6:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (17th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

I'm not really a fan of these amateur riders races but this race doesn't seem to fit the usual pattern and I will be backing 2 horses in this race but admit stakes wont be at full strength, Silver Dollar 8/1 is making its handicap debut and could be capable of improving but everything points to it needing a longer distance before it will show what its capable of so I will look to lay it as long as its a single figure price, the top weight MAJESKI MAN 5/2 is the only known front running type in this race and when it won last time out its rating makes it my 2nd top rated and it has one of the top amateur riders on board so must have a decent chance of following up here but I do have DEEVIOUS BEAU 13/2 rated a little bit higher, the trainer has a 17% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 1-1 for the stable so I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Deevious Beau 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Majeski Man 5/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

MISS NAY NEVER this front running type has only poor recent form and its best from 2021 wouldn't see it win this race but I expect it to be an outsider. 

OOH IS IT 11/2 another possible pacesetter but would need to improve time wise on its best course and distance and on its Southwell time so could be value to lay. 

THE THIN BLUE LINE 2/1 comes out in top spot on both course and distance times and Southwell times and has been found a good chance to follow up its win last time out.

CAHORS likes to track the leaders but its one run over this course and distance resulted in a slow time but will be a big outsider. 

DARK SIDE PRINCE 3/1 the 3rd possible pacesetter in this race but time wise it needs to improve on what its shown so far so maybe one to lay if its a shortish price. 

GOOD LISTENER has only poor ratings and form to its name and would be a shock winner and i expect it to be a double figure price. 

STORM MELODY 6/1 didn't record a rating when winning over this course and distance and maybe flattered by that result and could be outclassed at this level. 

RED WALLS the 4th and final front running type in this race and comes out 3rd top on my overall figures but I expect it to be an outsider in this race. 

SUMMARY: I will be looking to lay Storm Melody who could well be outclassed at this level as for the winner I cannot see beyond THE THIN BLUE LINE 2/1 who I tipped up when it won last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here it has decent trainer and good jockey stats, I doubt it will be a very big price but a winners a winner and I would rather back a class 4 favourite than a class 6 favourite. 

The Thin Blue Line 2/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Ooh Is It +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -2pts 

Lay bets 9/1 and less only 

2:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th February)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

This is one of those lowly stakes races and to make things worse there isn't any known front running types in the race, I think that Cool Spirit 9/2 is better over a shorter distance and might be worth laying if the price is right but that will be hoping the early pace is fast enough to ensure it doesn't last home, I could also lay *Million Reasons 11/4 who is forecast to be the favourite here won last time out in a slow run race so may have been flattered and Ocean Eyes 7/2 who was 2nd that day is weighted to reverse the form in this race, Perfect Symphony 10/1 is another that looks better over a shorter distance and might be worth taking on with a lay bet, as for winning this race I will be backing 2 horses, KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 9/2 who is my top rated on just recent, 2021/22 c/d speed figures and is usually held up for a late run so will be hoping the early pace is strong enough for the leaders to be tiring as this one starts to run on, the same applies to my other bet INDEPENDENCE DAY 4/1 as this one is also a hold up type and this ones best time comes from 2020 but did record a time last year at Newcastle to show it has still got enough to win this race if on song. 

*NR

Independence Day 8/1 3rd -1pt

Knockabout Queen 9/2 6th -1pt

Lay bets Cool Spirit  -2.25pts

Total -4.25pts

NEWCASTLE 4.45 

Only 6 runners with only Blazing Hot 3/1 been known to lead before although this one is versatile with its racing tactics and doesn't have to lead but could attempt to do so here and could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead, I will look to lay Ubaahha 12/1 if its a single figure price at the off, Ginato 15/2 has a good speed figure but is still a maiden on the AW surfaces after 11 attempts plus its been over 80 days since the stable last had a winner which is off-putting and the jockey is 0-7 for the stable, my money will be riding on DEEVIOUS BEAU 5/2 who has the best Southwell rating and 2nd top on this surface at Wolverhampton and it has good jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here but is a bit shorter in price than I was expecting but hey ho a winners a winner. 

Deevious Beau 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 5.45 

The early pace in this race could be set by Mokaman and/or Fine Wine 8/1 although I think the latter may prefer the Polytrack surface and is one I will look to lay if its a single figure price at the off, others I will be looking to lay for various reasons are Sugar Baby 3/1, Lazyitus 8/1 and One Hart 6/1, if TATHMEEN 9/1 reproduces its best time from last year it would be winning this race with a bit in hand and it recorded an even better rating from 2020 so will be carrying some of my money but I will also be backing THE THIN BLUE LINE 7/2 who recorded a good rating from Southwell, this is its debut over this c/d but if repeating its best Southwell speed figure it would have a very good chance, (I have sort of contradicted myself saying both horses could win this race it is down to the fact that with Southwell having the new Tapeta surface installed 2 months ago it is still hard to compare those ratings against the Newcastle and Wolverhampton ratings).

Tathmeen 9/1 3rd -1pt 

The Thin Blue Line 7/2 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Sugar baby +1pt 

Total -1pt

Total on the day -6.25pts