I'm hoping the ground dries out enough for me to have a bet in this race, so it needs to be good or firmer else no bets, I am a bit wary of laying 3yo’s but I think Zoom Star 8/1 may need further to show its best and may finish too late to catch the leaders in this race so it might be worth taking the risk, Glorious Rio 6/1 who has a fast time on the AW at Newcastle but it hasn't any distance form on turf on good or better going it also has poor trainer/jockey stats and is a maiden on turf after 8 attempts although it has made the frame in 3 of those races so maybe worth laying the win part for this horse, Aleef doesn't want the ground to be too quick underfoot to show its best and the trainers 1-30 record at this course puts me off its chances, I will be backing both of the horses that I think might set the pace to the race, HARROGATE 7/2 is 2nd best on this years times and on overall times but there is only 2lbs between it and BOUDICA BAY 10/3 and this one has good trainer/jockey stats and has been in good form lately with 2 wins and a second place on its last 3 runs.
Harrogate 101 3rd -1pt
Boudica Bay 10/3 4th -1pt
Lay bets Zoom Star +1pt, Glorious Rio -6pts
Total -7pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10
I love AW racing but this is a strange looking race, there is 2, Little Miss Lilly and Cool Spirit, known front running types and a 3rd, Something Lucky, that has been known to lead but maybe only when nothing else wants to set the pace it has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but has been well below that level since then, the top weight Jungle Inthebungle has a time from Newcastle last year that would make it my top rated but its last few runs were quite poor and may need this run for fitness after 235 days since its last race, Signore Piccollo 9/4 has won this year over this course and distance but it was a slow run affair and might be poor value because of that win plus the trainer is 0-15 for the last 2 weeks, my money will be riding on MANUMISSION 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly nearing the finish over this distance and the trainer has had 3 winners in the last 2 weeks so the stable is in decent form and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.
Manumission 16/1 5th -2pts
Total -2pts
NEWMARKET 5.35
This is a decent looking class 4 race but there is a couple of 3yo’s and 6 lightly raced 4yo’s so my stakes will be kept low, Legende D’art 9/2 is still a maiden after 11 runs, it finished 2nd last time out over this distance on good to firm ground but it was a slow run affair and it might have flattered it and looks as though it will be better when racing over further and I will look to lay it, Jack Ryan also might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run affair and if a single figure price I would look to lay it, Recall The Show comes out 2nd best on my speed figures but the trainer is 0-6 for the last 2 weeks, i will be backing the 3yo AL SAARLYAH 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and it has good trainer/jockey stats so I'm hoping that's a good pointer.
Saarlyah 4/1 7th -1pt
Lay bets Legend D'art +1pt
Total 0pts
THIRSK 6.53
I think Wrenthorpe could set the pace to this race but would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win while Cowboy Soldier will make sure the leader sets a decent early pace but it doesn't make my top 3 ratings but could make the frame if others falter but its closely rated along with Lomu, Secretinthepark, Princess Power and The Bell Conductor so any of them could make the frame, *SOUL SEEKER 9/4 comes out best on my figures now that Fashion Advice is a non-runner and will be staying on at the finish so has to be the selection but i do hate backing favourites but I cannot find anything to take it on with.
*NR
Total on the day -9pts
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