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Showing posts with label Vandad. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Vandad. Show all posts

Tuesday, 12 July 2022

1:00 Brighton Racing Tips (13th July)

BRIGHTON 1.00 

A 5 runner race with 2 known front running types, Wiley Post (even money) is forecast to be the six to five favourite but I will look to lay this one as it doesn't seem to appreciate fast good to firm ground and might have been flattered when it won its last race which was a slow run affair so might get outpaced here, T Maxie and Haveoneyerself are my joint 3rd top rated with the latter being one of the known front running types in the race, the 11yo Shamshon can still run a decent race but without winning lately so I will be backing VANDAD 4/1 who could set the pace to the race and if getting to the front should prove hard to catch. 

Vandad 4/1 1st +4pts 

Lay bet Wiley Post +1pt 

Total +5pts

CATTERICK 4.05 

Just 5 runners again here with Abate 11/8 looking the most likely leader but it would want to set a slightly slower pace than usual to ensure it stayed the distance but I think it will be collared inside the final furlong so maybe worth laying especially if its the six to five price forecast on the early tissue prices, Oso Rapide is my 4th top rated just 2lbs below Embour in 3rd top spot but they are a few spots behind Natural Path in 2nd top spot which leaves me with the horse I will be backing the 3yo BAY BREEZE 11/2 who seems to love the good to firm ground and usually tracks the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Bay Breeze 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Abate -1pt 

Total 0pts

LINGFIELD (AW) 8.30 

Wow the biggest field of the day of the sprints I'm interested in, either/or Stay Smart and Bowling Russian could set the pace to this race and the latter could do best of them being my 3rd top rated, the two 3yo’s Libertus 4/1 and Thisismydream 6/1 both run as though further would suit them better but the likely fast early pace here might suit them so I couldn't lay either of the confidently, I will look to lay Porfin 10/3 who is a better horse over shorter distances, I will be taking a bit of a punt in this race by siding with BIG IMPACT 6/1 who is returning after a break of over 270 days so might be ring rusty but if able to reproduce its best rating from Chelmsford last year it would be winning this race a shade cosily, maybe the betting will be the best guide so I will wait until I've seen the betting.

Big Impact 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Porfin +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +6pts

Monday, 9 August 2021

2:05 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (10th August)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.05 

A 10 runner class 6 race which to be honest is virtually impossible to analyse to a conclusion, half the field have been known to lead before and 3 of the front runners, Heer We Go Again 9/2, Cool Spirit 8/1 and Katherine Place 7/2, could prove hard to catch but if they do go off too quickly then Street Life 4/1, Raabeh 8/1 and Qaaraat 7/2 could be the ones to prosper, I could possibly go with doing reverse forecasts in this race with the 6 runners but I think the best way to make a profit from this race will be to lay Billy Dylan if its a single figure price who hasn't produced a speed figure over this course and distance who might need further to show its true worth and the trainers record here is 0-31 and the jockey is 0-10 for the stable. 

Lay bet: Billy Dylan +1pt (returned 10/1 but opened 9/1 so possible to lay) 

Total +1pt


LINGFIELD 8.05 

A decent looking class 4 race but only 6 runners again half the field have been known to lead, I don't expect Lorna Cole to win this race but it will be the outsider in the field, Buy Me Back and Charming Kid could be to the fore in the early stages but they might not be able to keep up with other possible pacesetter and *LETHAL BLAST 5/2 could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and is only 1lb off being my top rated but the jockeys 0-12 record for the stable doesn't inspire confidence and my top rated, VANDAD 5/2 has exactly the same 0-12 jockey stat, I will as usual stick with my speed figures and back them both to cover the angles. 

*NR 

Vandad 5/2 1st +2.5pts 

Total +2.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.50 

This is one of those low class claiming races which have become the norm lately I have found a couple of possible front running types in Oh So Nice 16/1 and Tarseek 6/1 but both are drawn high in stalls 10 and 13, they might be ok with their draws with the make-up of this race unless something changes its usual racing style which happens quite often at this class of racing, I can see 4 horses from off the pace that could go well here, At Your Service 11/1, La Roca Del Fuego 5/1, Perfect Symphony 5/2 and Vincenzo Coccotti 9/1 but I'm not sure it would be viable to dutch all 6 runners so maybe reverse forecasts is the way to go but in reality its probably a race best left alone, that decision is yours.

Total on the day +3.5pts 

Thursday, 29 July 2021

8:10 Bath Racing Tips (30th July)

BATH 8.10 

GINGER JAM has a time from 2020 that would put it at the top of my figures and is usually held up for a late run and this race could suit it. 

POP DANCER the 1st of 3 known front running types in this race and its best time from 2020 at Sandown would make it my joint 2nd top rated.

FERNANDO RAH 11/10 this 3yo is another possible pacesetter and is the other joint 2nd top rated and could still improve being a youngster so has to be feared.

SENECA CHIEF would need to improve time wise to win this race but it is fairly consistent when it gets its ideal conditions. 

VANDAD the 3rd and final possible pacesetter is my top rated and it recorded its best time last time out at Brighton and has been found an opportunity to follow up here.

SARAH'S VERSE hasn't any form over this distance and it does appear that a longer distance would suit it better 

SUMMARY: 3 of my top 4 ratings are all front running types so it should be a mad furious dash for the line, I'm hoping that *VANDAD 7/2 can get to the front here and if doing so could be hard to catch so it will be carrying my cash. 

*NR

MUSSELBURGH 8.22 

CLARENDON HOUSE 7/4 this 3yo is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics including leading and comes out 3rd top using a time recorded at Newmarket this year.

VICTORY ANGEL is usually held up for a late strong run and is 2nd top on its best time recorded over this course and distance this year.

STARS IN THE NIGHT its best time from 2020 wouldn't be good enough to win this race even with the apprentices 7lb claim. 

MILITIA 11/4 the 2nd of the known front running types in this race but its best time recorded on its last race would make it my 4th top rated.

GET BOOSTING has its best time recorded this year over this course and distance but it would need to improve time wise to win this race.

KRAKEN POWER is another that will need to improve time wise to win this race and I think it will be better when racing over a longer distance. 

PRIMOS COMET 6/1 has the best time for this race but its best times have been recorded in lower class races than this one so maybe worth laying at the price. 

SUMMARY: I expect Clarendon House and/or Militia to set the pace I have only 1lb between them on my ratings, I'm not sure the bottom weight, Primos Comet, is quite up to winning this class of race so I will be putting my money on *VICTORY ANGEL 13/2 who likes a fast pace to aim at so this race could suit it ideally but i wont be betting too heavily in this race.

*NR

Saturday, 12 December 2020

1:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (13th December)


LINGFIELD 1.15 6f Class 5 

A field of twelve runners with three known front running types in the race one of them Champagne Supernova is out in stall eleven which is not ideal and the jockey’s 1-37 record for the stable is off-putting, Barrington another pace setting type would need to improve time wise to win this race, the three year old COMEATCHOO 11/2 is not a front runner but does have the best of the draw in stall one so should be able to get a good position on the rail just behind the leaders and will be carrying some of my money as will VANDAD 4/1 another three year old and this one is the third of the front running types in the race and from stall four it has the best draw of the usual pacesetters and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch, I will be backing both of them to cover both angles of a front runner and a fast finishing type. 

Vandad 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Cometchoo 8/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

LINGFIELD 1.45 5f Class 4 

In this five furlong dash four of the nine runners have been known to lead before and that could play into the hands of my selection who likes a fast pace to aim at, the early paced sorts are housed in stalls one, two, four and six so there could be a struggle to gain an early prominent position but I think Boom The Groom who has the best draw will be the one I think will set the pace and could prove hard to catch, Saheeq has a fast time to it’s name but hasn’t shown it’s form recently but would be dangerous if springing back to form without prior warning, i will be pinning my hopes and money on the three year old NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND 5/2 who is housed in stall five so hopefully will be able to gain a good early position from which to attack at the business end of the race and the jockey booking looks a positive move making me think that connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways here.

Newyorkstateofmind 11/4 5th (-1pt)

Total -1pt

Total on the day: -3pts 

Tuesday, 24 November 2020

1:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th November)


LINGFIELD 1.00 

A class 4 sprint that is the only sprint race for older horses on the day and a poor turnout of only 7 entries and 6 of the 7 runners are 3yo’s so the amount of data available to work with is limited.

I would look to lay Cobra Eye who might be better on a slower surface, Princes Des Sables is a 4yo who has been out of form lately but hasn't run here before so not 100% sure what to expect, Brunels Boy has had only one run over this c/d which resulted in a slow time and its best time from Kempton would still leave it a good few spots off the top rated horses, Bowling Russian is a possible pacesetter in this race if fast enough to do so but does have the advantage of being drawn in stall 1 but is only my 4th top rated on overall figures but 2nd top on just 2020 c/d times, Dazzling Des is my 2nd top rated using a 2019 time and hasn't been near that figure this year but never say never although that is only 1lb higher than NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND 6/4 who recorded its best time over this c/d this year which is always a positive so has to be one I back in the race, meanwhile VANDAD 7/2 is my top rated on a time recorded at Chelmsford and is one of two known front running types in the race and if leading could be hard to catch and would normally be my bet in the race BUT and yes it is a big but, it is still a maiden after 11 attempts and 9 of those races has been on AW tracks including one slow run over this c/d, so I will be backing them both to cover the angles but admittedly there's not a lot of value as they are the first two in the betting.

Vandad 4/1 2nd -1pt
Newyorkstateofmind 6/4 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Cobra Eye +1pt

Total on the day -1pt