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Thursday, 24 June 2021

2:15 Doncaster Racing Tips (25th June)

DONCASTER 2.15 

With 3 or 4 possible pacesetters this should be a true run race, Abate is a versatile type and my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall, Boy In The Bar hasn't been in good form lately but comes out 2nd top rated using a time from 2019 but would need to bounce back to form to go well here, the top weight THEOTHERSIDE 20/1 is dropped in class to run in this class 5 race, it hasn't been in the best of form this year but it has been known to bounce back to form without warning and I am hoping its worth an each way punt in this race. 

Theotherside 20/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

YARMOUTH 2.35

Only 8 runners but an intriguing race both Invincible Larne and Global Prospector have been known to lead but both would need to improve time wise to win this race but the latter has a time on the AW surface at Chelmsford that would make it my 2nd top rated, both Seneca Chief and Autumn Flight could go well here and either could make the frame being my 2nd and 3rd top rated on just 2021 times, the bottom weight CASE KEY 33/1 hasn't shown much lately but is another horse that can bounce back to form without prior warning so I am hoping all 8 take part so there is 3 places up for grabs as with only 2 places each way bets are not of as much value. 

Case Key 33/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.10 

For a class 5 race this looks very competitive, I cannot see anything of value to lay but the betting might highlight something, the 3yo Tantastic 11/2 is my top rated if I use a time from Wolverhampton while its best c/d time is 9lbs lower but could still run well enough to make the frame, Canford Bay 22/1 is versatile with its racing tactics but might be drawn away from the early pace in this race which might not help its cause but at the price might be worth an each way punt, I think ASTROZONE 8/1 in stall 12 might be the one to set the pace and could lead all the way. 

Astrozone 8/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.45

I can see 5 front running types amongst the 14 runners in this race and i think it might be won from the front, one possible front runner is Sunday Sovereign 6/1 who finished 2nd last time out but that was on soft ground and I am not sure it will take to this surface as it is its 1st run on an AW surface so I will look to lay it especially if its as short as the tissue prices forecast, Desert Safari and Caspian Prince could go well in this race and the former does have good trainer/jockey stats and the latter is my 2nd top rated on 2021 times, Ornate and Kind Review are possible pacesetters who could go well but i am hoping COPPER KNIGHT 15/2 can get to the front at some point of the race and then prove hard to catch and it might be a worthwhile each way wager. 

Copper Knight 15/2 5th -2pts

Total -2pts

NEWMARKET 7.30

A six runner race where I think half the field have got some chance of winning this race, I would lay Silent Queen as I'm not sure it will stay the sixth furlong but being a 3yo it could improve so best left alone, Ishvara is another that might prefer a shorter trip and one I will look to lay, the 3yo NIGHT NARCISSUS 4/1 will I think set the pace to the race and comes out top rated on just 2021 times but only 3rd best on overall figures, LOVELY BREEZE 9/4 another 3yo is my 2nd top rated on overall figures and has decent trainer/jockey stats, the older horse BIMBLE 4/1 is my top rated on its best time from 2020 but the jockeys 0-4 record for the stable is a little off-putting so i will look to dutch all 3 of them.

Lovely Breeze 11/4 1st +2.75pts
Night Narcissus 4/1 2nd -1pt 
Bimble 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -5.25pts

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