5:03 Southwell Racing Tips (14th August)

SOUTHWELL 5.03 

Class 6 race with 11 runners over 5 furlongs with a couple of known front running types amongst them, the five at the bottom of the handicap all look likely to be double figure priced outsiders and look to have very little, never say never, chance of winning this race, Jet Set Go, Big Impact and Ustath may all prefer a longer distance to show their true worth, which leaves me with 3 runners, The Tron comes out in 3rd top spot and usually stays on at the finish over this distance and may stay on too late for the win here, Scale Force sits in 2nd top spot and also stays on at the finish but my top rated MARWARI 11/4 is the one that I think, hope, sets the pace to the race and if getting to the front it could prove too hard to catch, its top rated on course and distance time since this course changed to the Tapeta surface and top using other Tapeta ratings but it was from 2020 but in its defense it hasn't run over this surface at either Newcastle or Wolverhampton since then and has good trainer, 33% win ratio and jockey 19% win ratio stats with the stables older horses. 

Marwari 10/3 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

PONTEFRACT 5.20 

Class 5 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners and 4, Late Arrival, Cottam lane, Dandy Spirit and Macho Pride, known front running types amongst the field and it looks a race where I will have to go with one front running type and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Mostallim might be worth taking on here as a longer distance might show it in a better light, Late Arrival and Hello Zabeel are my joint 4th top rated horses, Mutanaaseq is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders, I have joint top rated horses MACHO PRIDE 11/2 who being a front running type could be hard to catch if getting to the front but DREAM TOGETHER 7/1 likes to track the pacesetters and likes the good to firm ground and will need a perfect run to catch the leader but this one has the better trainer/jockey stats of the pair and I will be backing them both.

Macho Pride 10/1 4th -1pt 

Dream Together 10/3 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -3pts

1:10 Thirsk Racing Tips (22nd July)

THIRSK 1.10 

Typical a nice looking sprint until I noticed there's not any known front running types in this race but that means this race might not be run to suit Dandy Spirit, Foreseeable Future and Gullane One who might be better over further or when there's a fast pace over this distance although the latter has never run over today's distance before, Country Charm who usually races in midfield is my third top rated in this race so could make the frame as could Orchid rose my second top rated in this race but i will be putting my faith and a small amount of money on COLEY'S KOKO 25/1 (EW) and if it can reproduce its best from this year it should win this race but if reproducing its best speed figure from Ripon in 2021 it would win this race with a bit too spare but at such a big price it has to be worth an each way punt. 

Coley's Koko 25/1 6th -2pts

Total -2pts

YORK 6.25 

With known front runners drawn in stalls 1,2,12 and 14 the pace should be spread across the course so nothing should be at a disadvantage, of those front running types Bossipop in stall 1 and Rhythm in stall 14 could do best of those running to the fore especially as the latter is my 3rd top rated, as for any lays Good Earth 9/2 needs to improve time wise and might struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace, Lezardieux is my 4th top rated but this race might not be run to suit it, Captain Vallo comes out in 2nd top spot position so might be worth an each way punt but my money will be riding on DREAM TOGETHER 14/1 (EW) who likes to fast good to firm ground and likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Dream Together 14/1 6th -2pts 

Lay Good Earth +1pt 

Total -1pt

CHEPSTOW 8.05 

There looks to be 3 front running types in this race and they are my 3 top rated horses as well so most of the runners wont be able to get involved in the finish, I might look to lay Rhubarb in this race as it might be better when racing over further, the top weight Amor De Mi Vida could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish but I doubt that will happen, I have only 1lb between my 3rd top rated Coronation Cottage and my 2nd top rated Pop Dancer but if the 3yo FAIR AND SQUARE 6/1 can reproduce the rating it recorded at Windsor earlier this year it would win this race a shade cosily. 

Fair And Square 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Rhubarb -2.75pts

Total -3.75pts

Total on the day -6.75pts

2:20 Brighton Racing Tips (31st May)

BRIGHTON 2.20 

A shame there's on 7 runners but hey ho it is what it is, firstly I will be looking to lay Shamshon 5/2 who might have been flattered when it finished 3rd last time out in what turned out to be a slow run affair and the pace in this race might be lot faster, Bowling Russiain 14/1 is my 2nd top rated but it is another that can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but it might have been a worthwhile each way bet if there was 8 runners and 3 places up for grabs, I think the pace will be set by DOC SPORTELLO 8/1 who is my top rated and also the only known front running type in the race so it should be able to lead and if doing so will prove hard to catch and today's jockey has a good 31% win ratio when riding for the stable. 

Doc Sportello 11/1 1st +11pts 

Lay bet Shamshon +1pt 

Total +12pts 

BRIGHTON 4.55

Another 7 runner race with a couple of possible pacesetters, as for lays in this race I can see two that might fit the bill, I think Kath's Toyboy 11/4 will be better suited to a longer distance and has only won once from 20 races so isn't a prolific winner also Hope Springs 5/1 who again might be better when racing over further and this one has poorish trainer stats and the jockey is 0-6 for the stable, King Crimson 8/1 is a front running type who comes out 2nd top rated on my figures so could go well but my top rated horse STREET PARADE 4/1 is the other front running type and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Street Parade 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Kath's Toyboy +1pt, Hope Springs +1pt 

Total +1pt

THIRSK 6.22 

This doesn't look too bad for a class 5 race apart from there's quite a few relatively lightly run horses with not much data to work with which always makes analysis hard plus a field of 16 makes the task even harder, I've no idea what will set the pace to this race but I've found 2 horses that have ratings that are usually found in slightly better races than this one, DREAM TOGETHER 13/2 is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb off of the top spot and in the last 2 weeks the stable has sent out 9 horses of which 2 have won so the stable is in good form and this one has to be backed if the ground is the good to firm ground that it likes best, my top rated horse in this is HAIL SEZER 10/1 and this ones trainer 2-7 in the last 2 weeks, so another in form stable and if the ground is good `or faster I will be backing them both but might cut it down to just my top rated if the going is just good ground.

Hail Sezer 10/1 5th -1pt 

Dream Together 13/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +11pts