3:40 Windsor Racing Tips (12th April)

WINDSOR 3.40 

This I a strange race to analyse simply because of the lack of known front runners, I've marked 4 down as being very much out of form, Green Power, Last Page, Heer We Go Again and Company Minx, but I think they will all be biggish prices, Beyond Equal and My Style might need this run for fitness, with both Edraak and Capotes Dream I'm not sure what to expect as I haven't much data to work with so I couldn't either back them or lay them so I will as usual stick with the proven, Triggered would need to improve time wise to win this race but maybe too big a price to lay, Second Collection comes out 3rd best on my figures and could maybe worth an each way interest, there is only 1lb between, Bimble who is coming off a 183 day break from racing and might just need this run for fitness, in 2nd top spot and THE LAMPLIGHTER 14/1 who sits at the top of my figures, this one had its first run since last October last month and hopefully that has got it into shape for this race, the trainer has a 23% win ratio with their older horses at this course and has employed a cracking 5lb claiming apprentice and that could tip things in its favour but as usual at the price i suggest an each way wager may be the best way to go in this race. 

The Lamplighter 14/1 4th -2pts

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.20 

Again a race with no known front runner, I've got 6, London Calling, Akua, Egrecio, Where Next Jo, Lets Get Lucky and Raabeh, marked down as out of form and I expect will all be big prices but i would look to lay any or aloof them if of any value to do so, Al Asef may be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it but its not one I could lay, Sir Rodneyredblood, Kaafy and I'm Watching You are just outside my 3 ratings although the former, Sir Rodneyredblood 5/2 has a time from Lingfield that would make it my joint 2nd top rated so it could possibly make the frame but its not one I would back each way especially at the price, Puchita comes out 2rd top on recent c/d figures but I'm not sure it will run after running on Saturday where it has a good chance of winning but if it does it could make the frame, the other horse in 2nd top spot is Aces 9/1 who is usually held up for a late run but I will be siding with *BERNIES BOY 10/1 who, if the forecast tissue prices are right, will be an each way price and the value call in the race. ( this one finished well to take 3rd on Saturday so maybe the price will not be as big as i hoped) but it is an each way price and that has to be my bet.

*NR

Total on the day -2pts

7:50 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd March)

KEMPTON 7.50 

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 10/3 won last time out at Chelmsford and has a winning c/d time to its name but that is 10lb below the Chelmsford times, its a shorter price than value because of those 2 victories, it should go well but maybe too high in the handicap now to follow up here. 

PHOENIX STAR 9/2 has the plum stall 1 draw and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and has won 4 races from just 6 previous c/d runs. 

ACES 4/1 is usually held up for a late run but may struggle to pick up the leaders for the win unless it can reproduce its best time from Wolverhampton on the Tapeta surface and in my opinion is way too short in price. 

GOLD COAST 14/1 hasn't any course form and it makes me think it will be better when racing over a longer distance which is reflected in its price.

BOUNTY PURSUIT 25/1 this is another horse that looks likely to be a better prospect when racing over a longer trip and is an outsider. 

LORNA COLE 18/1 has one c/d win from its 4 c/d runs but time wise it will need to improve a few pounds to win this race and again its reflected in its price. 

STORM MELODY 10/3 won last time out but it was a slow run affair and is shorter in price than it merits because of that but is well drawn in stall 2. 

MADRINHO 18/1 hasn't been in great form lately but does have a time from 2019 that would make it my joint 4th top rated but doesn't seem fancied here.

MAID MILLIE 28/1 is my top rated and has won once and been placed once from just 3 c/d runs and if stall 9 doesn't be too much of a handicap it ought to go well here and at the price is maybe worth a small each way bet. 

WHO TOLD JO JO 12/1 is 0-17 on AW tracks and 6 of those runs have been over today's c/d where it was placed twice but needs to improve time wise to win here. 

BERNIES BOY 18/1 is in stall 10 and normally for a front runner that wouldn't be ideal but it is the only natural leading sort in the field and could be dangerous if getting to the front so at the price i will have a small each way bet.

KNOCKOUT BLOW 14/1 hasn't shown much for quite awhile now over this c/d and hasn't made the frame in its 2 previous c/d runs. 

SUMMARY: Its not an easy race to analyse and I will go with dutching 3 horses in this race, BERNIES BOY 18/1 is the only known front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch, PHOENIX STAR 9/2 has very good trainer/jockey stats and is my 2nd top rated on c/d times and it is well housed in stall 1, MAID MILLIE 28/1 is top rated on recent c/d times but unless it can follow the horse drawn on its outside across towards the rail it may struggle to get a clear run, so with the if’s and but’s in the race I will go with 3 small wagers in the race. 

PHOENIX STAR 9/2 1 Point Win  2nd -1pt

MAID MILLIE 28/1 ½ Point Each Way 9th -1 1/2pts

BERNIES BOY 18/1 ½ Point Each Way Unp -11/2pts

Total on the day -4pts

4:20 Chelmsford Racing Tips (18th February)

CHELMSFORD 4.20 

A 10 runner apprentice jockeys race, Solar Park, It Must Be Faith and Our Oystercatcher are the ones that could set the pace, on recent times there is only 2lbs between all 3 of them, the former Solar Park is joint top rated if i use a Lingfield speed figure but is 2 placed efforts but no wins from its 3 races over this c/d and its c/d time is well below its best figure, Suzis Connoisseur is the other joint top rated but that is using a Newcastle time recorded in 2019, as its an apprentice race my stakes wont be at full strength but i will be having a bet on BERNIES BOY 7/1 who is my 3rd top rated overall but top rated on just c/d times and that time was recorded in 2020, it should be staying on at the business end of the race then add on the fact its got the best of the draw in stall one. 

Bernies Boy 14/1 9th -1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

Not the greatest of class 6 handicaps with 13 runners and 3 known as front runners, Young John who is favoured on this surface which also applies to Bellevarde, which leaves me thinking that Rebel Redemption from stall 1 might set the pace to the race and comes out 4th top on overall figures, I'm Watching You comes out 3rd best using a time from Wolverhampton but hasn't run on this surface before but would need to improve to win this race, Creek Harbour comes out 2nd best using a time recorded in 2019 but the trainers 1-27 record at this course is a reason to make me doubt it prospects in this race, i will be relying on MAID MILLIE 14/1 (each way), who has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated and if reproducing that time it would be winning a little cosily and has won over this c/d before, it does have an absence to overcome which tempers my stakes but hopefully it will be an each way price.

Maid Millie 25/1 Unp -2pts

Total on the day -3pts

4:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets

CHELMSFORD 4.00 

This 9 runner race can be split into 2 groups 4 lays, (Our Man In Havana + Lyons Lane + Murqaab + Chillon Castle) Swell Song is still a maiden after 11 races but might improve on its 1st run over this c/d, Seneca Castle won over this c/d in 2017 in a slow run affair and its win the last timeout at Wolverhampton looked impressive but the time was relatively slow so would need to improve again to win this race but could go well beings we know it's in good form, I expect it to be the favourite and will not represent value in my eyes, TERRI RULES 7/1 hasnt run over this c/d before but its best time from Lingfield would make it my 2nd top rated behind BERNIE'S BOY 6/1 who also recorded its best time at Lingfield but also has the top speed figure over this c/d for this year but that c/d time is only 1lb higher than MONARCH MAID 12/1 (EW) and this one is the only one known to be a frontrunner in the field so if allowed to dictate could prove hard to beat and has been done as an each-way punt. 

Monarch Maid 14/1 EW 3rd +3.66pts

Bernie's Boy 6/1 4th (-1pt)

Terri Rules 14/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Our Man In Havana +1pts, Lyons Lane +1pt, Murqaab +1pt, Chillon Castle +1pt)

Total: +5.66pts

CHELMSFORD 5.10

The topweight Who Told Jo Jo has won and finished 3rd on its last 2 runs but it's still a maiden on the AW after 15 attempts, enough to put me off but it could possibly make the frame, I will be laying 4 in this race, (Wiff Waff + Mansfield + Delegate The Lady + Te Amo Te Amo) ive found 2 possible pacesetters and both have some chance of winning the race, POPPY MAY 11/2 is in stall 2 and if reproducing its best time from 2018 would be 2nd top on my figure, DREAMBOAT ANNIE 16/1 also recorded its best time in 2018 and despite being known to lead it does sometimes struggle to stay the trip if theres a fast early pace but if allowed to set its own pace then it would have every chance, Tawaafoq has one got one time to its name in 2018 that would just make it my top rated but that time is looking very much a fluke, one that could win if the leaders fade is DEEDS NOT WORDS 11/2 who recorded its best time earlier this year and the apprentices 5lb claim could swing things in its favour.

Poppy May 11/2 3rd (-1pt)

Dreamboat Annie 18/1 7th (-1pt)

Deeds Not Words 12/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Delegate The Lady -20pts, Wiff Waff +1pt, Mansfield +1pt, Te Amo Te Amo +1pt

Total: -20pts 

Total on the day: -14.44pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th February)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A strange race where I have got negatives against 6 of the 8 runners but only 2 I would look to lay (Pink Flamingo + Peggie Sue) Mythical Spirit has good trainer/jockey stats but hasnt showed much in just 2 runs in 2019 and 2020, Kaths Lustre won last time out but is raised in class here and would need to improve further to win this race if others run to their best, I will be backing 2 runners in this race firstly its WITH CAUTION 16/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race and if allowed to dictate from the front could prove hard to catch and it does have good trainer/jockey stats to make me think they are expecting a big run and at the price, there is no way I can let it run without some money on it and could be a nice each way bet as long as all 8 runners take part but secondly if FANTASTIC FLYER 3/1 who won last time out runs to its best repeats its fastest c/d time it could follow up in this race and the stable does have decent trainer/jockey stats with their older horses. 

Fantastic Flyer 3/1 1st 
With Caution 25/1 unp 

Lay bets: Pink Flamingo (+1pt) Peggies Sue (+1pt) 

Total +4pts 

CHELMSFORD 7.30

I thought the first sprint was a strange race this one is twice as bad, I can find a couple I would look to lay, (*Gunmaker 13/2 + Upavon 7/1) GRIGGY 11/4 has been in good form lately so cannot be discarded lightly, usually stall 9 would be enough to put me off the chances of AQUARIUS 12/1 but it is the only known frontrunning type in the race although BERNIES BOY 11/1 in stall 8 is a versatile type with its racing tactics and that does include leading but usually, it's only if nothing else wants to set the pace, this is only a class 6 race but MAID MILLIE 7/2 who won last time out was racing in a class 7 affair and not guaranteed to be as good now its back up in class. I think the winner will come from the 4 mentioned and maybe I will be able to dutch the 4 of them but maybe the best way forward is to win the race by just doing the lays.

Griggy 11/4 1st + Tri £76.73
Maid Millie 7/2 2nd 
Bernies Boy 11/1 3rd 
Aquarius 16/1 5th

Lay bets Upavon (+1pt) 

Total +0.75pts

Total on Day +4.75pts

1:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.50 

THREEFEETFROMGOLD has only slow times at this distance and might need further.

LAUBALI likes to track the leaders but not well drawn in stall 10 but is my joint 3rd top-rated on its best time from 2018.

ARCAVALLO a possible pacesetter out in stall 12 but maybe ok in the make-up of this race but hasn't been in good form lately.

DARING GUEST has the plum draw so it should be able to get a good early position just behind the leaders on the rails and is my 4th top-rated.

KRAKA is on a losing run of 13 which isn't ideal and has only 1 win from 17 attempts on the AW tracks. 

SPIRIT OF WEDZA could feasibly set the pace here from stall 6 but isn't in my top 4 speed figures so might be setting it up for a finishing type.

MYTOWN CHICAGO has only slow c/d times to its name and it would need to improve on its best time and may prefer a longer trip to show its worth.

ROCK BOY GREY hasn't any distance form to work with but its turf form points to it wanting a longer distance before it has a chance to win.

THE GROOVE would need to improve timewise to win this race and its another in the race that might do better over a longer distance.

GLOBAL MELODY hasn't any form on this Tapeta surface and I doubt this surface will suit it.

AGUEROOO is my top rated but stall 13 is as bad as it gets but could feasibly follow the stall 12 horse across to the rails and it would then have a winning chance.

THE LACEMAKER hasn't any course form from 2019 but its best from 2018 would put it in 2nd top spot and is trying to make this a hat-trick of wins. 

LANDING NIGHT might find this trip too far with a couple of known frontrunners in this race,

SUMMARY: There's a few in this race that could possibly make the frame with a few of the higher-rated horses not berthed well in the make-up of this race, with THE LACEMAKER 9/2 being my 2nd top-rated and being in cracking form I cannot let it run without some of my money on it but I will also be backing *AGUEROOO 12/1 who is my top rated and showed a glimmer of returning to form when finishing it 4th on its last run. 

* NR
The Lacemaker 16/1 Unp

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 

This 5-furlong dash has 5 of the 10 runners that have been known to lead before, the speed/form lines are crossed from all sorts of angles and add on the 4 horses that are on double-figure losing runs it's hard to be very confident, if BERNIES BOY 9/2 can reproduce its Newcastle time here round a bend it would win this race but I'm not sure if it's really big enough in price to take the risk if it drifts to 6/1 I would be happy going with an each-way punt.

Bernies Boy 9/1 Unp

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1:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th November)

LINGFIELD 1.05

There's a couple of known frontrunners and if Sandridge Lad gets to the front this 3yo may prove hard to catch using a time from Chelmsford but has only had one race here which didn't go very well. 

Grey Galleon has a time recorded at Kempton which would put this one in the mix. 

Luis Vaz De Torres has a time from 2016 that could see it just make the frame but hasn't been anywhere near that level since and not for me here. 

Alicia Darcy is 2nd top using just 2019 c/d times. 

My money will be riding on SOMETHING LUCKY 7/1 who I'm hoping can get a clear run. I admit stall 12 isn't ideal so my stakes will be kept lowish. 

Something Lucky 14/1 4th

LINGFIELD 1.40 

In this race the early pace may be set by The Lacemaker and it's my 3rd top-rated using a time from Kempton last year so it could be very dangerous if allowed to set its own pace. 

Papa Delta is 2nd top-rated on this year's c/d times but only 4th overall. 

Hollander is my joint top rated on a 2018 time but the jockey booking doesn't inspire confidence. 

I will back the other joint top-rated horse DANDILION 15/2 who could be ok in this race from stall 9 as it could track the likely leader across to the rails. 

Dandilion 12/1 2nd 

LINGFIELD 2.15 

A strange tricky race. At first glance, my figures detail 5 that could go well. The biggest problem is the lack of known frontrunners. 

Wild Flower has poor trainer/jockey stats so I will discard it from my final five. 

Usually, Knockout Blow struggles to stay if there's a fast early pace but could go well in this race. 

Porto Ferro could go well but is better on a different surface. 

Kinglami has the plum draw in stall one and could set the pace. If doing so, could be dangerous if dictating its own pace. 

I will side with *BERNIE'S BOY 7/2 who is 2nd top on just 2019 c/d times and has the fastest overall figure using a 2018 time. The apprentice jockeys 7lb claim could swing things even more in its favour but it is a bit shorter price than I had hoped. 

*NR

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.20 

BIG LES has a time from Newcastle that would put it in 2nd top spot overall and could attempt to lead and if not then stay on at the finish, it has got good trainer/jockey stats so I will be backing it to some degree.

STEELRIVER had a good spell earlier this year after breaking a 70 plus losing streak but I think it's better over a longer trip. (I would look to lay it). 

JOEGOGO has the fastest c/d time from 2019 so it has to be considered as it's a frontrunning type and it has got the plum stall 1 draw but it is on a losing streak of ten.

CAPPANANTY CON usually stays on at the finish over this distance and maybe too late in this race (so one to lay if of value).

INDIAN RAJ this has a very good trainer/jockey stats and has won at this distance at Newcastle although a slow run affair. It may not like this surface so the market could give me more information on its chances of winning. 

DYNAMO WALT has had just over a four-month break. The trainer's winning record here isn't great and the jockey's record is 1-24 which is offputting. 

POWERFUL DREAM is 3rd best on c/d 2019 times but it will need some degree of luck getting a clear run from stall 8 but could feasibly stay on to make the frame if not behind a wall of horses.

TATHMEEN is 2nd top on 2019 c/d times and only 1lb below my top rated and it could make the frame with a clear run. 

AGUEROO has only slow times at this distance and it races as though further would suit it better and I would look to lay this one if a single figure price.

KODIAC EXPRESS is on a losing run of 11 which isn't ideal and it's one run over this c/d was poor and despite having a fast time from Chelmsford. It's not for me. 

CELERITY is still a maiden after 80 runs and I can't see that changing here.

SUMMARY: I will be hoping this race is won from the front. Joegogo is top-rated on this year's c/d times and has stall 1. The horse I will be backing is the topweight BIG LES 6/1 who from stall 4 could lead or at least contest the lead. If getting to the font could prove hard to catch.

Big Les 6/1 1st