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Showing posts with label Harrogate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Harrogate. Show all posts

Monday, 13 June 2022

2:55 Thirsk Racing Tips (14th June)

THIRSK 2.55 

A field of 12 for this class 4 sprint, the early paced could be set by The Armed Man and/or Spartan Fighter and either could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but there's a few that like to track the leaders which should ensure there is a fast early gallop, Huddle Up 9/1 doesn't seem to like fast going so will be a lay if of value to do so, East Street Revue seems better over shorter distances but I expect it will too big a price to lay, Badri is my 4th top rated and one that likes to track the leaders, as for finding the winner I have got 3 horses that could do so but all 3 also have negatives against their name, WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who’s jockey is 0-12 for the stable and the stable has a poorish win ratio of 8%, GHATHANFAR 4/1 the trainer is 0-14 runners and 42 days since their last winner and at this course they are 1-59 and the jockey is 0-15 for the stable, CAPTAIN VALLO 8/1 the trainer is 1-33 at this course with their older horses and its been 25 days and 8 runners since their last winner, I think I will go with dutching the 3 of them but my stakes will be kept on the low side because of those negatives. 

Ghathanfar 4/1 2nd -1pt 
Captain Vallo 8/1 4th -1pt 
Wentworth Falls 6th -1pt

Total -3pts

THIRSK 5:15 

A ten runner dash with two front running types, I could look to lay both of the 3yo’s in this race but I am always wary of doing so because at their age they can improve without warning although I think both of them will be better suited to a longer distance but hey ho I am no expert and have been caught out before laying young horses, Lost My Sock 5/1 also races as though it will be better off over further but comes out 3rd top rated on my figures so could run on and make the frame, Cool Spirit 25/1 is actually my top rated but only by 2lb’s and hasn't been in good form lately and doesn't usually win without giving a warning of a return to form before actually winning a race so i will place my money on HARROGATE 13/2 who is one of the 2 front runners I mentioned earlier and could hopefully lead all the way here and did win two runs ago so is in decent form. 

Harrogate 13/2 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 5.20 

Only six runners with two known front running types amongst them, both Iconic Knight 9/2 and Tributo 15/2 look as though they would be better racing over further and might be worth laying, Equally Fast 11/4 could do best of those coming from off the pace being my 2nd top rated, Street Parade 11/4 one of the front running types is my 3rd top rated so could go well but i will be hoping that AISH 13/2 will be the one to set the pace to the race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and is dropped in class to run in this race and the trainer has a 19% win ratio at this course.

Aish 13/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Iconic Knight +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -4pts

Thursday, 12 August 2021

1:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (13th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.50 

I'm hoping the ground dries out enough for me to have a bet in this race, so it needs to be good or firmer else no bets, I am a bit wary of laying 3yo’s but I think Zoom Star 8/1 may need further to show its best and may finish too late to catch the leaders in this race so it might be worth taking the risk, Glorious Rio 6/1 who has a fast time on the AW at Newcastle but it hasn't any distance form on turf on good or better going it also has poor trainer/jockey stats and is a maiden on turf after 8 attempts although it has made the frame in 3 of those races so maybe worth laying the win part for this horse, Aleef doesn't want the ground to be too quick underfoot to show its best and the trainers 1-30 record at this course puts me off its chances, I will be backing both of the horses that I think might set the pace to the race, HARROGATE 7/2 is 2nd best on this years times and on overall times but there is only 2lbs between it and BOUDICA BAY 10/3 and this one has good trainer/jockey stats and has been in good form lately with 2 wins and a second place on its last 3 runs. 

Harrogate 101 3rd -1pt 
Boudica Bay 10/3 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Zoom Star +1pt, Glorious Rio -6pts

Total -7pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10 

I love AW racing but this is a strange looking race, there is 2, Little Miss Lilly and Cool Spirit, known front running types and a 3rd, Something Lucky, that has been known to lead but maybe only when nothing else wants to set the pace it has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but has been well below that level since then, the top weight Jungle Inthebungle has a time from Newcastle last year that would make it my top rated but its last few runs were quite poor and may need this run for fitness after 235 days since its last race, Signore Piccollo 9/4 has won this year over this course and distance but it was a slow run affair and might be poor value because of that win plus the trainer is 0-15 for the last 2 weeks, my money will be riding on MANUMISSION 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly nearing the finish over this distance and the trainer has had 3 winners in the last 2 weeks so the stable is in decent form and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Manumission 16/1 5th -2pts 

Total -2pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

This is a decent looking class 4 race but there is a couple of 3yo’s and 6 lightly raced 4yo’s so my stakes will be kept low, Legende D’art 9/2 is still a maiden after 11 runs, it finished 2nd last time out over this distance on good to firm ground but it was a slow run affair and it might have flattered it and looks as though it will be better when racing over further and I will look to lay it, Jack Ryan also might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run affair and if a single figure price I would look to lay it, Recall The Show comes out 2nd best on my speed figures but the trainer is 0-6 for the last 2 weeks, i will be backing the 3yo AL SAARLYAH 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and it has good trainer/jockey stats so I'm hoping that's a good pointer. 

Saarlyah 4/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Legend D'art +1pt 

Total 0pts 

THIRSK 6.53 

I think Wrenthorpe could set the pace to this race but would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win while Cowboy Soldier will make sure the leader sets a decent early pace but it doesn't make my top 3 ratings but could make the frame if others falter but its closely rated along with Lomu, Secretinthepark, Princess Power and The Bell Conductor so any of them could make the frame, *SOUL SEEKER 9/4 comes out best on my figures now that Fashion Advice is a non-runner and will be staying on at the finish so has to be the selection but i do hate backing favourites but I cannot find anything to take it on with.

*NR

Total on the day -9pts 

Friday, 16 July 2021

2:15 Newmarket Racing Tips (17th July)

NEWMARKET 2.15 

The bottom weight world Of Windhover 9/2 may set the pace to this race but its best time which comes from Kempton on the AW isn't good enough to win this race so I doubt it will hold on for the win, I will look to lay Stone Circle if its a single figure price as I don't think it will like today's going as it seems to do its best when there's some cut in the ground, My Style, Devils Angel, Mount Hogan and Churchill Bay are all closely rated with just 3lbs between them and any of them could make the frame but I will putting my money on THEOTHERSIDE 5/1 who is from the Hannon stable who have a 19% win ratio at this course with their older horses it best time from this year isn't good enough for the win but its best time from Windsor last year would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Theotherside 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay Stone Cirle +1pt

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 6.50 

This handicap looks strange with four 3yo’s being at the top of the handicap and the older horses filling the bottom five positions, more of a problem is the lack of known front running types, Kim Wexter is my 4th top rated with Madreselva 2lbs higher in 3rd top spot but these two 3yo’s could have some improvement still to come, Celerity is having its 104th race here and has never won a race but did record one decent time is one of the 13 races where it made the frame at Lingfield my top rated is BOUDICA BAY 2/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and if the early pace is slow then I hope it will sit prominently and then stay on the stronger. 

Boudica Bay 11/4 1ST +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

HAYDOCK 7.20 

At least in this 10 runner race there is a coupe of known front runners in the field, Tweet Tweet and Son And Sannie come out joint top rated using just 2021 times and the latter has good jockey stats but their speed figures are only good enough for joint 3rd top on overall figures, I've got INDIAN SOUNDS 5/1 as my top rated using a time recorded at Bath in 2020 and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses but the top weight MOUNTAIN PEAK 4/1 who is one of the likely pacesetters, is my 2nd top rated overall using a time recorded last year over this course and distance and the trainer does well at this course and will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Indian Sounds 7/1 2nd -1pt 
Mountain Peak 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 8.35 

I hope all 8 runners remain as I am hoping to go with an each way bet on HARROGATE 13/2 who is one of 2 known front running types in the race and if getting to the front it could possibly lead all the way but because the race is for apprentice jockeys my stakes will be kept low, I have found 3 that I will look to lay, *Dandys Max has poor trainer/jockey stats and is still a maiden after 8 races, Lucky Beggar who has poor trainer/jockey stats and may need further to show its best, Mehmo who is still a maiden after 18 races plus it might not like the going if its good to firm ground and may also need a longer distance to shine, I might well have added Powerallied to the list of possible lays but that might be one step too far but as usual they will only be lays if they are a single figure price at the off.

*NR
Harrogate 13/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Lucky Beggar +1pt, Mehmo -6pts 

Total on the day -5.25pts

Tuesday, 1 June 2021

2:05 Nottingham Racing Tips (2nd June)

NOTTINGHAM 2.05 

This race isn't one to be getting too heavily involved in with over half the field being lightly raced types, I cannot find anything worthwhile to lay, Rainbow Mirage 6/1 who is usually held up for a late run but with no known front runner in the race it might not be run to suit this horse, I will be having a wager on LETHAL ANGEL 9/1 who recorded a time at Yarmouth in 2020 which would see it winning a shade cosily and the jockey is 1-1 on its only previous ride for today's stable which I hope is a positive to connections expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Lethal Angel 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt  


AYR 3.55 

In this 8 runner dash I can see 3 natural front running types and another that could lead if needs be as those 3 probable pacesetters, Requiems Dream, Suwaan and Indian Pursuit as they all have a negative against their name, the first two not being in good form in their recent runs and the other one may need further on good to firm ground, if TANASOQ 13/2 gets to the front from stall 2 it could be hard to catch and starts off as my top rated being 4lbs clear of my 2nd top rated but as ECONOMIC CRISIS 5/2 is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice and that moves it to top spot by 1lb so with it being so close between them i will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Economic Crisis 11/2 2nd -1pt 
Tanasoq 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

RIPON 7.30 

I'm hoping the ground will have dried out for this meeting so please check before you have any bets, its not a race where I can see anything worth laying which shows how competitive this race is, the early pace will be set by either Bossipop 4/1 in stall 1 or Marks Choice 13/2 in stall 6 with the latter being my 3rd top rated it should be a true run affair, Gunmetal 9/1 is the horse sitting in 2nd top spot but I don't think this one wants really fast good to firm ground so it could be ideal for it but i will be backing TREACHEROUS 13/2 who recorded its best time at Goodwood in 2020 and a repeat of that time would be good to get back to winning ways here and it has won 3 of its 6 races over this distance. 

Treacherous 13/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

RIPON 9.00 

I will look to lay the bottom weight Lucky Beggar 3/1 who won last time out but that was in a class 6 race and seems to struggle in class 5 races like this one but knowing its in tip top form is always a positive but it is forecast to be favourite so no value in my thinking, any others that i think can be lay bets are I think going to be big prices, the 2 at the top of the handicap James Watt 9/1 and East Street Review 6/1 could both go well if they can reproduce their best times from 2019 but both of them haven't been near those heights since that year so I will be siding with HARROGATE 5/2 who is the only known front running type in the race and if it does lead it could prove hard to catch.

Tuesday, 20 April 2021

3:25 Catterick Racing Tips (21st April)

CATTERICK 3.25 

A 9 runner race where Signore Piccolo could lead if nothing else wanted to but this distance can be too far for it so it would try to set a slowish pace but I think Aleef will be the one to make sure there is a good early pace but this one wouldn't want the going to be too fast, Tukhoom a hold up type is my 4th top rated, Zumurud sits in 3rd spot and it likes to track the leaders, I've got 1lb between my top 2 ratings so will be back both MEDICINE JACK 7/2 in 2nd top spot and ROUND THE ISLAND 4/1 who is in top spot. 

Round The Island 11/2 2nd -1pt
Medicine Jack 7/2 3rd -1pt

Total -2pts

CATTERICK 5.05 

This isn't a great apprentice jockeys race, I can see 3 who might set the pace so it should be a true run affair, I had to go back to 2019 for Red Stripes best turf time but hasn't shown much in its latest runs, if HARROGATE 2/1 sets the pace and can repeat its best time from last year it could lead all the way but its run this year was way below that level when it finished 2nd but beaten 4 lengths in a relatively slow run race, I have BOUDICA BAY 4/1 just 1lb below top spot and the trainer has a good record at this course with a 25% win ratio, so I will be backing both of them in this race. 

Harrogate 2/1 2nd -1pt 
Boudica Bay 4/1 4th -1pt

Total -2pts  

LINGFIELD 6.40 

There should be plenty of early pace to this race as all 3 known front runners are in my top four ratings,and times of that top four of the eight runners are a bit higher than the other half, Benefit Street a possible pacesetter comes out 4th top rated and could make the frame Inaam in 3rd top spot is the one that could do best of those coming from off the pace and could even possibly win if they cut each others throats vying for the lead, Alsvinder comes out 2nd best on my figures and is only 2lbs below SWISS PRIDE 5/2 who is my top rated and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.

Swiss Pride 10/3 1st +3.333pts Betfair SP (-) 

Total 3.333pts

LINGFIELD 7.10 

Only 7 runners here but there's 2 natural front runners and another that can front run if needs be, Super Julius a possible pacesetter is my 4th top rated, Saaheq comes out 3rd best and usually runs on at the finish so could be the one to prosper if they do go off too fast, Hey Ho Lets Go usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish and comes out 2nd best on my figures but I will be siding with BOOM THE GROOM 7/1 who is the one that's very versatile when it comes to racing tactics and compared to last year this is a drop in class and if on its “a” game the price is generous.

Boom The Groom 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +0.333pts