5:25 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (28th January)

SOUTHWELL 5.25 

Only 9 runners but I can dismiss 4 of them so I will look to lay them (Gnaad--Sandridge Lad--Leo Minor--Aquarius) I'm not sure what to make of Coolagh Magic and Johnny Reb although I'm not sure this surface will suit the latter, Le Manege Enchante is been in good form and may have earnt the opportunity to move up to this class 5 race but with 3 known frontrunners in the race it may not be able to cope with the rise from class 6, Captain Dion 16/1 is in my top 3 ratings its a possible pacesetter here and has the plum stall 1 draw and could do enough to make the frame so at the price it could be a good each-way bet, the horse that I will be backing is LIAMBA 3/1 who is another possible frontrunner and in the make-up of this race it should be able to get a good early position from stall 8 and if getting to the front it could be hard to catch. 

Liamba 7/2 7th 
Lays:  Sandridge Lad (-4.5pts) Gnaad (+1pt) Leo Minor (+1pt) Aquarius (+1pt) 

Total -2.5pts  

SOUTHWELL 5.55 

A 7 runner race with just 1 known frontrunning type, I am not 100% sure what to expect from Gulliver, Typhoon Ten and Wasntexpectingthat none have run on this surface before but nothing in the race I could confidently lay, the first 2 have won with cut on turf which is a positive for this course and the latter has a good record, 3 wins and 1 place from just 4 runs on the AW, Samovar is the possible pacesetter here but is raised in class and I am doubtful it can cope with this rise in class, Zylan is in good form with two 2nd places and a win in its last 3 runs and it's my 2nd top rated in this race but I will be backing the top rated KATHEEFA 7/2 who likes to track the leaders but my stakes won't be at full power mainly due to the topweight being the only one in the race to have regularly raced in this class before as its rated 14lbs higher than the next best in the handicap but it's not run since October 12th so may possibly need the run. 

Katheefa 7/2 4th 

Total - 1pt

SOUTHWELL 7.25 

Another 7 runner affair but this time over 5 furlongs and there's 4 that have been known to lead before but again there's nothing I could lay confidently, Red Stripes is a frontrunning type and my 3rd top-rated while Warriors Valley is another one that might try to lead but this one hasn't really shown much in its last few races and been fading quite quickly, I have to admit that ETERNAL SUN hasn't been in good form either but its best time from the early part of 2019 would give it every chance here and the jockey booking is what has caught my eye and this race won't take much winning.

Eternal Sun 16/1 6th 

Total (-1pt)

Day Total -4.5pts

12:30 Southwell Racing Tips (5th January)

SOUTHWELL 12.30 

ZAPPER CASS may find this trip too short, would need to improve timewise to win this race.

FOLLOWTHESTEPS hasn't any course form and would need to improve on its best Newcastle time to win this race.

WARRIOR'S VALLEY is the only known frontrunner in the race and is also my top rated.

TABAAHY will be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to win this affair FAIR ALIBI comes out 2nd top-rated and should stay on strongly at the finish.

SKEETAH my 3rd top-rated and it likes to track the early pacesetters.

GEORGE THOMAS hasn't any course form, would need to improve on its best Lingfield time.

SUMMARY: I am hoping that WARRIOR'S VALLEY 8/1 can get to lead here and then it should prove hard to catch. 

Warrior's Valley 9/1 4th

SOUTHWELL 2.30 

ETERNAL SUN will be held up to try and stay the 6th furlong and I would look to lay it.

AL SUIT EILE hasn't any distance form but could be a bit of a hidden danger.

GLOBAL HOPE hasn't any course form but could be a danger on its best turf form.

BEDTIME BELLA will be staying on strongly at the business end of the race.

LIAMBA Liamba is a frontrunner and timewise could lead all the way here.

GLOBAL MELODY may not be up to winning in this class and is on a 14 losing streak.

OUR CHARLIE BROWN will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win.

SUMMARY: I will be backing LIAMBA as it could possibly lead all the way here and if getting an easy lead it could pinch the race from the front but BEDTIME BELLA 9/2 moves to top spot with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim and both of them have good jockey stats so it looks like they are both expected to go well here and I will be backing them both.

Liamba 9/2 1st
Bedtime Bella 11/2 5th

Related post: See Eric's most recent winner

6:30 Southwell Racing Tips (21st October)

SOUTHWELL 6.30 

Again 10 runners and to be honest for a class 4 affair its not that great and theres 4 horses, Young John, Airglow, Praxidice and Gullane One that could be potential hidden dangers so any stakes won't be at full strength, my top 3 are all frontrunners so a lot of these might not get involved in the race unless they improve on what they have shown so far, Angel Palanas is 3rd top on a time recorded in 2018 so not an ideal draw in the make-up of this race, my 2nd top rated horse SAMOVAR 6/1 is ideally drawn in stall 1 so could/should gain control of the rails and then prove hard to catch but I do have LIAMBA 8/1 rated 3lbs higher, it will need a clear run from stall 8 and in my opinion may be fast enough away to at least contest the lead from the off and as long as it doesnt get took too wide on the bend it could prove the stronger but I will have to back them both but with my stakes tilted in favour of my top rated horse.

Liamba 10/1 3rd
Samovar 6/1 Unp 

See Eric's Secret Tip Here. 

4:50 Redcar Racing Tips (28th May)

REDCAR 4.50

There's a couple of known front runners in this race with Fair Cop coming out 3rd best so there should be a fast early pace and this one could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is MACHREE 14/1 and its 7lb claiming apprentice moves it to top spot and this one usually likes to track the leaders and my original top-rated MIDNIGHT MALIBU 10/1 is the other known frontrunner in the field so I will go with backing them both each way to cover the angles. 

Machree 14/1 1st 
Midnight Malibu 11/1 6th

See Eric's Winners in May (Over 100pts in winners) 

BRIGHTON 5.00

I don't know why I've added this sprint as I've no idea what will win the race, I would maybe have sided with National Glory 9/4 if it wasn't on a losing run of 14 and a better price, both Born To Finish 5/1 and Mont Kiara 20/1 could be competitive here and maybe dutching the 3 of them is the answer. 

REDCAR 5.55 

I don't usually like these amateur riders races but my top rated LETMESTOPYOUTHERE 9/2 is being ridden by a top class amateur jockette in Brodie Hampson and I will have a small bet as there is just so much that can go wrong in this type of race. 

Letmestopyouthere 9/2 7th

SOUTHWELL 7.10 

A lovely all weather sprint over the straight 5 furlongs here so the draw doesnt matter too much which is just as well when 7 of the 12 runners have been known to lead before and it might help my cause when my 4th and top rated are drawn next to each other, the 4th top horse is Crosse Fire in stall 5 but its best time so far this year has been a good few pounds below its best from 2018, Samovar likes to track the leaders and comes out 3rd best on my figures and could stay on at the finish so could make the frame, the topweight Eternal Sun 20/1 still comes out 2nd best and can be held up or track the leaders and its a bonus that its best time was recorded this year so at the price it might be worth an each way wager, the one I will be backing though is ARCHIMEDES 20/1 who is a possible pace setter and its drawn in stall 6 and im hoping it can lead or contest the lead from the off and prove good enough to lead all the way but luckily at the price I can back it each way. 

Archimedes 33/1 Unp 

SOUTHWELL 7.40 

Another nice looking all-weather sprint race, even class 6 races are nice on artificial surfaces, there's is a couple of horses that could be hidden dangers in Inexes and Vinnies Wish but I'm hoping it doesn't happen here, Hollander is well weighted on its best speed figure but that was recorded at Wolverhampton which is a different surface and hasn't run over this c/d before, Granny Roz, Kraka and Poeta Brasileiro have been known to lead but they are drawn 9 and higher so maybe won't be able to lead in the make-up of this race, LIAMBA 7/2 is my 2nd top rated and a possible frontrunner from stall 3 so could gain control of the rails and then be hard to catch and its 3lb claiming apprentice jockey moves it to joint top rated along with GLOBAL MELODY 5/1 so will split my stakes between the pair of them to cover the angles.

Liamba 7/2 1st
Global Melody 8/1 6th 

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