1:15 Sandown Racing Tips (21st July)

SANDOWN 1.15

I can see 2 front runners in this field of 11, Saaheq 5/1 and Recon Mission 8/1 may not appreciate the good to firm ground and the latter may be better when tried over further swhile Delegate This Lord 10/1 would also appreciate further and hasn't been in good form time wise lately. Nordic Glory 11/1 is one of the possible pacesetters but it would need to improve time wise to win this race so any or all could be worth laying.  Acrion hasn't any turf form to its name and its best AW rating would make it my 3rd top rated but both the trainer and jockey have poor stats with the stables older horses but could be worth an each way interest, the 3rd front running type Street Parade is my 2nd top rated horse but the trainer has a poor 4% win ratio with their older horses here and the jockey is 0-12 which makes me think the race could be set up for HAN SOLO BERGER 10/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders before staying on at the finish the trainer has a 21% win ratio with their older horses here while the jockey is 1-4 on the stables older horses and if an each way price all the better. 

Hans Solo Burger 10/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Recon Mission -4.5pts, Delegate This Lord +1pt, Nordic Glory +1pt 

Total -4.5pts

DONCASTER 5.55 

A field of 11 for this class 5 sprint with 3 known front running types So Grateful 9/2 and Giogiobbo are 2 of them but would need to improve time wise to win this race and they may not be able to lead in this race anyway. Athollblair Boy 11/2 likes good to firm ground to show its best but even then it would need to improve on the clock to win here. The top weight Sound Of Iona 9/4 is looking to complete a four-timer but only comes out 4th best on my figures and might struggle to give the weight to some better weighted opponents and might be worth taking on at the price. Point Of Woods comes out 3rd best and is usually held up for a late run but it might be too far for it on good to firm ground. Igotatext 14/1 is the other known front runner and being my 2nd top rated on a time it recorded at Yarmouth last year it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front but hasn't been in great form in its recent runs, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 14/1 (EW) who recorded a rating last year at Carlisle that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and the apprentice jockey does quite well on the stables older horses and at the price it has to be an each way wager.

Singe Anlais 16/1 Unp -2pts

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.5pts

2:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (13th June)

LINGFIELD 2.00 

I love the AW races mainly because the stupid racecourses keep watering the grass at the earliest opportunity and good to firm is hardly ever the going, only 6 runners here but there is 2 known front runners, I think that Ford Madox Brown 9/1 might need further to show its best and i will look to lay it if its a single figure price, the 3yo Baileys Accolade may do best of those coming from off the pace and being a youngster it could still have some improvement to come and it wouldn't be too much of a surprise if it won the race but I will stick with SWISS PRIDE 3/1 who is my top rated and one of the front running types so I'm hoping it can lead all the way for victory. 

Swiss Pride 10/3 1st +3.3pts 

Lay bets: Ford Madox +1pt 

Total +4.3pts

CARLISLE 2.45 

There's eleven runners in this race with just Kolossos known as a front running type but it would need to improve time wise to win this race but could if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame but I doubt it could win the race but I doubt it will be of value to lay but I could look to lay Stone Circle 9/2 who might need further on good to firm ground to show its best form, Muatadel 7/1 who also doesn't seem to like good to firm ground and might struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace, and Canaria Prince 9/2 who is still a maiden after 7 runs and might be better when racing over a shorter distance, Sharrabang 20/1 is my 2nd top rated horse and could go well if it springs back to form but it hasn't shown much lately so I will be backing SINGE ANGLAIS 16/1 (EW) who becomes my top rating with the jockeys 7lb claim and they have a 2-9 win ratio for the stable on their older horses and also has good 27% trainer stats it is also dropped in class to run to run in this race and at such a big price it has to be given as an each way punt.

Singe Anglais 16/1 3rd +2.2pts

Lay bets Stone Circle +1pt, Canaria prince +1pt

 Total +4.2pts

NOTTINGHAM 6.20 

A ten runner race where the early pace could be set by Rhythm and it might be able to do enough from the front to make the frame as its fairly close between my sixth and 2nd top rated horses, looking for something to lay I have got 2 that I hope will be single figure prices, Temple Bruer might need further to show its best, Snow Berry who may be outclassed at this level, then there's Grandfather Tom who hasn't shown much time wise since 2020 even when it was third last time out but if finding that 2020 form again it could win this race but I wouldn't want to bank on it to win but I'm not sure I could lay it either as for the winner my money will be riding on VAN GERWEN 7/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but admittedly it has poor trainer stats but if able to repeat its best time recorded earlier this year at Ripon it would win a shade cosily.

Van Gerwen 9/1 1st +9pts

Total +9ts

WINDSOR 6.40 

I haven't got a lot of data to work with for some of the entrants of this race so this is going to be a bit of a punt as I was going to leave the race alone until I saw the rating of BEYOND EQUAL 13/2 who likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish, the trainer has a 22% win ratio at this course and the jockey has had two rides and one winner when riding for the stable so it looks like connections are expecting a big run here so it might be worth a small wager.

Beyond Equal 11/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +16.5pts

1:30 Hamilton Racing Tips (1st May)

HAMILTON 1.30 

The first of two poorish class 6 sprints for today with just 7 runners, the early pace will most likely be set by either Morty and/or Shesadabber but I doubt either will hold on for the win but could go well especially if ones allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Burj Malinka 5/2 who might not like good to firm ground and hasn't made the frame from 5 races on turf and still a maiden after 8 races in total, also the pair from the same stable, Sharrabang 8/1 who may need further on good to firm ground but this one does have good jockey stats so just a small lay while Mansfield’s 5/1 jockey is 0-5 for the stable and may also struggle at this distance on fast ground, my money will be riding on MORTY 9/4 who’s trainer does quite well at this course and the jockey has a 16% win ratio on all the stables runners and I'm it can lead all the way to go one better than when it finished 2nd last time out. 

No bet - soft ground 

HAMILTON 4.56 

A big problem in this race with no known front running types in the race which means the race could have a slow early pace or more than one changes its usual running style and there's a mad rush for the lead, I can only see Kat's Bob 3/1 as a lay at a price that's value to lay at, I'm not sure it likes the good to firm going so may struggle here, 3 others I could lay will all be big prices and not of value to lay, as for the winner I'm hoping that SINGE ANGLAIS 6/1 who is a hold up type, gets a fast early pace which will help its cause but with some uncertainty in the race any stakes will be kept on the low side.

No bet - soft ground