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Showing posts with label Dubai Station. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dubai Station. Show all posts

Sunday, 9 April 2023

5:13 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (10th April)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.13 

A field of 8 for this class 5 sprint where I can see 2 front running types, Murbih 6/1 one of them would need to improve time wise to win this race but it is dropped in class to run here but the top 4 in the handicap have all been running in better class races. I think that Westmorian 6/1 may be better on the Polytrack surface because its times on this Tapeta surface have been slow over this distance at all 3 tracks so might well be worth laying if its a single figure price nearing the off. El Hombre 10/3 is my 3rd top rated and won for me last time out so is in tip top form so could profit if others fail to reproduce their best. Giselles Izzy 6/1 is actually my top rated using a rating recorded at Southwell but its one run over this course and distance resulted in a slow time so I'm not sure if i can rely on it reproducing its best here but I suppose I ought to have a small covering stake just in case it does repeat its best but I will be backing MELLY'S FLYER 8/1 as my main bet as its the one that I think will be the one that will set the pace to the race and its best rating, also produced at Southwell is only 1lb below the top rated and from the front doesn't need any luck in running and could lead all the way here. 

Melly's Flyer 8/1 1st +8pts

Lay bet: Westmorian +1pt

Total +9pts 

KEMPTON 5.50 

A field of 12 for this class 2 sprint where I can see 3 or 4 possible pacesetters that's because Prop Forward 5/1 can lead but is also versatile when it comes to racing tactics but like Fernandoh Reh 9/1 and Royal Parade 12/1 who also can lead, they all need to improve time wise to win this race, that's assuming others run to their best, Silver Samurai 8/1 will be one I lay if its a single figure price nearing the off as its best rating might have been a one off fluke result. Dig Two 15/2 is my 4th top rated and a front running type so could do best of those setting the pace and could possibly make the frame, I have joint 2nd top rated horses in Kiwano 7/1 and Badri 10/1 who can both track the leaders while the latter could also be held up for a late run but my money will be riding on DUBAI STATION 12/1 who is a hold up type and won 2 runs ago but only finished 7th last time out which can be ignored as it was raced over 7 furlongs and is immediately dropped back to six furlongs in this race and the jockey has a reasonable strike rate for the stable.

Dubai Station 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet: Silver Samuri +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day +9pts

Friday, 10 March 2023

1:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (11th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.30

A very nice looking class 2 sprint with 10 runners and there should be a decent early gallop to ensure a true run race, Exalted Angel 9/1 hasn't won on the All-Weather since 2021 and also might be better suited to the Polytrack surface so I will look to lay this one, Baldomero 6/1 may need further to show its best so if a single figure price near the off I might lay it to a small stake. Sir Robin 13/2 is my 3rd top rated and could be the one to set the pace to the race and might be worth an each way interest but the price isn't what I consider to be a good each way price, Strong Power usually stays on at the business end of its races but hasn't been in good form lately so I will be backing another strong finisher in the shape of DUBAI STATION 11/1 (EW) who was made favourite last time out but has been found an opportunity to get back to winning ways and I doubt it will be favourite in this race and if an each way price then it would be all the better. 

Dubai Station 11/1 1st +13.2pts

Lay bets Baldomero +1pt

Total +14.2pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 6 sprint where I think the early pace will be set by Viewfromthestars who is my 4th top rated and is well drawn in stall 3 to gain control of the rails, Top Exhibit 8/1 is the only other known as a front running type but seems better on the Tapeta surface. May Remain 5/1 may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace and it was a slow run affair when it finished 2nd last time out. Dark Design 7/2 will be running on at the finish and comes out in 3rd top spot on my speed ratings and could make the frame but isn't an each way price while it would need others to falter for it to win the race, Starjik 20/1 is 2nd top on my figures but hasn't been in good form in its recent outings so maybe today wont be its day but never say never although the betting backs up what I thought being a big outsider. I will hoping that JUMIRA BRIDGE 10/1 (EW) can reproduce its best 2022 rating which would see it winning this race a shade cosily and hasn't been running too badly in its recent runs and from stall 2 it could get a tow into the race and find a good position from which to attack nearing the finish and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Jumira Bridge 10/1 1st +12pts

Total +12pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

A field of 8 for this class 6 dash both Procivity and Thakrah race as though further would suit them better but this race might be run to suit them with 3 natural front running types in the race, Youre Cool and Thank The Lord are front running types and my 4th and 3rd top rated horses in this race and could set it up for something finishing strongly nearing the finish, if i go back to 2021 then I'm Mable comes out in 2nd top spot, SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 9/2 is my top rated and should be able to follow the stall 5 horse across to the rails and find a good position from which to attack nearing the finish and if reproducing its best should stay on the strongest of them all.

Sir Rodney Redblood 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Total +4.5pts 

Total on day +30.7pts

And for good measure Eric had an ew treble paying 540/1 

WHEN HE'S HOT - HE'S HOT!

Wednesday, 19 October 2022

4:15 Southwell Racing Tips (20th October)

SOUTHWELL 2.30 Div I

Not a bad race for a class 6 affair with 12 runners and 3 possible pacesetters, both Chief Of Staff 7/2 and Cooperation 5/1 who like to front run could go well here and possibly do enough to make the frame but are not each way prices, Sovereign Slipper 13/2 might just need this run for fitness after nearly a year off so maybe worth laying. This is the kind of race where I lay 2 horses to cover the options, the improving 3yo ELDEYAAR 7/1 is another possible pacesetter and if getting to the front could prove very hard to catch being my top rated on Tapeta ratings from elsewhere while DARK SIDE THUNDER 11/2 is usually held up for a late run and is my top rated using just course and distance ratings so going with 2 bets seems the right way to go in this race. 

Dark Side Thunder 11/2 6th -1pt 
Eldeyaar 10/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Sovereign Slipper +1pt 

Total -1pt  

SOUTHWELL 3.05 Div II

This 2nd division is another competitive race for the class, the early pace could well be set by Ahlawi 8/1 but it would need to improve time wise but if allowed an easy lead from stall 3 it could be dangerous but I doubt that will happen with a few horses that like to track the leaders it should ensure there's a good early gallop, Twilight Secret 5/1 has been in good form lately but its best form has come on the Polytrack surface so I will look to lay this one especially if its a short price which is forecast, I am going to take a punt in this race with what will hopefully be an outsider, CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 14/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish, its been known to bounce back to form before without warning but did run quite well when finishing 3rd 2 runs ago and the trainer has a 19% win ratio here with their older horses and the jockey has a 2-7 record when riding for the stable and at the price has to put up as an each way punt. 

Chookie Dunedin 14/1 6th -2pts 

Total -2pts

SOUTHWELL 4.15 

A full house of 14 for this dash with 5 known front runners Ooh Is It 6/1 can go well from the fore in its races but would need to improve time wise to win this race and might be worth laying, as for the winner I think this dash might be won from the front but I cannot split 2 horses *GIOGIOBBO 12/1 (EW) who is my top rated on ratings recorded over this course and distance and has been known before to win when coming back from a break from racing and *TRUE HERO 25/1 (EW) who is also coming back after a break from racing and i'm hoping this one will be an each way price as it has run well before after a break and the jockey booking looks significant as he has a 44% win ratio on the stables older horse and a good 38% win ratio on all ages that hes ridden and such big prices I will have to go with each way wagers. 

*NR 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

This is a tricky looking sprint, 11 taking part with 3 known front running types, Spangled Mac 6/1 is forecast to be the favourite but I think it might be better served over a longer distance so one I would lay if of value to do so, Strong Power 9/1 produces higher ratings on Polytrack so might be another one to lay, Aberama Gold 9/1 is capable of producing a good rating but hasn't been at that level so far this year but still could go well if repeating its previous best. May Sonic is a possible pacesetter but this doesn't appear to be its favoured surface, Tippy Toes another possible pacesetter hasn't any form on this surface but its best from Lingfield on the Polytrack surface would make it competitive here and could possibly make the frame, this race could be ideal for DUBAI STATION 15/2 who likes to race in midfield or be held up for a late run and its best rating, recorded this year, would see it back in the winners circle.

Dubai Station 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Spangled Mac +1pt (remember we don't lay horses over 9/1 sp) 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -3pts

Friday, 30 September 2022

7:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (1st October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

To be honest there's not really much form to work with in this race with five 3yo’s in the field of 12 so any stakes will be kept low, the top weighted MUSCIKA 9/1 (EW) catches my eye as it is dropped in class to run in this race and the last time it was dropped to this class 5 level it won and therefore I'm hoping it can repeat that effort here as the rating it recorded here last year would be enough to win this race and at the price could be worth an each way punt. 

Muscika 12/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

This 6 furlong sprint has 3 known front running types so it should be a true run race, one I will be looking to lay is Ancient Times who seems to have trouble staying today's distance with a fast early pace while Royal Pleasure can struggle to stay this distance but with the make-up of this race it could be staying on if the leaders tire nearing the finish. Strike Red is a joint 2nd top rated using a rating from 2021 at Newcastle but hasn't been in good form lately, WATCHYA 7/1 (EW) is one of the front runners in the race and is my other joint 2nd top rated using a 2022 course and distance rating and could lead all the way here as long as it doesn't have to battle too hard and then fade nearing the finish, using a rating it recorded at Newcastle in 2020 DUBAI STATION 14/1 (EW) comes out in top spot but only by a couple of pounds and then its being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice so if worth the claim takes it 9lbs clear, it hasn't any recent form over this course and distance but has shown it can still compete at this level with form from elsewhere, so I will be backing them both to cover the angles and maybe each way wagers might pay dividends.

Dubai Station 14/1 5th -2pts 
Watchya Unp -2ptw 

Lay bets Ancient Times -1pt, Royal Pleasure +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -4pts

Friday, 5 August 2022

2:10 Ascot Racing Tips (6th August)

ASCOT 2.10 

Not a bad looking class 2 dash where half of the 10 runners have been known to lead before so I expect it will be fast and furious if that's possible over this stiff course, I think it will be a race where I will back one of the likely pacemakers and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Hurricane Ivor 10/1 would need to improve on its best 2021 rating to win this race and hasn't shown anything worthwhile in its 3 runs this year so could be worth laying if a single figure price, King Of Stars 11/2 is my 4th top rated and a possible pacesetter and could make the frame if others falter but isn't really an each way price, Count D’Orsay 7/1 is my 3rd top rated but doesn't seem completely at ease on fast good to firm ground, i have joint top rated horses in LAMPANG 12/1 (EW) who likes to run from the front and recorded its best time at Hamilton last year so should be ok on this course, DUBAI STATION 16/1 (EW) usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger in the closing stages and this race could be run to suit it as the early pace could be too fast and then some would fade nearing the finish but neither of my 2 bets have good trainer stats but luckily they are both each way prices so I will be having two each way wagers. 

Lampang 12/1 3rd +1.4pts
Dubai Station 16/1 9th -2pts 

Total -0.6pts

REDCAR 4.02 

This is a typical class 6 stakes race which wont take much winning, and most have not been in great form of late and only 4 horses have wins over this distance to their name and 3 of those wins are course and distance winners, Newgate Angel could set the pace to the race it would need to improve time wise to win the race but could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Stroxx is my 3rd top rated but hasn't ever won over today's distance but could possibly make the frame, Koropick comes out in 2nd top spot but once again hasn't won over this distance so my money will be riding on CUPPACOCO 7/2 who is my top rated and ran well last time out when finishing 2nd and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better here and get back to winning ways. 

Cuppacoco 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 7.05 

One front running type in this race is Enduring who could go well from the front and might be worth an each way interest if allowed to set a slower early pace but I doubt it will be allowed an easy lead in this race,, *Iconic Knight 6/1 won last time out over a furlong further than today's distance so might get outpaced here in the early stages but does come out in 3rd top spot using a Tapeta rating but that surface does seem to suit it better and maybe worth laying in this race, my 2nd top rating is Pablo Del Pueblo 12/1 who is the other horse known to lead before and could go well here after running on turf in its last few races and doing very little in its last 3 runs but the switch to this Polytrack surface could rejuvenate it and might be worth an each way interest but my money will be on COME ON GIRL 11/2 who is a course and distance winner and my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 27% win ratio on all the stables runners and 50% win ratio on the stables older horse, he won on the horse 2 runs ago but it was beaten last time out with an apprentice taking the ride but the switch back to today's jockey makes me believe connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race.

*NR

Come On Girl 6/1 1st +6pts

Total 6pts

Total on the day +4.4pts

Saturday, 23 July 2022

2:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (24th July)

CHELMSFORD 2.45 

A nice class 2 race with 12 runners and 3 of them have been known to lead before and all 3 of them, Emperor Spirit, Tomouh and If You dare, are my co-fourth top rated horses so they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Wonder Elzaam is my 3rd top rated with Marks Bear sitting in 2nd top spot but this ones jockey is 0-18 for the stable so I will be hoping that DUBAI STATION 11/2 who is a hold up type can get a clear run when attempting to make its move and is 2 from 2 on an artificial surface. 

Dubai Station 11/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 3.30 

A six runner race where Equiano Springs looks the most likely one to set the pace to the race and being my 2nd top rated horse it could prove hard to catch for most of the runners and if allowed an easy lead it could possibly pinch this race from the front, I would look to lay both *Gumdrop and Persuasion 5/1 if of value to do so, the former is a hold up type and time wise would need to improve a good few spots while the latter may need a longer distance to show its best form and this race might not be run to suit it, the one I will be backing needs good to firm ground to show its best so if the going is as required then BAY BREEZE 10/1 who usually likes to track the leaders ought to finish the stronger and get back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Bay Breeze 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Persuasion +1pt

Total 0pts

PONTEFRACT 5.15 

A lowly class 6 dash with 11 runners and 3 known front running types and two of them, Imperial Khan and Canaria Prince are my joint 4th and 3rd top rated horses so could possibly do enough from the front to make the frame, the betting will decide whether I find anything worthwhile to lay but it looks unlikely, Young Tiger is my other joint 4th top rated but not be able to pick up the leaders early enough to win this race, Stroxx is well weighted on its best form and usually runs ok but doesn't win as often as it possibly should, I will be siding with ELZAAL 5/1 who can be held up or track the early pacesetters and will be trying to pick up the leaders as the finish approaches and its best time from Ripon earlier this year would see it winning and the trainer does have a decent strike-rate at this course.

Elzaal 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts