7:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (1st October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

To be honest there's not really much form to work with in this race with five 3yo’s in the field of 12 so any stakes will be kept low, the top weighted MUSCIKA 9/1 (EW) catches my eye as it is dropped in class to run in this race and the last time it was dropped to this class 5 level it won and therefore I'm hoping it can repeat that effort here as the rating it recorded here last year would be enough to win this race and at the price could be worth an each way punt. 

Muscika 12/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

This 6 furlong sprint has 3 known front running types so it should be a true run race, one I will be looking to lay is Ancient Times who seems to have trouble staying today's distance with a fast early pace while Royal Pleasure can struggle to stay this distance but with the make-up of this race it could be staying on if the leaders tire nearing the finish. Strike Red is a joint 2nd top rated using a rating from 2021 at Newcastle but hasn't been in good form lately, WATCHYA 7/1 (EW) is one of the front runners in the race and is my other joint 2nd top rated using a 2022 course and distance rating and could lead all the way here as long as it doesn't have to battle too hard and then fade nearing the finish, using a rating it recorded at Newcastle in 2020 DUBAI STATION 14/1 (EW) comes out in top spot but only by a couple of pounds and then its being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice so if worth the claim takes it 9lbs clear, it hasn't any recent form over this course and distance but has shown it can still compete at this level with form from elsewhere, so I will be backing them both to cover the angles and maybe each way wagers might pay dividends.

Dubai Station 14/1 5th -2pts 

Watchya Unp -2ptw 

Lay bets Ancient Times -1pt, Royal Pleasure +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -4pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (15th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A field of 9 for this class 2 sprint where a third of them have been known to lead before, its such a competitive race I'm not sure I can find anything to lay, there is only 3lbs between my 7th top rated and the horse sitting in 3rd top spot, my 2nd top rated horse Tolstoy is only 2lbs higher but my top rated is the top weight MAY SONIC 11/1 (EW) who if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 would win this race with a bit to spare, it also has good trainer/jockey stats which make me think connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways here but the price says it has to be an each way bet. 

May Sonic 25/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pt

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

Fourteen runners in this class 3 sprint with a couple of known front running types to ensure there's a good fast early gallop, the 3yo Lir Speciale hasn't any form on this surface but on Polytrack it only produced slow times so would need to improve for the switch to this Tapeta surface to win this race and would also need to improve on its best rating from the turf so maybe worth laying but as it has good trainer/jockey stats so it will only be a small lay, Water Of Leith can produce good ratings but not at this level and would be another lay if a single figure price, I will be backing both of the known front runners in this race, WATCHYA 16/1 (EW) has been in good form winning 3 of its last 5 races and is my top rated using just 2022 ratings so has to be backed but MUSCIKA 33/1 (EW) has an even better rating from 2021 at Wolverhampton and this horse is capable of springing back to form without prior warning and I expect it will be an each way price, in fact at the prices i will be backing them both each way. 

Watchya 16/1 4th -2pt 

Muscika 40/1 8th -2pt 

Lay bets: Lir Speciale +1pt

Total -3pts  

NEWCASTLE 8.45 

A nice looking class 3 dash with 14 runners and 3 known front running types amongst them, I will be looking to lay Many A Star who has never won over this distance as a longer trip suits it much better and hasn't ever won on an artificial surface from 4 attempts, Marnie James, Be Proud and Show Me Show Me could be battling to make the frame but I will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, SWAYZE 18/1 (EW) is one of the possible pacesetters in this race but hasn't run on an AW course but its best rating from the turf would see it winning this race a shade cosily but that's only if it takes to the surface so i will also be backing NAVELLO 14/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and is my top rated using a rating it recorded here last year and has good trainer/jockey stats which I'm hoping points to connections expecting it to run a big race here and once again I will be backing them both each way.

Swayze 18/1 2nd +3.5pts 

Navello 14/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bet: Many A Star +1pt

Total +2.5pts

Total -2.5pts

7:45 Southwell Racing Tips (8th September)

SOUTHWELL  7.45 

A nice looking class 3 race over 6 furlongs with 13 runners and a couple of front runners to ensure there's a decent early gallop, King Of Tonga 8/1 hasn't any form on this surface over this distance and would need to improve upon its best turf rating to win this race and might be worth laying if of value to do so, Water Of Leith might be outclassed at this level, Mocktail is better over a shorter distance and both might be worth laying if a single figure price which I doubt, Tyger Bay, Astro Jakk and Ava Go Joe are closely matched on just course and distance ratings but would need to improve time wise to win this race, on times on this surface but elsewhere, in this ones case Wolverhampton, then The Lamplighter could do itself justice and any of them could make the frame but i will be backing 2 runners in this race, WATCHYA 6/1 is my top rated using either Newcastle or Wolverhampton and is one of the known front running types so this 3yo could add to its tally of victories, it isn't well drawn in stall 13 but could in the make-up of this race have the speed to get out and head for the rails and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but I will also be backing BADRI 4/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and from its stall 2 draw it will hopefully be able to get a good early position and then stay on the stronger at the finish and I do like to cover both of those angles to give myself the best chance of making a profit from a race. 

Abandoned due to the passing of The Queen. 

SOUTHWELL  8.45 

Another nice looking class 3 race over the straight 5 furlong course but this time with the full complement of 14 runners this time with 3 known front running type, Isle Of Lismore 8/1 has only produced slow times both here and at Newcastle and looks a better prospect when racing over a longer distance so could be worth laying as it might be a shorter price than it merits just because it won last time out over this distance but on a tough turf course, Newmarket, so might have been flattered by that result compared to today's conditions, of the front running trio of Equality 4/1 stall 2, The Bell Conductor 15/2 stall 4 and Lihou stall 5, 10/1, any of them could lead and any of them might even make the frame but they would need to improve a little bit to actually win the race, that's assuming others run to their best, my top rated horse using just course and distance ratings and the horse that's top rated using ratings from either Newcastle or Wolverhampton is the same horse THE THIN BLUE LINE 10/1 who has been running reasonably well lately but hasn't won, it is usually held up for a late run and likes a fast pace to aim at so this race should be run to suit it and hopefully get it back to winning ways and if an each way price, as forecast on the early tissue prices, then all the better.

Abandoned due tot he passing of The Queen.

Had been posted as Salisbury rather than Southwell, so I must apologise for that.