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Showing posts with label Reflektor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reflektor. Show all posts

Sunday, 19 January 2020

3:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th January)


WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10

There's 3 known front-running types in this race but none of them are in my top 4 ratings so they will probably set the race up for a finishing type, Foxy Forever and Dynamo Walt is my joint 4th top-rated horses and both like to track the leaders, REFLEKTOR 9/1 is my 3rd top-rated and has good trainer/jockey stats and it could get a good tow into the race from stall 6 with stalls 5 and 7 having usually fast starters in them, my 2nd top-rated TATHMEEN 9/2 and CANFORD BAY 5/1 my top-rated are from the same stable and I am doubtful that they will both be triers (the old cynical me rearing its head) and I cannot work out which one of them will be the fancied one so I have to back them both, then if neither are good enough then my other selection could prosper, so I will be dutching all 3 of them, there's nothing I can see to lay confidently and its a competitive affair so my stakes won't be at full power. 

Canford Bay 5/1 1st 

Total = (+3pts)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.40 

If Carla Koala is allowed to set its own slower pace it could go well but Murqaab has also been known to lead before so I cannot see that happening and again the winner looks likely to come from off the pace, I will look to lay Alba Del Sole and Sharrabang who both might need further to show their best, Kyllukey is 4th top-rated using its best time from 2018, Blackcurrant is in 3rd top spot but is still a maiden after a dozen runs, Red Allure is still a maiden but this ones had 17 winless attempts, my top rated is well drawn in stall 2 so should be able to get a good early position from which to attack nearing the finish but AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 5/1 is on a losing run of 18 which is a little off-putting but the jockey does have a reasonable 15% win rate for this stable so let's hope that's a good pointer.

Win bet: Autumn Splendour 9/1 Unp
Lay bet: Alba Del Sole (+1pt) Sharrabang (+1pt) 

Total = +1pt

Total on day = 4pts 

Friday, 18 October 2019

6:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (18th October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.25 

Quite a tricky race to unravel, Baby Steps has been known to lead before but may not be quick enough to lead here as it might need further to shine, *DIZZY G 11/1 would be an easy winner if it can reproduce its best turf speed figure here so has to be backed, El Hombre could feasibly make the frame if running to it's best being 3rd best on my c/d figures, Moonraker might struggle to stay the trip in the make-up of this race as might Last Page who has won over c/d but only in a slow time, I've got joint top-rated horses in the 3-year-old POWER LINK 5/2 who could still improve so cannot be discounted plus the trainer does quite well at this course with an 18% win ratio but it would need a 100% clear run to win on my figures and REFLEKTOR 17/2 who if leading here could prove very hard to catch, I will look to back all 3 selections to some degree or another and maybe tilted in favour of the front running Reflektor. 

Power Link 5/2 1st 
Reflektor 8/1 7th 
* NR

NEWCASTLE 7.05 

A full house of 14 running in this race, Ower Fly could potentially set the pace in this race which otherwise seems devoid of frontrunners and if allowed to dictate could be a dangerous opponent Upstaging isversatile with its racing tactics and has led before but only when nothing else wants to so maybe not today, Great Shot has a speed figure from Wolverhampton this year that would make it my 2nd top rated overall but the booked jockeys 1-37 record for this stable doesnt bode well, Oriental Lilly is being ridden by a 7lbclaiming apprentice which would put it in the mix timewise but it is a 2018 time it could make the frame but im doubting it will win, the 3 year old FUTURISTIC 10/3 has only run 3 times before, its time on turf was enough to win this race cosily but on its run over this c/d it would need to improve but could easily do so, it has very good trainer/jockey stats and I will have to back it, my top rated is EPEIUS 8/1 who’s best time from this year puts it at the top of my list and has a time from 2018 thats 4lb higher, I cannot see any option other than to back them both in this race but maybe tilted in the favour of the latter with the proven rating.

Futuristic 10/3 1st + EX £24.90
Epeius 8/1 2nd 

Saturday, 5 October 2019

7:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th October)


WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

Nothing special for a class 3 race, Motagally 11/4 is a 3-year-old who won last time on g/f going on the turf but that was a slow run affair and theres a few known frontrunners in this race so it might not be run to suit it and at the price I would probably lay it, Power Link 7/2 has recorded a fast time at Kempton but im not sure this surface will suit this one so another one that I would probably lay, Walk On Walter 14/1hasnt any recent course form but its best from 2018 would make it my 3rd top rated but being a frontrunner it could do enough to make the frame and it may be worth an each-way punt, the 2 stablemates, Intisaab6/1 and Watchable 14/1 are of interest, the topweight Intisaab would be the one I would back on my figures but the good apprentice is 0-5 for this stable but that might just be coincidence but the jockey on Watchable has a 3-9 record for the stable, if they are both triers I would back the former as it is dropped in class although its on a losing run of 14 races,, is the trainer trying to muddy the waters with the jockey bookings? I don't know, if they are only going to try with the latter i think they may come unstuck as in a fast run race this one can struggle to stay the trip, which is a dilemma I cannot solve as I know nothing of their plans for this race, so the safest option is for me to back REFLEKTOR 5/1 who is my top rated and its from a time recorded this year, this one is being ridden by an apprentice, a good apprentice who has only had one ride for the stable before this race, so any stakes will be kept in check unless the betting shows me otherwise. 

Reflektor 11/1 8th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

It does annoy me when a class 4 race can only attract 6 runners, I guess it just shows how many poor horses are in training when they can get a full complement of 14 runners in the lower standard races, this is a strange looking race where there's 4 runners that could be capable of doing better, especially Betsey Trotter who looks a live danger to my plans in this race, Alicia Darcy, Lapidary and Chitra have given an indication that they might perform better over further despite the former being a c/d winner and the other 2 having won last time out, that leaves me with Turanga Leela one of 3 in the race that has been known to lead as my 2nd top-rated and my top rated horse SUNDIATA 4/1 and this 3-year-old will be looking to stay on strongly to catch the leaders nearing the finish but my stakes will not be anywhere near full strength in this race with so many potential hidden dangers amongst the opposition.

Sundiata 8/1 2nd