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Sunday, 25 April 2021

1:35 Ayr Racing Tips (26th April)

AYR 1.35 

A 8 runner race and I'm hoping all of them take part, only Gunnerside has been known to lead even then only on sufferance, I will look to lay Mo Henry if of value as it hasn't won since 2017 and Deevious Beau who might struggle to stay the trip if there's a decent early pace, there is 2 more I could look to lay but I doubt they will be of value, Global Humor is 2nd top on recent times but only 4th top on overall figures, Kilconquhar is 3rd best on overall figures but that was from an AW time, Paddy Power has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but I will be going with the top rated *EPEIUS 10/1 who comes out top rated on recent, 2020/21, times and that's good enough for 2nd top overall but it has itself a faster time from 2019 that moves it to top spot on overall figures but it wont be a race I will be betting to heavily in. 

*NR

AYR 2.10 

The early pace could be set by Glory Fighter but it is one of a few who don't like really fast ground but is 4th top rated, Bielsa is 2nd top rated on recent times but drops to 3rd top on overall figures, George Bowen is 3rd top on recent times but has a time from 2019 that would move it to top spot but only by 2lb’s, CALL ME GINGER 10/1 is top rated on recent times and 2nd top rated overall and the jockey has a decent 15% strike rate for the stable and will be the one I will be backing. 

Call Me Ginger 10/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

WINDSOR 4.50 

On my figures there isn't a lot between, Spring Bloom, Coronation Cottage, Katherine Place and Thegreyvtrain, 3 of them Spring Bloom, Coronation Cottage and Thegreyvtrain are all known to be front runners so it should be a fast run affair and maybe they might go off too fast and fade nearing the finish and as my top rated horse is one that likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish this race should be run to suit SHANI 28/1 and a repeat of its beat time from Bath in 2020 it would win a shade cosily. 

Shani 8/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

THIRSK 6.30 

The pace could be set by the bottom weighted Tathmeen but this one doesn't want the going to be too fast and has only won once from 15 attempts on grass, Lezardieux might struggle to stay the trip with a fast early pace and maybe worth laying if a single figure price, there's very little between Wentworth Falls, Rathbone and I Am A Dreamer but they are 6th to 4th top rated, Music Society sits in 3rd top spot, using a 2091 time, just 1lb below Spanish Angel in 2nd top spot who usually runs in midfield before staying on at the finish, I will be backing GUNMETAL 4/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish.

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