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Monday, 2 August 2021

3:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (3rd August)

CHELMSFORD 3.10 

My first thoughts is why is Alehandro 4/1 as I think it's better when racing over five furlongs but it is a 3yo so could improve but I'm hoping it's not in this race as I will be looking to lay it, the early pace might be set by Rockesbury and it could do enough to make the frame, I will be backing two in this race, firstly DELEGATE THE LADY 8/1 (EW) who is my top rated using just 2021 times over this course and distance, I admit MAID MILLIE 12/1(EW) hasn't shown much so far this year but has a time from 2020 that would make it my top rated so I'm covering the angles for both this year and overall figures and two each way bets could pay dividends 

Delegate The Lady 8/1 2nd +0.6pts
Maid Millie 12/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alehandro +1pt

Total -0.4pts

FFOS LAS 3.35 

Only 5 runners and no known front running types amongst them, Seneca Chief 8/1 may struggle to stay the distance if there's a good fast early pace, Sweet Pursuit 5/2 hasn't been in form lately and looks poor value, Sarah's Verse 5/2 is my 3rd top rated while I have Gilt Edge 3/1 sitting in 2nd top spot while my money will be riding on STRONG POWER 15/2 who has a time from 2020 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 4.18 

A field of 9 taking part with a couple of known front runners which means it should be a true run race, that's if all the runners are triers, I will look to lay Raaeb 3/1 who firstly looks poor value and I think it will be better when racing over further, of the two front runners I think Lomu may do best being my 2nd top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that figure is only good enough for 5th top on overall figures but then again it does have a fast time from Lingfield so could do enough to at least make the frame, my money will be riding on JACK THE TRUTH 11/1 who has good trainer/jockey stats and likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Jack The Truth 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Raab -3pts 

Total -4pts 

Total on the day -5.4pts

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