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Thursday, 27 February 2020

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th February)


A strange race where I have got negatives against 6 of the 8 runners but only 2 I would look to lay (Pink Flamingo + Peggie Sue) Mythical Spirit has good trainer/jockey stats but hasnt showed much in just 2 runs in 2019 and 2020, Kaths Lustre won last time out but is raised in class here and would need to improve further to win this race if others run to their best, I will be backing 2 runners in this race firstly its WITH CAUTION 16/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race and if allowed to dictate from the front could prove hard to catch and it does have good trainer/jockey stats to make me think they are expecting a big run and at the price, there is no way I can let it run without some money on it and could be a nice each way bet as long as all 8 runners take part but secondly if FANTASTIC FLYER 3/1 who won last time out runs to its best repeats its fastest c/d time it could follow up in this race and the stable does have decent trainer/jockey stats with their older horses. 

Fantastic Flyer 3/1 1st 
With Caution 25/1 unp 

Lay bets: Pink Flamingo (+1pt) Peggies Sue (+1pt) 

Total +4pts 


I thought the first sprint was a strange race this one is twice as bad, I can find a couple I would look to lay, (*Gunmaker 13/2 + Upavon 7/1) GRIGGY 11/4 has been in good form lately so cannot be discarded lightly, usually stall 9 would be enough to put me off the chances of AQUARIUS 12/1 but it is the only known frontrunning type in the race although BERNIES BOY 11/1 in stall 8 is a versatile type with its racing tactics and that does include leading but usually, it's only if nothing else wants to set the pace, this is only a class 6 race but MAID MILLIE 7/2 who won last time out was racing in a class 7 affair and not guaranteed to be as good now its back up in class. I think the winner will come from the 4 mentioned and maybe I will be able to dutch the 4 of them but maybe the best way forward is to win the race by just doing the lays.

Griggy 11/4 1st + Tri £76.73
Maid Millie 7/2 2nd 
Bernies Boy 11/1 3rd 
Aquarius 16/1 5th

Lay bets Upavon (+1pt) 

Total +0.75pts

Total on Day +4.75pts