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Showing posts with label So Smart. Show all posts
Showing posts with label So Smart. Show all posts

Wednesday, 14 June 2023

3:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (15th June)

NOTTINGHAM 3.45 

Class 3 6F 7 Runners.

A very competitive race but there isn't any known front running types in the race so who knows what to expect and to be honest this race might be best left alone. In fact, if you've had enough of betting horses for the day, take a look at these Top casino bonuses for a change of scene as I certainly can't find anything I could lay with any confidence, Temple Bruer 9/2 is well weighted on it best form and comes out top on my figures but has never won at this level before on turf but has done so on an artificial surface so it could repeat that here, Lethal Nymph 9/2 is 2nd top rated only 2lbs from being at the top of my ratings while Another Romance 3/1 is only rated 1lb lower and sits in 3rd top spot it hasn't run for 250 days so maybe something has been amiss with it but it has won before when returning after a break and its last 4 runs were in higher class races than these so could go well if fully fit, i had thought about dutching the trio but they are the 1st 3 in the betting on the early tissue prices so whether it will be of value to do so only the betting will tell. 

NEWBURY 4.30 

Class 4 6F 9 Runners.

The early pace will most likely be set by Shobiz 5/4 but I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory but it could make the frame if others falter. I don't think there will be anything else of value to lay in this race so I'm either going to visit robbyriches.com or wait and see if these horses are single-figure odds. The three at the bottom of the handicap all look potentially well weighted using their best ratings so any or all of them could run well but I will be relying on SARAH'S VERSE 14/1 (EW) who is a hold up type so should be finishing fast nearing the finish and the switch back to the jockey, who is 2-6 on the stables older horses, looks a positive booking but the trainers 0-11 at this course is a worry so my stakes will be kept low staked each way bet. 

Sarah's Verse 40/1 6th -2pts 

Lay bet: Shobiz +1pt 

Total -1pt

HAYDOCK 7.10 

Class 4 5F 10 Runners.

With 4 front running types in this race it should be a fast and furious dash, On good to firm ground *The Dunkirk Lads 11/2 can struggle to say the distance so I will look to lay this one along with Brian The Snail 5/2 who won last time but this 9yo seems to be on the decline and may find this step up in class too much for it here and the same applies to Street Life who won a class 6 race last time out in a slow time. Dandy Dinmont might prefer a longer distance but with a fast early pace it ought to be staying on strongly at the finish. SO SMART 12/1 is my 4th top rated and best of the quartet so could go well from the front as there is only 4lbs between my top 4 ratings and will at least be having a covering bet on this one. My main bet will be on REGAL ENVOY 16/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and today's conditions should be ideal for it and its 2 runs this year can be ignored but hopefully they will have tuned it up for this race and if big enough an each way punt then that will be my bet.

*NR

So Smart 12/1 2nd -1pt 
Regal Envoy 16/1 4th -2pts 

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -4pts

Wednesday, 24 May 2023

3:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (25th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.20

A class 6 sprint with 13 runners and 3 natural front running types amongst them, I will look to lay Squeezebox and Show Compassion, if they are value to do so, Another Angel has been in good form recently and is a front running type and my 4th top rated so could go well, Della Mare is another front running type and my joint 2nd top rated alongside Eldeyaar who likes to track the leaders before staying on resolutely at the finish, my money will be on PORFIN (EW) who is a hold up type and likes to have a fast pace to aim at so this race should suit it well. 

Each Way Bet PORFIN 11/1 Unp -2pts
Lay SQUEEZEBOX 5/1 +1pt 

Total 0pts

HAYDOCK 4.00

A class 4 dash where half the field have been known to lead before and looking at the make-up of this race it could be won from the front, Street Life is capable of recording a good time but hasn't won before at this level, Dandy Dinmont might be better over a longer distance so these 2 might be lays if of value. Birkenhead is my 4th top rated and is a hold up type, Catch Cunningham comes out as 3rd top and likes to track the leaders, my money will be riding on SO SMART who should prove hard to catch if it gets its head in front. 

Bet SO SMART 4/1 6th -1pt
Lay DANDY DINMONT 6/1 + STREET LIFE 8/1 +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.22 

A 7 runner class 5 dash where I will be looking to lay Blue Flame who might be better when racing over a longer distance, Dark Side Prince is the one I expect will set the pace to the race and being my 4th top rated it could go well, Saaheq and Street Parade are my joint 2nd top rated and both like to track the leaders, my money will be riding on SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD who likes a fast pace to aim at and this race could be run to suit it with 2 or 3 that like to track the pacesetters so making sure its a fast early gallop.

Bet SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 13/2 7th -1pt 
Lay BLUE FLAME 4/1 +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 8.22 

A class 6 sprint with just 7 runners so there cant be any each way bets, where Jungle Run my 3rd top rated could set the pace, Josies Kid might prefer a shorter distance while Laertes might prefer further and I will look to lay both of them if of value to do so, Show Me A Sunset can struggle to stay the distance if there's a really fast early pace but in this race it comes out 2nd top on my figures so could go well but my money will be riding on UNDER CURFEW who usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish. 

Bet UNDER CURFEW 11/1 3rd -1pt 
Lay JOSIES KID 7/1 + LAERTES 7/1 +2pts

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +1pt

Thursday, 1 September 2022

3:03 Haydock Racing Tips (2nd September)

HAYDOCK 3.03 

A 7 runner race where Jordan Electrics is the only known front running type but this one might be outclassed at this level but might have been an each way bet if there was enough runners to pay out on 3 places, Ventura Express could go well in this race along with Ghathanfar but I will be putting my faith in the 3yo KHANJAR 5/6 who has got good trainer, 36% with 3yo’s, stats and jockey, 39% with 3yo’s, stats, it will either be held up or race in the middle of the field before staying on strongly at the finish. 

Khanjar 5/6 1st +0.83pts

Total 0.83pts

HAYDOCK 3.38 

A 14 runner class 4 dash with 2 known front running types amongst them, my ratings for Fox Hill have been a few pounds worse each year since 2019 and even its best from then wouldn't be good enough to win this race so if a single figure price might be worth laying, anything else that I would lay will I expect be double figure prices, Never Dark, Amor De Mi Vida and Ginger Jam all sit just outside my top 3 ratings, in joint 2nd top spot sits Soul Seeker but that's using a 2021 rating and hasn't been near that level so far this year and Leodis Dream and the same applies to this one as well, so my money will be riding on SO SMART 14/1 (EW) who recorded a rating at Salisbury this year which would see it winning this race with a few spots to spare BUT this one is still a maiden after 14 races so I'm hoping it will be an each way price as it has made the frame in half of those races. 

So Smart 14/1 3rd +2.5pts 

Lay Fox Hill +1pt 

Total 3.5pts

ASCOT 4.55 

A twelve runner race with just one known front runner, looking at the early tissue prices it predicts that the 3yo Torvi will be the favourite but it has done well in relatively slow run races and I'm not sure if its up to winning at this class 4 level so maybe worth laying, Love Trophy Power could be another one to lay if its a single figure price because its only produced slow times on good, good to firm and AW surfaces, Rainbow Mirage is my 4th top rated and only 2lbs below Miss Bella Brand in 3rd top position, the front running Mejthaam might do well if allowed to dictate the pace as it recorded a fast time at Yarmouth last year when leading but that is now looking like a one of rating but might be worth an each way punt just in case things go its way here and it does repeat its best rating but my main bet will be on SOUND OF IONA 4/1 who is dropped in class to run in this race and should be staying on at the business end of the race.

Sound Of Iona 4/1 1st +4pts 

Lay Love Trophy Power +1pt 

Total +5pts 

Total on the day +9.33pts

Tuesday, 9 August 2022

2:30 Salisbury Racing Tips (10th August)

SALISBURY 2.30 

AMOR DE MI VIDO 5/2 comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures and usually likes to track the leaders but needs to improve to win this race. 

GLAMOROUS BREEZE 9/4 usually prefers to race in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish but might struggle to catch the leader in this race. 

SO SMART 6/1 a front running 3yo type who has made the frame in 5 of its races on turf but hasn't in 12 races in total but comes out top rated on my figures and looks the value call at the price. 

NORDIC GLORY 7/1 another 3yo who seems versatile with its racing tactics, it hasn't won on grass and only produced slow times but has 3 wins on the AW tracks.

SYMBOL OF HOPE 9/1 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures and could be the one for the forecast. 

DELEGATE THIS LORD 9/1 hasn't shown much lately time wise and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race.

SUMMARY: With my top 2 ratings, Symbol Of Hope and SO SMART 6/1, being the known front running types they could have the race between them and the latter has been found an ideal opportunity to discard its maiden tag and a repeat of its time recorded over this course and distance it would win with a bit in hand and the trainer has been in good form over the last couple of weeks.

So Smart 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt