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Showing posts with label Fair And Square. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fair And Square. Show all posts

Friday, 3 March 2023

1:56 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th March)

LINGFIELD 1.56 

A class 2 dash with good prize money and there's only 3 runners, what a joke, think there was only 6 ever entered for the race maybe TONE THE BARONE 10/11 scared a lot of trainers as this horse ran well again last time out in a Listed race and now dropped down in class should get back to winning ways but I have a word of caution as there isn't any known front running type in the race and with small fields the racing can become very tactical, via my ratings it should win cosily but if its a relative trot and then a mad dash for home any of the trio could win and I expect the selection will be the hot favourite, it should win but I might leave the race alone especially if its odds on. 

Tone The Barone 5/4 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.16 

A field of 9 for this class 6 dash where I can only see one known front running type, if single figure prices I would lay Bungle Bay and Perfect Symphony who might need further to show their best form while both Ellie Piper and Battle Point do better when racing on the Tapeta surface. Master Sully will need to improve time wise to win this race, Top Exhibit hasn't been in good form recently but this is a drop in class compared so that could rejuvenate it but I couldn't back or lay this one, Storm Melody is my joint 2nd top rated on recent ratings and top rated using its best 2022 rating but you have to go back to 2021 to find this ones last win and as a 10 year old it could be on the decline and time wise has got towed along in fast run races and its ratings may have flattered it, FAIR AND SQUARE 4/1 is my other joint 2nd top rated on recent ratings and is the one I expect to set the pace to the race and if allowed an easy lead it could hold on for the win as its only rated 2lbs lower than TOPLIGHT 7/2 who can deploy most racing tactics apart from front running but will be trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish and I will back them both to cover the angles.

Topflight 7/2 2nd -1pt 
Fair And Square 4/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Bungle Bay +1pt

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts 

Thursday, 21 July 2022

1:10 Thirsk Racing Tips (22nd July)

THIRSK 1.10 

Typical a nice looking sprint until I noticed there's not any known front running types in this race but that means this race might not be run to suit Dandy Spirit, Foreseeable Future and Gullane One who might be better over further or when there's a fast pace over this distance although the latter has never run over today's distance before, Country Charm who usually races in midfield is my third top rated in this race so could make the frame as could Orchid rose my second top rated in this race but i will be putting my faith and a small amount of money on COLEY'S KOKO 25/1 (EW) and if it can reproduce its best from this year it should win this race but if reproducing its best speed figure from Ripon in 2021 it would win this race with a bit too spare but at such a big price it has to be worth an each way punt. 

Coley's Koko 25/1 6th -2pts

Total -2pts

YORK 6.25 

With known front runners drawn in stalls 1,2,12 and 14 the pace should be spread across the course so nothing should be at a disadvantage, of those front running types Bossipop in stall 1 and Rhythm in stall 14 could do best of those running to the fore especially as the latter is my 3rd top rated, as for any lays Good Earth 9/2 needs to improve time wise and might struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace, Lezardieux is my 4th top rated but this race might not be run to suit it, Captain Vallo comes out in 2nd top spot position so might be worth an each way punt but my money will be riding on DREAM TOGETHER 14/1 (EW) who likes to fast good to firm ground and likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Dream Together 14/1 6th -2pts 

Lay Good Earth +1pt 

Total -1pt

CHEPSTOW 8.05 

There looks to be 3 front running types in this race and they are my 3 top rated horses as well so most of the runners wont be able to get involved in the finish, I might look to lay Rhubarb in this race as it might be better when racing over further, the top weight Amor De Mi Vida could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish but I doubt that will happen, I have only 1lb between my 3rd top rated Coronation Cottage and my 2nd top rated Pop Dancer but if the 3yo FAIR AND SQUARE 6/1 can reproduce the rating it recorded at Windsor earlier this year it would win this race a shade cosily. 

Fair And Square 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Rhubarb -2.75pts

Total -3.75pts

Total on the day -6.75pts