6:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (29th July)

NEWCASTLE 6.25 

I usually love AW racing but to be truthful neither of today's class 3 races fill me with confidence, May Remain has won in Ireland and has a time from Kempton that would make it my joint top rated and its one of two known front running types in this race but whether it can reproduce that time on this surface I have no idea but its one try over this course and distance resulted in a time too slow to register on my figures so I will stick with the proven, COPPER KNIGHT 3/1 is the other likely front runner and its time from 2020 makes it my other joint top rated but its best time for this year has been quite a bit slower, the one that comes out top rated on just 2021 course and distance times is SALUTI 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Saluti 15/2 1st +7.5pts 

Copper Knight 100/30 Unp -1pt 

Total +6.5pts

NEWCASTLE 6.55 

Quite a mish mash of form in this race and looking at things I would never have thought it was a class 3 affair, I haven’t got one horse with a rating for this year and only one horse with a rating for this course and distance at least i can see five horses that have led before so it should be a true run affair and I think it ought to be won from the front, the 3yo Strike Red has a fast time from the turf at Hamilton but hasn't any form on this surface at this distance, Lipsink is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics, I will be backing two runners in this race and both of them do like to lead, MOHAREB 11/2 who is the only one who has recorded its best time over this course and distance which happened in 2020 but hasn't any form to its name for this year and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable but isn't quite top rated as PAPA STOUR 7/1 has a faster time but it was recorded at Chelmsford which is a different surface so cannot be ignored and it does have fairly good jockey stats.

Mohareb 11/2 6th -1pt 

Papa Stour 7/1 8th 

Total on the day +4.5pts

2:20 Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (23rd July)

PONTEFRACT 2.20 

I have found 2 horses in this race that like to set the pace and the topweight Choosey might run very well from the front and could do enough to make the frame, I will lay (Equipped) who might need a longer trip or a slower surface, timewise there are 7 horses that have a chance of at least making the frame in this race, that's mainly because this race won't take much winning, Choosey, Sheepscar Lad, Robot Boy, Lezardrieux, Billy Dylan and Shepherds Purse all have pieces of form that would make them competitive but I will go with PAVER'S PRIDE 9/2 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race and is running with a 5lb penalty before it is assessed by the official handicapper and it is due to go up a further 3lbs when the new ratings kick in. 

Paver's Pride 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bet: Equipped +1pt

Total: 0pts

PONTEFRACT 2.50 

A field of 8 for this class 3 race which is a poor turnout, I will lay (Cobra Eye who might not like the good to firm going + Primos Comet also may be better with a slower surface) the likely leader is She Can Boogie and it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but hopefully, it won't be allowed to pinch the race from the front, Watchable will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to get the win, the trainer of PEGGIE SUE 5/1 has a decent strike rate at this course it starts off as my 2nd top-rated but the apprentices 7lb claim moves it to top spot by just 1lb, the horse it knocks off the top spot is SALUTI 9/2 and I will have to back them both in this race just in case the apprentice jockey doesn't quite get things right and any error is greatly magnified in sprint races so whichever one gets the rub of the green ought to win this race.

Saluti 9/2 1st (+4.5pts)

Peggie Sue 6/1 2nd (-1pt) + EX £22.50

Lay bets: Cobra Eye (+1pt), Primos Comet (+1pt) 

Total: +5.5pts

Total on the day: +5.5pts