3:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10

There's 3 known front-running types in this race but none of them are in my top 4 ratings so they will probably set the race up for a finishing type, Foxy Forever and Dynamo Walt is my joint 4th top-rated horses and both like to track the leaders, REFLEKTOR 9/1 is my 3rd top-rated and has good trainer/jockey stats and it could get a good tow into the race from stall 6 with stalls 5 and 7 having usually fast starters in them, my 2nd top-rated TATHMEEN 9/2 and CANFORD BAY 5/1 my top-rated are from the same stable and I am doubtful that they will both be triers (the old cynical me rearing its head) and I cannot work out which one of them will be the fancied one so I have to back them both, then if neither are good enough then my other selection could prosper, so I will be dutching all 3 of them, there's nothing I can see to lay confidently and its a competitive affair so my stakes won't be at full power. 

Canford Bay 5/1 1st 

Total = (+3pts)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.40 

If Carla Koala is allowed to set its own slower pace it could go well but Murqaab has also been known to lead before so I cannot see that happening and again the winner looks likely to come from off the pace, I will look to lay Alba Del Sole and Sharrabang who both might need further to show their best, Kyllukey is 4th top-rated using its best time from 2018, Blackcurrant is in 3rd top spot but is still a maiden after a dozen runs, Red Allure is still a maiden but this ones had 17 winless attempts, my top rated is well drawn in stall 2 so should be able to get a good early position from which to attack nearing the finish but AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 5/1 is on a losing run of 18 which is a little off-putting but the jockey does have a reasonable 15% win rate for this stable so let's hope that's a good pointer.

Win bet: Autumn Splendour 9/1 Unp
Lay bet: Alba Del Sole (+1pt) Sharrabang (+1pt) 

Total = +1pt

Total on day = 4pts 

5:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (6th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45 

SUPER FLORENCE 25/1 has only slow times at this distance and looks to need further to show its true worth and its still a maiden on the AW after 9 previous attempts.

EESHA SAYS 3/1 is a possible pacesetter in this race but I don't know if this surface suits, hence I'm not sure it can lead here but if doing so could possibly make the frame but I would look to lay the win part as it isn't any value at the price. 

FAREEQ 4/1 is on a losing run of 10 and has only slow times at this c/d but it should be trying to stay on towards the business end of the race and could feasibly make the frame but again it might be worth laying the win part at the price.

MANSFIELD 8/1 another on a 10 run losing streak also one that will be trying to stay on at the finish of the race but is 0-22 on the AW tracks so not for me and a lay as long as its a single figure price.

GUARDIA SVIZZERA 14/1 is my 2nd top-rated on just 2019 c/d times and another one that races as though a longer trip will suit it better hence its an outsider. 

FILBERT STREET 25/1 hasn't any form on this surface from either here or Newcastle but I'm doubting this surface will suit it so one to hopefully lay but not at the price.

MURQAAB 10/1 hasn't any course and distance form and only slow times at this distance at Newcastle but should be staying on at the finish and I would lay it if coming into a single figure price.

AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 16/1 is 0-8 on the AW tracks but it is my top rated on a time recorded in 2019 and the only downside is the losing run of sixteen.

HANATI 16/1 is the only other one to have led before but hasn't been in good form lately but if leading and setting a slowish pace it could do enough to at least make the frame but isn't fancied in the betting.

EDGED OUT 33/1 it's a shame to see this 10yo racing at this poor level and its last win was back in 2017 so I cannot see it winning this race and its the outsider of the whole field.

ILLUSTRIOUS SPIRIT 14/1 hasn't distance form to work with and everything points to it wanting a longer trip and it might get outpaced here.

SUMMARY: I have to admit this is a poor poor race and I've got negatives against 10 of the 11 runners and there's only 3 with recorded times on my figures, Mansfield comes out 2nd top but it is using a time from 2018 and races as though further would suit it better so perhaps not a speed figure to rely on, Guardai Svizzera is 3rd best overall and 2nd best on just 2019 c/d times and this one will also be staying on at the finish, my top-rated overall is AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 16/1 who is on a losing run of 16 and hasn't won in 8 previous AW races but from stall 6 it could get a good tow into the race by the frontrunning opponent in stall 5, I will be backing it each way but my stakes won't be at full strength.

Autumn Splendour 16/1 3rd

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3:20 Southwell Racing Tips (20th December)

SOUTHWELL 3.20 

A tricky looking class 3 affair and I've got 3 all on the same mark at the top of my list. 

Samovar is one of those 3 but strictly on form the topweight Tawny Port holds it and I'm not sure he is quite up to this class. 

Moonraker who could attempt to set the pace along with Crosse Fire. They could prove hard to catch if getting to the front but haven't been in good form of late. 

I have no option other than to back the 3yo HAREEM QUEEN 2/1 has won its last 2 races for Karl Burke and has been found a good opportunity to complete the hattrick. 

Hareem Queen 9/4 2nd 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

On paper, this looks a cracker of a class 2 race and I have only found one horse that I give virtually no chance 0f winning but with 7 of the 9 runners having been known to lead before there could well be some early scrimmaging for position especially the 4 drawn in the stalls nearest the rail all wanting to set the pace, I just have a feeling they might cut each other's throats and set the race up for something coming from off the pace so my pennies will be riding on THE DALEY EXPRESS 14/1 hoping it can get a clear run in the home straight and it does have a jockey with an 18% win rate for the stable and at the price I have to back it each way. 

The Daley Express 18/1 7th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

Down to class 6 here and its no easier to analyse with just 2 that I’ve discarded from the off, I've got SIR HECTOR 9/2 as my 4th top-rated overall but its 2nd top-rated on 2019 c/d times and being a frontrunner and could lead here, it's only 1lb below AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 50/1 but this one hasn't won in 6 previous AW runs, EDGED OUT 33/1 is joint top-rated overall but this ones time was recorded at Lingfield and has only had one slow run race over this c/d which is a light negative, the other joint top rated is RANGEFIELD EXPRESS 10/1 but this ones time was recorded on this surface but at Newcastle, I will go with dutching all 4 runners mentioned to small each-way stakes hoping I have found the winner and also get another placed

Sir Hector 9/2 2nd 
Rangefield Express 20/1 5th
Edged Out 66/1 6th 
Autumn Splendour 50/1 7th  

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