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Showing posts with label Majeski Man. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Majeski Man. Show all posts

Saturday, 10 June 2023

3:45 Beverley Racing Tips (11th June)

BEVERLEY 3.45 

5F Class 4 Apprentice Jockeys race A big field of 17 with 5 confirmed front running types amongst them, Saaheq doesn't seem to like really fast good to firm ground so if they don't water the course too much this one may struggle others that might struggle with really fast ground are Reigning Profit and Le Beau Garcon which sounds like a french online casinos I visited and I will look to lay if value to do so. The bottom 2 in the handicap, Ventura Flame and Muker are capable of good ratings but in lower class races but I expect both will be double figure prices. The 2 that are top on recent rating, 2022/23, are Majeski Man who recorded its best rating this year at Nottingham and Resillience who recorded its best last year at Windsor and both are front running types and I will be backing both of them in this race.

Bet: MAJESKI MAN 15/2 Unp -2pts, Small Each Way Bet: RESILLIENCE 40/1 (EW) Unp -2pts

Small Lay: PAPA COCKTAIL 13/2 +1pt,  LE BEAU GARCON 5/1+1pt

Total -2pts

GOODWOOD  4.55 

6F Class 4 I don't think there will be anything of value to lay in this race and the form to finding the winner is a bit muddled but I think I've solved it, Showbiz, which reminds me to visit https://www.casinous.com/online-gambling/ ,is the likely pacesetter and comes out 5th best on my overall figures but 4th on more recent rating only. Epsom Faithful comes out 4th top using both 2021 and recent ratings so could make the frame, Count Otto comes out top using a 2021 rating but hasn't been anywhere near that rating since then, Indian Creak is my 3rd top rated using a rating recorded at Windsor last year but my money will be riding on MOJOMAKER who is only 2nd top rated overall but is top rated on recent, 2022/23, ratings, after shaking off its maiden tag it was raised into Listed and Group class races and has slowly dropped down to class 2 and 3 but this is its 1st run in a class 4 race since its sole victory and looks to have been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Bet: MOJOMAKER 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Monday, 29 August 2022

3:00 Chepstow Racing Tips (30th August)

CHEPSTOW 3.00 

Nine runner dash for a class 6 race, I can see 4 that have been known to lead before, Willingly has won its last 2 races but both were relatively slow run races and the official handicapper might have caught up with it but I'm not 100% sure whether to lay it or not, Coronation Cottage my 4th top rated could try to lead and could make the frame if others falter, the 3yo Hattie C comes out in 3rd top spot so could stay on nearing the finish to make the frame so might be worth an each way punt, Shesadabber another front running type comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures but GLAMOROUS FORCE 15/2 hinted at a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and if ready and able to reproduce its best 2021 rating recorded at Bath it would get back to winning ways. 

Glamorous Force 8/1 1st +8pts

Total +8pts

RIPON 3.40 

I expect the front running Mark's Choice 5/2 will be the favourite to win this race but it only comes out 4th top on my figures so might be worth taking on with a lay bet, Surprise Picture 9/1 is my 3rd top rated who likes to track the leaders and could be worth an each way punt, Bossipop is another possible pacesetter and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures using its best time from Hamilton last year but my money will be on my top rated horse MAJESKI MAN 5/1 who likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish and did hint at a return to form when finishing 2nd last time out. 

Majeski Man 15/2 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Mark's Choice -2pts 

Total -3pts

EPSOM 3.50 

Only 7 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race, with a fast pace I will look to lay La Roco Del Fuego who can struggle to stay the sixth furlong even though this is a relatively easy fast course, Boogie Time a possible front runner is my 3rd top rated but would need to improve time wise to win this race, Reparted is my 2nd top rated so could do best of those trying to come from off the pace, I will be hoping that BLISSFUL SONG 11/2 has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up its win last time out and the trainer does quite well with a 29% strike rate at this course. 

Blissful Song 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CARLISLE 5.15 

Class 5 dash with 12 runners and 4 known front running types, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay but the betting will be the final piece of data to complete the picture, Canaria Prince is my 3rd top rated and a possible pacesetter and it could do enough from the front to make the frame, Mutashaaweq is my 2nd top rated and ran two fast times at Hamilton on good to firm ground but hasn't been anywhere near that form on any other course, my money will be riding on LATIN FIVE 11/1 who won the time before last and finished 5th last time out when not getting a clear run at a critical time and still wasn't beaten far and has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Latin Five 11/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +3pts

Sunday, 1 May 2022

1:21 Bath Racing Tips (2nd May)

BATH 1.21 

With 3 possible pacesetters in this race it should be a true run race and I think it could well be won from the front, I will look to lay Hot Hot Hot 9/2 who seems to need further to show its true potential and the jockey is a poor 1-37 for the stable which is certainly off-putting, it looks likely that Symbol Of Hope 2/1 will be the favourite and I gave it as a lay last time it ran where it finished 2nd and I will be laying it again here if I think its not value, Sir Rodneyredblood could be the one to do best of those coming from off the pace but I will be hoping that *CORONATION COTTAGE 8/1 can lead all the way in this race and the apprentice jockey has good stats and the horse has won before when returning after a break. 

*NR 

Lay bet Symbol Of Hope -1.25pts

Total -1.25pts 

BATH 2.31 

A poor turnout of just 6 runners for this class 4 dash over 5 furlongs, I'm not sure there is anything in this race that I could confidently lay although Newyorkstateofmind would have to improve time wise a good few spots to be winning the race, Get It and Hallowed Time look the ones likely to set the pace to this race and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its my 2nd top rated but my money will be hoping they will be setting the race up for AIRSHOW 9/4 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and its trainer has a 20% win ratio with its older horses at this course. 

Airshow 5/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 3.26 

Not really a race to be betting in too heavily as I'm not sure what will set the pace to the race or how fast the gallop will be which means its hard to spot lays as well as bets, I can see some that might not have the race run to suit them but they are all forecast to be double figure prices but the proper betting might show me something to lay, as for backing in this race I cannot see why MAJESKI MAN 11/4 who won last time out shouldn't follow up here as that time at Salisbury last time out would see it winning this race with a bit still in hand, as this horse likes to track the leaders it should be able to spot if the leaders are not going fast and push on if needs be and I think Holly Doyle is more than capable of riding a good race from the front.

Majeski Man 9/4 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3.25pts

Wednesday, 16 March 2022

6:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (17th March)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

I'm not really a fan of these amateur riders races but this race doesn't seem to fit the usual pattern and I will be backing 2 horses in this race but admit stakes wont be at full strength, Silver Dollar 8/1 is making its handicap debut and could be capable of improving but everything points to it needing a longer distance before it will show what its capable of so I will look to lay it as long as its a single figure price, the top weight MAJESKI MAN 5/2 is the only known front running type in this race and when it won last time out its rating makes it my 2nd top rated and it has one of the top amateur riders on board so must have a decent chance of following up here but I do have DEEVIOUS BEAU 13/2 rated a little bit higher, the trainer has a 17% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 1-1 for the stable so I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Deevious Beau 11/1 2nd -1pt 
Majeski Man 5/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 

MISS NAY NEVER this front running type has only poor recent form and its best from 2021 wouldn't see it win this race but I expect it to be an outsider. 

OOH IS IT 11/2 another possible pacesetter but would need to improve time wise on its best course and distance and on its Southwell time so could be value to lay. 

THE THIN BLUE LINE 2/1 comes out in top spot on both course and distance times and Southwell times and has been found a good chance to follow up its win last time out.

CAHORS likes to track the leaders but its one run over this course and distance resulted in a slow time but will be a big outsider. 

DARK SIDE PRINCE 3/1 the 3rd possible pacesetter in this race but time wise it needs to improve on what its shown so far so maybe one to lay if its a shortish price. 

GOOD LISTENER has only poor ratings and form to its name and would be a shock winner and i expect it to be a double figure price. 

STORM MELODY 6/1 didn't record a rating when winning over this course and distance and maybe flattered by that result and could be outclassed at this level. 

RED WALLS the 4th and final front running type in this race and comes out 3rd top on my overall figures but I expect it to be an outsider in this race. 

SUMMARY: I will be looking to lay Storm Melody who could well be outclassed at this level as for the winner I cannot see beyond THE THIN BLUE LINE 2/1 who I tipped up when it won last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here it has decent trainer and good jockey stats, I doubt it will be a very big price but a winners a winner and I would rather back a class 4 favourite than a class 6 favourite. 

The Thin Blue Line 2/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Ooh Is It +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -2pts 

Lay bets 9/1 and less only