1:50 Doncaster Racing Tips (26th March)

DONCASTER 1.50 

I'm not sure what the going will be but I'm hoping its at least good ground and if it is good then I could add Mo Celita to my list of lays as it seems much better when there's some cut in the ground, others that I will look to lay are Mondammej who might be better racing over a shorter distance and may also be outclassed at Listed level and Volatile Analyst may also not be up to winning at this level, my top rated is GARRUS 15/8 who is actually dropping down in class compared to its last few runs and has won twice before when returning from a break from racing I don't usually like to back favourites but at this level its a different story and if fully fit it looks a strong bet, add on the stables 21% strike rate at this course and the jockeys 43% win ratio for the stable everything points to connections expecting it to be visiting the winners enclosure. 

Garrus 15/8 15/8 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 3.55

On paper a cracking class 2 sprint with 8 runners so I'm hoping they all run and then I can have an each way wager, its a tricky looking race and I don't think there's anything I could lay with any confidence so that's not the way to go to make a profit from this race, Ejtilaab and Repartee will make sure there's a fast early gallop by making sure the leader isn't able to set a slower place than usual but I'm hoping PAPA STOUR 11/1 (EW) can lead and then prove hard to catch, the 7lb claiming apprentice is 0-13 for the stable which is a bit off-putting but the 7lb claim could swing things in its favour and if an each way price then that will be the way I will go but only to small stakes. 

Papa Stour 18/1 6th -2pts 

Total -2pts  

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 Div I

This division looks very poor with only 2 having recorded a rating on my speed figures but even then they are low ratings, my 2nd top rated Calins Lad 10/3 is forecast to be the favourite and it might well win this race as my top rated Porfin 7/1 can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace and i have no idea if there will be a strong early pace or not so it might not be troubled by the distance in this race,so I will take a watching brief and leave this race alone. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 Div II

I have got six with ratings in this 2nd division, I will start with the lay/s and 1st on my list is Jack Ryan 4/1 who is 0-17 on the AW surfaces and the jockey is 0-15 for the stable, Highest Ambition 12/1 may struggle to stay the distance with 2 known front running types in the race especially as they both have recorded speed figures, Decision Maker 8/1 will also be on this list if its still a single figure price at the off, Eye Of The Water 6/1 is top rated using just recent Southwell ratings and comes out 3rd top on my overall figures so being a front running type it could go well but its been 58 days since the stable last had a winner and has only won once from 19 runs on the AW tracks but it could make the frame, Red Alert’s 3/1 poor jockey stats, 1-29, puts me off this one a bit but does come out in 2nd top spot but isn't an each way price, it doesn't seem a race to be betting in too heavily but I will have to side with AMAZING AMAYA 6/1 who has the stall 1 draw and could come from off the pace and pick up the leaders nearing the finish so a small bet could pay dividends. 

Amazing Amaya 15/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Jack Ryan +1pt

Total 0pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

A nice looking class 4 race with 12 runners and a guaranteed decent early gallop, firstly I will be looking to lay both Melly's Flyer (NON_RUNNER) who might not find this surface ideal also the trainer is 0-21 with their older horses at this course and Candescence 11/1 who may need further to show its best form also the jockey is 1-57 for the stable, speed figure-wise Aramis Grey could go well again here but with the trainer not having had a winner in the last month or so its not for me win wise, Invincible Larne 11/1 is my 3rd top rated but the trainer has a poorish 8% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-6 for the stable but could still make the frame, Water Of Leith 6/1 is well weighted on its best rating but I'm not sure its quite up to this class and the jockey is 0-7 for the stable which leaves me with INEVITABLE OUTCOME 16/1 (EW) who takes over top spot when taking off the apprentices 3lb claim, it has been beaten in a photograph at this class before while the jockey has a 19% win ratio on the stables older horses so i am hoping its an each way price just in case its not quite up to class 4 standard.

Inevitable Outcome 16/1 8th -2pts 

Total - 2pts

Total on the day -5pts

3:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (11th October)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.25 

A field of 11 with just one known front running type and I think Mount Mogan 4/1 will set a decent pace to he race but I doubt it can hold on for the win as its not in my top 4 ratings so may be worth laying at the price, I will look to lay Under Curfew 11/2 who may find this distance too far for it and Seas Of Elzaam who might get outpaced here and will be staying on too late to get the win as long as they are single figure prices, Inaam will be staying on at the finish and is my joint 4th top rated along with Mr Trick who will also be staying on but maybe too late for the win and might struggle to make the frame if my top rated horses run to their best, The Lamplighter 12/1 sits in 3rd top spot and is another that usually runs on at the business end of a race and could be worth an each way bet at the price, the 3yo Royal Musketeer 9/1 comes out as 2nd top on my figures and usually tracks the leaders before keeping on strongly nearing the finish and might be worth an each way price as might my top rated CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 10/1 (EW) this one hasn't had a run over this course and distance this year but a repeat of its best time from last year would see it winning a shade cosily but the jockeys 0-6 record for this stable is a little off-putting so I will go with a small each way bet. 

Chookie Dunedin 10/1 5th -2pts

Total -2pts 

KEMPTON 7.00 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but luckily there is one known front runner in the lineup, I would look to lay Ice Station Zebra 10/3 if it wasn't for it good trainer/jockey stats but I'm not sure this surface will suit it and at the price offered it might be of value to have a small lay on it, Treacherous 11/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time when it won in 2020, its sole run over this course and distance this year resulted in a slow time plus the jockeys 0-11 for the stable doesn't inspire confidence, Open Wide 13/2 is my 2nd top rated again using a 2020 time and usually runs on at the finish but this one also has a poor jockey stat this time its 1-26 so I will be relying on PAPA STOUR 11/2 who is my top rated using a time it recorded at Chelmsford this year and this one has got good jockey stats while the big plus is that's its the only known front running type in the race and has the plum stall one draw.

Papa Stour 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Ice Station Zebra +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -2pts

3:05 Salisbury Racing Tips (2nd September)

SALISBURY 3.05 

A field of 7 take part in this class 2 race but more importantly is that I have no idea what will set the early pace, there are four 3yo’s in this race which could still improve with time and experience, I will look to lay Crazy Luck who doesn't seem to appreciate good to firm ground so hence its times have been comparatively slow, while Chocoya is still a maiden after 9 races and may also need further, the top weighted Mountain Brave is my 3rd top rated who could go well but as there's only 2 places up for grabs it wont really be an each way prospect, the bottom weighted Silent Flame is my 2nd top rated and could deploy any tactics but hasn't been known to lead but has 3 win and 2 placed efforts from just 6 AW runs, if QUICKSTEP LADY 4/1 can reproduce the time it recorded at Windsor when it won there it could win this race with a bit in hand plus the jockey has a 19% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Quickstep Lady 4/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 8.05 

I can see horses in this race that have been known to lead before but this race is very competitive time wise and its a race where I will have to dutch 4 horses, 2 that might lead and 2 that will stay on strongly at the finish, the betting will decide if there is any lays in this race but I doubt there will be more than one, MOHAREB 15/2 and PAPA STOUR 12/1 are the 2 that could try to set the pace, the former is top rated on just 2021 course and distance times which is only good enough for joint 3rd top rated on my overall figures while the latter has a time from Chelmsford this year that would make it my top rated but that is on a different surface but its only course and distance run resulted in a time too low to register on my figures so I'm not quite sure what to expect, YAZAMANN 16/1 has good trainer/jockey stats and its best time was recorded in 2020 which makes it the other joint 3rd top rated while its not ran on this surface this year so could go well, STRIKE RED 4/1 comes out 2nd best on my overall figures but this time I'm using a time it recorded on turf at Hamilton, I cannot narrow it down to anything less than the four horses mentioned so dutching all of them looks the safest option. 

Strike Red 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Papa Stour 20/1 2nd -1pt 

Mohareb 9/1 7th -1pt 

Yazamann 33/1 10th -1pt 

Total +1.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.55

Only 6 runners with the top 2 in the handicap being known as front running types and they come out 4th and 3rd top rated on my figures so it should be a good gallop from the off, I think the 3yo Shanghai Rock may need further to show its best while another 3yo Ocean Eyes is held by the 3rd 3yo in the race, Lucky Ava, my 4th top rated, the bottom weight Storm Melody comes out 2nd best and could run on well at the finish along with my top rated SIR HECTOR 7/1 who is usually held up at the back but it hasn't any surface form over this distance this year but its best time from last year would see it winning this race.

Sir Hector 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day +0.5pts

2:45 Ffos Las Racing Tips (12th August)

FFOS LAS 2.45 

I am not very familiar with this relatively new flat course but for a class 5 affair this doesn't look a bad race, I will look to lay Wild Flower 4/1 who may need a longer trip if the going is good to firm which is forecast for this meeting but with no known front runners in the race my stakes wont be very big, I'm not sure what to expect from the 3yo Gosnay Gold, I think it might need a longer distance before it shows its best form but I'm not sure enough of my assessment to lay it, the top weight Handytalk has a time from last year at Salisbury that makes it my 2nd top rated and it also has good trainer/jockey stats so it looks like connections are expecting a big run and i might well have a covering bet on it because my top rated CREEK HARBOUR 5/1 has a poor trainer stat with the stable being 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its last winner was 20 days ago but the jockey booking is also a positive looking one so I hope this will stay on the strongest at the finish. 

Creek Harbour 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Wild Flower +1pt

Total 0pts 

BEVERLEY 3.10 

Ten runners in this dash over 5 furlongs, I cannot see anything of value to lay when looking at the tissue prices but I will no more nearer the off, Arnold might be outclassed in this race but he is one that can record a fast time but usually in a class lower than this race, Thrilla In Manila, Young Tiger, Wades Magic and Mutabaahy all have times that could see them contest for a place in the frame, DARK SHOT 15/2 is one of the 2 known front running types in this field and could prove hard to catch if getting to the front especially if it can reproduce its best time from Leicester last year which make it my top rated so has to be worth a wager but it hasn't been anywhere near that level on my figures so far this year but I can see this one possibly leading all the way if on a going day but just in case its not at its best I will also be backing DEBAWTRY 5/1 who usually stays on strongly over this distance and the jockey booking makes it look as though connections are hopeful of a big run in this race. 

Debawtry 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Dark Shot 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

LINGFIELD 6.08 

A nice looking class 3 sprint with 12 runners and 2 known front running types and both of them are in my top 3 ratings, firstly I will look to lay both Jack The Truth 7/1 and Lady Celia 6/1 who both might find it hard to stay the distance in a fast run early paced race, IRISH ACCLAIM 8/1 comes over from Ireland for this race and the trainer is in good form, 13-78, in the last 2 weeks and could be the one to prosper if the front runners tire nearing the finish, BENEFIT STREET 5/1 won last time on turf at Newmarket and has a time from 2020 that would give a degree of a chance to follow up here also it is well drawn in stall 2 for a front runner and its best time from 2020 puts in the mix, PAPA STOUR 7/1 is my top rated and another possible pacesetter and stall 4 shouldn't be a problem in the make-up of this race but this ones best time was recorded at Chelmsford so I'm hoping it can repeat that time on the same surface but at this course. 

Benefit Street 16/1 4th -1pt

Irish Acclaim 18/1 6th -1pt 

Papa Stour 15/2 Unp -1pt 

Lay bets Jack The Truth +1pt, Lady Celia +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.22 

A poor turnout of just 6 for this dash over five furlongs, True Hero could be the one to set the pace and its best time from Newcastle would make it my 2nd top rated but I am of the feeling this isn't its favoured surface also the trainer is 0-8 in the last 2 weeks so it could be one to lay, Jumira Bridge is my 3rd top rated but this one hasn't been showing much recently so its not for me in this race, the top weight Lilklan won for me last time out but that was over 6 furlongs and it isn't as good over this shorter distance, the trainer is 0-5 at this course but the jockey has a very good win ratio when riding for this stable but no jockey can perform miracles if this is the wrong distance for it, I will be taking a punt on STREET PARADE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and waiting to pounce in the latter stages of the race plus its best time from last year does make it my top rated.

Street Parade 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

6:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (29th July)

NEWCASTLE 6.25 

I usually love AW racing but to be truthful neither of today's class 3 races fill me with confidence, May Remain has won in Ireland and has a time from Kempton that would make it my joint top rated and its one of two known front running types in this race but whether it can reproduce that time on this surface I have no idea but its one try over this course and distance resulted in a time too slow to register on my figures so I will stick with the proven, COPPER KNIGHT 3/1 is the other likely front runner and its time from 2020 makes it my other joint top rated but its best time for this year has been quite a bit slower, the one that comes out top rated on just 2021 course and distance times is SALUTI 13/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Saluti 15/2 1st +7.5pts 

Copper Knight 100/30 Unp -1pt 

Total +6.5pts

NEWCASTLE 6.55 

Quite a mish mash of form in this race and looking at things I would never have thought it was a class 3 affair, I haven’t got one horse with a rating for this year and only one horse with a rating for this course and distance at least i can see five horses that have led before so it should be a true run affair and I think it ought to be won from the front, the 3yo Strike Red has a fast time from the turf at Hamilton but hasn't any form on this surface at this distance, Lipsink is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics, I will be backing two runners in this race and both of them do like to lead, MOHAREB 11/2 who is the only one who has recorded its best time over this course and distance which happened in 2020 but hasn't any form to its name for this year and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable but isn't quite top rated as PAPA STOUR 7/1 has a faster time but it was recorded at Chelmsford which is a different surface so cannot be ignored and it does have fairly good jockey stats.

Mohareb 11/2 6th -1pt 

Papa Stour 7/1 8th 

Total on the day +4.5pts