1:55 Carlisle Racing Tips (16th May)

PS: Yes I know a postscript should be at the end of a piece of work my English isn't quite that bad, looking at the weather forecast everywhere is forecast to have rain either today and or tomorrow so please check the going before placing a bet on anything I've mentioned because if the going is on the soft side then my ratings are defunct and I have wasted several hours analysing and writing up today's sprints. 

CARLISLE 1.55 

A nine runner class 5 race so nothing to get too excited about but with 3 known front running types it should be a true run affair and of those 3 Runninwild may do best of them although I'm not completely sure what to expect from Stalingrad who might need further to show its best, East Street Revue and Good Earth are my joint 4th top rated with Melody King sitting in 3rd top spot, there is a 5lb gap between my top 2, Fashion Advice is my top rated but this one might need this run after not having had a run in the last year but would be dangerous if fully fit but i would rather back its stablemate, VENTURA FLAME 7/1 who is usually held up for a late run, as either could win this race I will have a covering bet on Fashion Advice just in case the stable are only trying with this one. 

Ventura Flame 10/1 1st +10pts 

Total +10pts 

REDCAR 3.55 

Just a poor turnout of 5 runners for this class 3 dash but luckily there is one known front runner amongst them, looking at the early tissue prices Sir Titus 3/1 is forecast to be the favourite but this one seems to do its winning in lower class races and I would think about laying it even if it is the favourite, Rebel At Dawn is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs behind Soul Seeker in 2nd top spot but my top rated is *MODULAR MAGIC 11/4 and its the one known front running type in the race so hopefully it can lead all the way for victory. 

*NR 

No bet soft ground 

WINDSOR 6.10 

I hope that all 8 runners take part so I can have an each way bet, if I can find one, its so bad I cannot find with confidence anything to lay, Tabdeed comes out 3rd top on my figures who can be held up for a late run or tracks the leaders and then try to stay on at the finish, if I went back to 2020 then Atalantis Boy would be in 2nd top spot but hasn't been within 10 spots of that rating since then, my top rated is FIRST FOLIO 13/2 who recorded a rating at Yarmouth last year that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

First Folio 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 6.40 

A class 3 race with 12 runners and 4 that have been known to lead before, I might well look to lay The Princes Poet, Global Prospector 7/1 and Nelson Gay (non-runner) who might find this trip too far for them especially with a fast early pace then add Inver Park 6/1 who need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race, Chipstead 12/1 is my 3rd top rated using a Goodwood rating this year, Media Guest 18/1 is my 2nd top rated using a 2021 Yarmouth usually held up for a late run but if SHOBIZ 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Yarmouth again here at Goodwood it can lead and hold on for the win. 

Showbiz 11/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

LEICESTER 7.50 

Eleven runners in a class 4 race but again a big problem with no known front running types amongst them, with a fast early pace I could have eliminated Dream Composer 5/1, Prince Of Abington 11/2 and Dark Shot 40/1 who all might struggle to stay the distance although the middle one of those 3 is my 2nd top rated, using a speed figure it recorded at Carlisle last year LORD P 7/1 but the possible downfall could be that its usually races in midfield or held up for a late run so without a decent gallop things will be much harder for it to win.

Lord P 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +7pts 

2:20 Doncaster Racing Tips (14th August)

DONCASTER 2.20 

A field of 8, so lets hope they all run in case I find an each way bet, 6 of these have been known to lead so it should be a mad dash for the line from the off, I will look to lay Blackberry 11/4 as its 2 runs over this distance on good to firm going have been slow run affairs and in this race it might get outpaced in the early stages and may struggle to get back into the race so it might represent poor value as it is forecast to be the favourite, the bottom weight Saluti 3/1 might stay on better and could make the frame as others at the front tire but isn't an each way price, my money will be riding on BLUE DE VEGA 10/1 (EW) who using its best time from 2020 at Windsor comes out as my top rated, admittedly it doesn't appear to be in great form so far this year but this ones wins have all come in the summer/autumn July to September so I am hoping it bounces back to form in this race and looks the value call in my opinion. 

Blue De Vega 10/1 +12.5pts 

Lay bets Blackberry +1pt 

Total +13.5pts

NEWMARKET 2.35 

A field of 10 with just the one known front runner, Grey Galleon has a good time from 2020 that would make it competitive but may be outclassed at this level, My Style, George Bowen and Mitrosonfire all have similar ratings and could battle to make the frame, my 2nd top rated is Brian The Snail 10/1 but this ones last win was in 2019 and the trainer is 1-27 at this course and the jockey is 0-10 for the stable so not sure what to expect but could make the frame, it should be staying on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit its style as with just the one known front runner CASE KEY 13/2 should be able to set its own pace and being my top rated it should hold on for the win and the trainer has had 6 winners in the last 2 weeks so is in pretty good form. 

Case Key 14/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWMARKET 3.05 

A field of 11 for this race with 2 known front runners in Premium Power and Meraaj but neither figure in my top 3 rating but if the latter was allowed an easy lead it could go well and might even make the frame but would need to improve time wise to win this race, Streamline has poor form on turf at this distance but has a decent time over this trip at Lingfield on the AW which would make it my 3rd top rating, Rathbone comes out in 2nd top spot using a time recorded this year at Thirsk but my money will be riding on FIRST FOLIO 7/2 who comes out top using a Yarmouth time when it won first time out this year and also won at York when the early pace was slower and you can ignore its last run on soft ground so its been found a good chance here on better going to get back to winning ways.

First Folio 6/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day +11.5pts