2:50 Epsom Racing Tips (31st August)

EPSOM 2.50 

KIMIFIVE 7/1 has only slow times over this distance this year while its best speed figure from 2020 would make it 3rd top rated on my overall figures and usually likes to track the leaders. 

EVASIVE POWER 6/1 comes out 2nd best on just 2021 times but that time is only good enough for 4th top on my overall figures.

RECON MISSION 11/4 is the only one known to prefer to front run, hasn't any distance form for this year but its best time from 2021 makes it my top rated on my overall figures.

DELEGATE THIS LORD 10/3 another with no distance form for this year and it would need to improve on its best time to win this race.

SPRING BLOOM 15/8 comes out top rated on just 2021 times but that is only good enough for 4th top spot on overall figures but its best from 2020 moves it into 2nd top spot. 

SUMMARY: a small field where my top rated is the only known front running type in the race so if RECON MISSION 11/4 can repeat its best time from 2020 at Newmarket it could lead all the way and get back to winning ways plus the jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 26% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Recon Mission 11/4 1st +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

RIPON 3.05 

MARK'S CHOICE 3/1 a possible front runner in this race and its best time from this year makes it my 2nd top rated but it does drop down to 3rd best on overall figures.

I AM A DREAMER 9/2 this one will need to improve on its best speed figure to be winning this race but it was recorded this year at Thirsk. 

PRINCESS POWER 4/1 will be one I will look to lay as it may struggle to stay the distance with 3 possible front runners so the early pace should be fast. 

PIVOTING 12/1 this 3yo has been known to lead but I'm not convinced this one wants good to firm ground and only has poor speed figures over this distance. 

CASE KEY 8/1 is the 3rd possible front runner and its best time from 2020 at Leicester makes it my top rated on my overall figures. 

USTATH 9/2 is my top rated on just 2021 times but that time does drop it down to 2nd top spot on my overall figures and doesn't want a really fast early pace but should be staying on well at the finish. 

WADE'S MAGIC 9/2 hasn't any distance form on turf this year and its another that I think doesn't really like good to firm ground. 

SUMMARY: I  think the early pace is the key to this race and I think MARK'S CHOICE and CASE KEY could be the ones to set the pace and as long as they don't go off too fast they should be hard to catch, I cannot really split them and will be backing them both as the former better form this year and the better trainer/jockey stats while the latter would win a shade cosily if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure.

Mark's Choice 3/1 -1pt 

Case Key 15/2 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +0.75pts

2:20 Doncaster Racing Tips (14th August)

DONCASTER 2.20 

A field of 8, so lets hope they all run in case I find an each way bet, 6 of these have been known to lead so it should be a mad dash for the line from the off, I will look to lay Blackberry 11/4 as its 2 runs over this distance on good to firm going have been slow run affairs and in this race it might get outpaced in the early stages and may struggle to get back into the race so it might represent poor value as it is forecast to be the favourite, the bottom weight Saluti 3/1 might stay on better and could make the frame as others at the front tire but isn't an each way price, my money will be riding on BLUE DE VEGA 10/1 (EW) who using its best time from 2020 at Windsor comes out as my top rated, admittedly it doesn't appear to be in great form so far this year but this ones wins have all come in the summer/autumn July to September so I am hoping it bounces back to form in this race and looks the value call in my opinion. 

Blue De Vega 10/1 +12.5pts 

Lay bets Blackberry +1pt 

Total +13.5pts

NEWMARKET 2.35 

A field of 10 with just the one known front runner, Grey Galleon has a good time from 2020 that would make it competitive but may be outclassed at this level, My Style, George Bowen and Mitrosonfire all have similar ratings and could battle to make the frame, my 2nd top rated is Brian The Snail 10/1 but this ones last win was in 2019 and the trainer is 1-27 at this course and the jockey is 0-10 for the stable so not sure what to expect but could make the frame, it should be staying on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit its style as with just the one known front runner CASE KEY 13/2 should be able to set its own pace and being my top rated it should hold on for the win and the trainer has had 6 winners in the last 2 weeks so is in pretty good form. 

Case Key 14/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWMARKET 3.05 

A field of 11 for this race with 2 known front runners in Premium Power and Meraaj but neither figure in my top 3 rating but if the latter was allowed an easy lead it could go well and might even make the frame but would need to improve time wise to win this race, Streamline has poor form on turf at this distance but has a decent time over this trip at Lingfield on the AW which would make it my 3rd top rating, Rathbone comes out in 2nd top spot using a time recorded this year at Thirsk but my money will be riding on FIRST FOLIO 7/2 who comes out top using a Yarmouth time when it won first time out this year and also won at York when the early pace was slower and you can ignore its last run on soft ground so its been found a good chance here on better going to get back to winning ways.

First Folio 6/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day +11.5pts

3:10 Nottinham Racing Tips (16th July)

NOTTINGHAM 3.10 

Not the best of the races and any stakes will be kept low and I cannot find anything of value, (under 10/1) to lay, as for finding the winner I will be going with 3 each way wagers, CASE KEY 12/1 is my top rated and also one of 2 known front running types in the race but that is using a 2020 time and its 3 runs this year have been relatively poor, QUEEN OF BURGUNDY hasn't been in great form in recent runs but is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-9 for the last 2 weeks and the jockeys 0-4 record doesn't inspire confidence but could go well , GLENAMOY LAD is my 3rd top rated and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats but once again its not been in great form lately but has only ran once so far this year. 

Case Key 12/1 +12pts

Glenamoy Lad 16/1 3rd -1pt 

Queen Of Burgundy 9/4 4th -1pt 

Total +10pts

HAMILTON 6.55 

There's 8 runners in this race but no known pacesetters amongst them which always makes analysis much much harder, I cannot find anything of value to lay and having a win bet has more risks than usual but I will be taking a punt by backing VENTURA FLAME 7/2 who is my top rated but it is a hold up type so will need to be alert to the dangers as the front runners might not fade nearing the finish if there's a slow early pace but the jockey does have a decent 18% win ratio for the stable and the trainers has had a few winners in the last 2 weeks. 

Ventura Flame 9/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 7.30 

Half of the 12 runners in this race have been known to lead before but they will hopefully be setting the race up for a strong finisher, I won't be proposing any lays in this race as there is nothing of value to lay, Mr Wagyu 7/2 is the favourite but its wins have been in lower class races than todays and the handicapper may have caught up with it so I will look to lay it along with Music Society 9/1 as long as it remains in a single figure price, I will be putting my faith in RATHBONE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, it has good trainer stats and the 7lb claiming apprentice has a good 17% win ratio for the stable and that could tilt things in its favour.

Rathbone 6/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 8.20 

Only 6 runners for this class 3 race and no known front runners amongst them, Miss Jingles may need this run for fitness and maybe worth laying, its not a race to be betting in too heavily but I will be having a wager on LOVELY BREEZE 3/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockey stats and its best time was recorded this year over this course and distance. 

Lovely Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +8pts

2:15 Doncaster Racing Tips (25th June)

DONCASTER 2.15 

With 3 or 4 possible pacesetters this should be a true run race, Abate is a versatile type and my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall, Boy In The Bar hasn't been in good form lately but comes out 2nd top rated using a time from 2019 but would need to bounce back to form to go well here, the top weight THEOTHERSIDE 20/1 is dropped in class to run in this class 5 race, it hasn't been in the best of form this year but it has been known to bounce back to form without warning and I am hoping its worth an each way punt in this race. 

Theotherside 20/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

YARMOUTH 2.35

Only 8 runners but an intriguing race both Invincible Larne and Global Prospector have been known to lead but both would need to improve time wise to win this race but the latter has a time on the AW surface at Chelmsford that would make it my 2nd top rated, both Seneca Chief and Autumn Flight could go well here and either could make the frame being my 2nd and 3rd top rated on just 2021 times, the bottom weight CASE KEY 33/1 hasn't shown much lately but is another horse that can bounce back to form without prior warning so I am hoping all 8 take part so there is 3 places up for grabs as with only 2 places each way bets are not of as much value. 

Case Key 33/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.10 

For a class 5 race this looks very competitive, I cannot see anything of value to lay but the betting might highlight something, the 3yo Tantastic 11/2 is my top rated if I use a time from Wolverhampton while its best c/d time is 9lbs lower but could still run well enough to make the frame, Canford Bay 22/1 is versatile with its racing tactics but might be drawn away from the early pace in this race which might not help its cause but at the price might be worth an each way punt, I think ASTROZONE 8/1 in stall 12 might be the one to set the pace and could lead all the way. 

Astrozone 8/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 6.45

I can see 5 front running types amongst the 14 runners in this race and i think it might be won from the front, one possible front runner is Sunday Sovereign 6/1 who finished 2nd last time out but that was on soft ground and I am not sure it will take to this surface as it is its 1st run on an AW surface so I will look to lay it especially if its as short as the tissue prices forecast, Desert Safari and Caspian Prince could go well in this race and the former does have good trainer/jockey stats and the latter is my 2nd top rated on 2021 times, Ornate and Kind Review are possible pacesetters who could go well but i am hoping COPPER KNIGHT 15/2 can get to the front at some point of the race and then prove hard to catch and it might be a worthwhile each way wager. 

Copper Knight 15/2 5th -2pts

Total -2pts

NEWMARKET 7.30

A six runner race where I think half the field have got some chance of winning this race, I would lay Silent Queen as I'm not sure it will stay the sixth furlong but being a 3yo it could improve so best left alone, Ishvara is another that might prefer a shorter trip and one I will look to lay, the 3yo NIGHT NARCISSUS 4/1 will I think set the pace to the race and comes out top rated on just 2021 times but only 3rd best on overall figures, LOVELY BREEZE 9/4 another 3yo is my 2nd top rated on overall figures and has decent trainer/jockey stats, the older horse BIMBLE 4/1 is my top rated on its best time from 2020 but the jockeys 0-4 record for the stable is a little off-putting so i will look to dutch all 3 of them.

Lovely Breeze 11/4 1st +2.75pts

Night Narcissus 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Bimble 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -5.25pts

3:15 Newmarket Racing Tips (15th August)

NEWMARKET 3.15

As usual with the thunderstorms forecast for virtually anywhere in the country please make sure the going is good to firm before placing any bets, there's a few unexposed sorts in this race which isn't ideal but hey ho that's racing, My Style and Buccaneers Vault have pieces of form that could see them making the frame here if reproducing their best, Lethal Angel comes out 2nd top overall using 2019 times and its best time from 2018 would make it my top-rated but its form this season has been way below that so I will put my money on CASE KEY 5/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race and if getting its own way at the head of affairs could prove hard to catch. 

Case Key 13/2 Unp 

Total -1pt 

DONCASTER 4.35 

This is a nice looking but very competitive class 3 affair but at least there is some known early paced sorts and both Jack The Truth and Machree could go well from the front if allowed an easy time, others with some form that could see them in the mix are, Line Of Reason, Texting, North Wind, Thegreatestshowman and The Duke Of Firenze, the one who is my top rated is YIMOU 16/1 (EW) who, at this distance is usually staying on strongly at the finish and the fast early pace I expect to see in this race could play to its strengths a negative is the poor trainer's record 0-23 at this course and the jockeys 1-20 although it was this jockey who rode it to victory 2 runs ago so has to be I will be backing and at the price it has to be an each-way punt.

Yimou 16/1 3rd (+3pts) Betfair SP (7.72)

Total: +3pts

Total on the day: +2pts