4:05 Goodwood Racing Tips (6th June)

GOODWOOD 4.05 

GLOBAL WARNING 3/1 is 0-5 on its turf form, it does have a time on the AW from Newcastle which would make it my 3rd top rated so I'm not sure whether I could back it or lay it so maybe best left alone. 

BEAUTY CHOICE 8/1 has only relatively slow times over this distance and maybe better when tried over further plus the good to firm ground might not be to its liking, the trainer has a 27% win ratio at this course but is 0-6 with the older horses while the apprentice is 1-1 for the stable, contradicting data so what will happen I've no idea. 

BAY WATCH 9/2 is another with relatively slow times and it might be better when running over a longer distance, it also has a poor jockey stats so one I would look to lay at the price. 

EVASIVE POWER 4/1 doesn't make my top 5 time wise while the trainer is 0-10 at this course and it is another that i will look to lay in this race at the price. 

THE LAMPLIGHTER 9/2 has a 2021 time that would make it my 2nd top rated and the time recorded over this c/d in 2020 would see it winning a little cosily. 

MOUNT MOGAN 10/1 hasn't any form to its name on good to firm ground and its best time on the AW track at Wolverhampton would only make it 5th top on my figures. 

EPSOM FAITHFUL recorded its best time in 2019 and hasn't been near that level since then and that time isn't good enough to make my top 3 so maybe one to lay if a single figure price. 

SPRING BLOOM 10/1 (NON RUNNER) this is the only known front runner in the field and does come out 2nd best on my figures so could prove hard to catch and maybe even steal the race from the front. 

SUMMARY: There is a few I will look to lay if they are single figure prices so I cannot say anything more until I've seen the betting, I think that Spring Bloom will set the pace and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and I might actually have a smaller covering bet on this horse but my main stake will be on THE LAMPLIGHTER 9/2 who recorded its best time over this c/d which is always a positive and could catch the leader nearing the finish.

The Lamplighter 9/2 1st +4.5pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total on the day +4.5pts

2:00 Brighton Racing Tips (27th April)

BRIGHTON 2.00 

Just 7 runners but Invincible Larne likes to set the pace so it should be an ok race as it is my 3rd top rated, this might be a bit short for Boom The Groom 9/1 to show its best on turf and hasn't won on grass since 2016 from 22 attempts, Shamshon seems to run well even when not winning but it has good trainer/jockey stats for this race but hasnt won on grass since 2019 from just 5 attempts, it finished a length behind ZULU ZANDER 7/2 on its last run and it is worse off at today's weights but if i go back to their 2020 times I've got just 1lb between them but once again it is in favour of the selection. 

Zulu Zander 7/2 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 3.00 

This is quite poor even for class 6 standard, i am not sure what will set the pace which is always a problem when it comes to analysing a race, there's few that are out of form on latest runs, Storm Melody hasn't shown much since 2019 timewise, thats when it last won on grass but its best from then would make it my 2nd top rated, Real Estate my 4th top rated recorded its best time last year but hasn't been in good form of late, my 3rd top rated is Holdenhurst who recorded its best last year at Yarmouth which is where my top rated LETHAL ANGEL 3/1 recorded its best time and a repeat of that speed figure would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Lethal Angel 4/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 3.35 

Only 5 runners but i still cannot narrow it down to any less than 2 selections, the lack of early pace doesn't help, I'm not sure what to expect from Lady Quickstep while Vape comes out in 4th top spot, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Street Parade, who is usually held up for a late run so this race isn't likely to be run to suit it, and RECALL THE SHOW 5/2 who did its best time over this c/d last time out which is always a positive plus the trainer does well at this course and that's the reason why I will be backing it, if THE LAMPLIGHTER 5/1 can reproduce its best time from 2020 it would be winning cosily but its time this year, admittedly from just one race, wasn't up to that level, i will be backing them both but probably with my stakes tilted in favour of the top weight. 

Recall The Show 10/3 1st +3.33pts

The Lamplighter 5/1 3rd -1pt

Total +2.33pts

AYR 5.35 

Another 5 runner race and again the lack of known early pace doesn't help to analyse the race, four of the runners like to track the leaders so I'm hoping that's enough to ensure there's a decent early gallop, Nubough and Gleniffer may prefer further so this race might not be run to suit them, Captain Jameson has a good time from 2019 but nothing as good last year and may need this run for fitness as it usually does, Pearl Of Qatar 2/1 will I expect run a decent race but looks to be poor value in my opinion, i will be backing DICK DATCHERY 5/2 who is the hold up horse in the race, it isn't much better in the betting but the outsider is only a 6/1 shot.

Dick Datchery 11/4 5th -1pt

Total on the day -0.67pts

3:40 Windsor Racing Tips (12th April)

WINDSOR 3.40 

This I a strange race to analyse simply because of the lack of known front runners, I've marked 4 down as being very much out of form, Green Power, Last Page, Heer We Go Again and Company Minx, but I think they will all be biggish prices, Beyond Equal and My Style might need this run for fitness, with both Edraak and Capotes Dream I'm not sure what to expect as I haven't much data to work with so I couldn't either back them or lay them so I will as usual stick with the proven, Triggered would need to improve time wise to win this race but maybe too big a price to lay, Second Collection comes out 3rd best on my figures and could maybe worth an each way interest, there is only 1lb between, Bimble who is coming off a 183 day break from racing and might just need this run for fitness, in 2nd top spot and THE LAMPLIGHTER 14/1 who sits at the top of my figures, this one had its first run since last October last month and hopefully that has got it into shape for this race, the trainer has a 23% win ratio with their older horses at this course and has employed a cracking 5lb claiming apprentice and that could tip things in its favour but as usual at the price i suggest an each way wager may be the best way to go in this race. 

The Lamplighter 14/1 4th -2pts

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.20 

Again a race with no known front runner, I've got 6, London Calling, Akua, Egrecio, Where Next Jo, Lets Get Lucky and Raabeh, marked down as out of form and I expect will all be big prices but i would look to lay any or aloof them if of any value to do so, Al Asef may be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it but its not one I could lay, Sir Rodneyredblood, Kaafy and I'm Watching You are just outside my 3 ratings although the former, Sir Rodneyredblood 5/2 has a time from Lingfield that would make it my joint 2nd top rated so it could possibly make the frame but its not one I would back each way especially at the price, Puchita comes out 2rd top on recent c/d figures but I'm not sure it will run after running on Saturday where it has a good chance of winning but if it does it could make the frame, the other horse in 2nd top spot is Aces 9/1 who is usually held up for a late run but I will be siding with *BERNIES BOY 10/1 who, if the forecast tissue prices are right, will be an each way price and the value call in the race. ( this one finished well to take 3rd on Saturday so maybe the price will not be as big as i hoped) but it is an each way price and that has to be my bet.

*NR

Total on the day -2pts