1:55 Haydock Racing Tips & Lay Bets (11th August)

HAYDOCK 1.55 

I can see 3 or possibly 4, Queen Of Kalahari, Galloway Hills, Redrosezorro and The Armed Man in this race that might try to set the pace and they may push each other a tad too much in the early exchanges and play into the hands of a hold-up type, Paddy Power has a time from Hamilton in 2019 that would see it make the frame but hasn't shown much so far this year, with the make-up of this race I think the connections have found a good opportunity for ICONIC KNIGHT 6/1 to follow up its win last time out and its best time from Windsor last year is good enough to win this race and the trainer has a good strike rate at this course. 

Iconic Knight 6/1 6th (-1pt)

Total: (-1pt)

HAYDOCK 2.25

If the going is good to firm I will look to lay (Camachess + Dark Silver + Somewhere Secret) and I will have to ducth 3 runners in this race to cover the angles, firstly BASHIBA 33/1 is top-rated on 2019/20 times and has an even faster time from 2018 that would see it win cosily but it hasn't been in good form lately but it is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning and the jockey does ok for this stable, secondly, PAVER'S PRIDE 4/1 who could set the pace in this race and is 2nd top-rated on 2020 times and only 2lbs off top spot so could go well from the front, thirdly BOUDICA BAY 14/1 is top-rated on just 2020 times so has to be on my list of the potential winner it's not a race to be wading in too heavily but dutching the 3 runners could prove profitable. 

Paver's Pride 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Bashiba 33/1 5th (-1pt)
Boudica Bay 16/1 7th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Somewhere Secret (-8.5pts) Betfair SP (11.64), Camachess +1pt, Dark Silver +1pt

Total: -9.5pts 


WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10

What a race and not in a good way, yes something does have to win the race I have some ideas but also I have negatives against most of those with a recorded speed figure plus it wouldn't take much improvement from many of the horses to win this race. I will lay both (Qaaraat + Hard Solution) who both seem better over shorter distances, Watheer has a jockey record of 0-19, Maid Millie has a trainer record of 0-26 and a jockey record of 0-11, Sharrabang, who is one of 3 known frontrunners, has a trainer record of 1-78 and the jockey is0-11, Kinglami the jockey's record is 0-46, in fact, the jockey has never ridden a winner on the AW, I've got *FANTASY JUSTIFIER 25/1 as my 2nd top-rated using a 2019 time but if it can reproduce its best of 2018 it could win cosily and as it it is also the only one without negative trainer/jockey stats it has to be the one I will back.

*NR

Lay bets: Hard Solution +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: -9.5pts

2:20 Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (23rd July)

PONTEFRACT 2.20 

I have found 2 horses in this race that like to set the pace and the topweight Choosey might run very well from the front and could do enough to make the frame, I will lay (Equipped) who might need a longer trip or a slower surface, timewise there are 7 horses that have a chance of at least making the frame in this race, that's mainly because this race won't take much winning, Choosey, Sheepscar Lad, Robot Boy, Lezardrieux, Billy Dylan and Shepherds Purse all have pieces of form that would make them competitive but I will go with PAVER'S PRIDE 9/2 who won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race and is running with a 5lb penalty before it is assessed by the official handicapper and it is due to go up a further 3lbs when the new ratings kick in. 

Paver's Pride 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bet: Equipped +1pt

Total: 0pts

PONTEFRACT 2.50 

A field of 8 for this class 3 race which is a poor turnout, I will lay (Cobra Eye who might not like the good to firm going + Primos Comet also may be better with a slower surface) the likely leader is She Can Boogie and it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but hopefully, it won't be allowed to pinch the race from the front, Watchable will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to get the win, the trainer of PEGGIE SUE 5/1 has a decent strike rate at this course it starts off as my 2nd top-rated but the apprentices 7lb claim moves it to top spot by just 1lb, the horse it knocks off the top spot is SALUTI 9/2 and I will have to back them both in this race just in case the apprentice jockey doesn't quite get things right and any error is greatly magnified in sprint races so whichever one gets the rub of the green ought to win this race.

Saluti 9/2 1st (+4.5pts)

Peggie Sue 6/1 2nd (-1pt) + EX £22.50

Lay bets: Cobra Eye (+1pt), Primos Comet (+1pt) 

Total: +5.5pts

Total on the day: +5.5pts