(If the going is good or faster)
For a class 6 race this one looks quite good, there's a couple of front running types in the field of 8 runners and as one of the pacesetters is my top rated for this year and 2nd top on overall figures it should be run at a good gallop for this level, I have found 3 that I will look to lay if they are single figure prices, Kodi Gold 4/1 who may need further to show its best, Cappananty Con 11/2 who has poor jockey stats and doesn't want fast ground and Okaidi 12/1 who also may need further and has poor jockey stats, the race that Snow Berry won last time out was a slow run affair and it had Kodi Gold behind it in 2nd that day and at the weights should beat it again but will need to improve time wise to win this race but being a 3yo it could do just that, We’re Reunited 13/2 is my 3rd top rated but the trainer is 0-12 in the last 2 weeks, it has been 47 days since the stables last winner they have had 35 runners during that time, *SHANI 16/1 (EW) who has good jockey stats is my 2nd top rated using just 2021 times but has a time from last year over this course and distance that would make it top rated overall and I will be backing it each way at the price, while CORONATION COTTAGE 4/1 is rated 2lbs higher using just 2021 times and is one of the possible pacesetters in this race and has good jockey stats and this one also recorded its best time over this course and distance in 2020, I will be backing them both to cover the angles.
*NR
Coronation Cottage 6/1 2nd -1pt
Lay bets: Kodi Gold +1pt, Cappananty Con +1pt, Okaidi +1pt
Total +2pts
NEWCASTLE 7.00
With 2 other front running types in this race Spirit Power 14/1 may struggle to stay the trip but isn't value to lay at the price while Aleef 15/2, Somewhere Secret 14/1, The Mousen Champ 9/1, Quanah 6/1 and Lucky Beggar 7/1 may all need a longer distance to show their best form, my 3rd top rated is Arnold 6/1 but its not won in 8 attempts on the AW tracks but it has made the frame in half of them and could make the frame again here but isn't an each way price in my opinion, in 2nd top spot using a 2020 time is Another Angel 5/1 another known front running type but has only recorded slow times over this course and distance in 4 races this year so i will be hoping that the third front running type *LORD OF THE GLEN 11/2 can follow up its win at Chelmsford three days ago and will be carrying my money.
*NR
Lay bets: Aleef +1pt, Qanah +1pt (other not given over 9/1)
Total +2pts
NEWCASTLE 8.30
There's a few in this race that look better over shorter distances but some will be big priced so I will look to lay Gorgeous General 4/1 and Cuppacoco 9/2 who are both forecast to be a single figure price and both of them haven't got a recorded time since 2019, only half the field have done a time fast enough to register on my figures and they are all in the top half of the handicap, Oriental Lily 12/1 is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run but hasn't recorded a time for this year so far, I've actually got joint top rated horses, Oakenshield 14/1 usually likes to track the leaders but hasn't recorded a time this year from four races so i will be putting my faith and money on ROCKLEY POINT 12/1 (EW) who is the only one in the race who is known as a front running sort and i am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and the jockey booking does look a positive one, it has been off the track for 136 days but has won before coming from off a break and as usual at the price it has to be an each way wager.
Rockley Point 12/1 Unp -2pts
Lay bets: Gorgeous General +1pt, Cuppacoco +1pt
Total 0pts
Total on the day +4pts
