBURGH 12.45 

There's only 5 runners and still not an easy race to analyse to a conclusion despite me looking to lay (Antagonize 9/2 + Primos Comet 5/2) Red Stripes does have the fastest time from 2019/20 so could go well as it could be the one to set the early pace, Royal Brave has a time from 2018 that would make it 2nd top-rated overall while NIBRAS AGAIN 7/2 is only 3lbs below in 2nd top spot on 2019/20 times and that was recorded this month, going back even further to 2019 it has a time that would see it win cosily and looks the call in this race. 

Nibras Again 7/2 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Primos Comet -2.5pts, Antogonize +1pt

Total: -2.5pts

KEMPTON 8.45 

A 9 runner affair where I will look to lay (My Style 6/1 + *Martineo 10/1 + Global Hope 10/3) Barrington 5/1has been known to lead if needs be and stall 1 is of course ideal and it may try to lead but its not an each way price and it won't get an easy lead in this race as LITTLE PALAVER 25/1 (EW) is more of a natural frontrunning type and if getting to the front this one could be hard to catch and at the price, I cannot let it run without having an each way bet on it, Marvel 10/3 is a maiden after 7 runs but has been placed in those 7 races and could well make the frame again here but looks poor value at the price, PETTOCHSIDE 20/1 (EW) usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so this race could be run to suit its racing style and has a time from 2019 that makes it my top rated so I will be backing both horses in this race to cover the angles and both have to be backed each way at their prices.

*NR

Little Palaver 25/1 1st (+30pts)

Pettochside 25/1 7th (-2pts)

Lay bets: My Style +1pt, Global Hope +1pt

Total: +30pts

Total on the day:  +27.5pts