3:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (19th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.20 

A class 4 race with 8 runners so I hope they all run so there's 3 places up for grabs with an each way bet, Rebel Redemption is capable of recording a good speed figure but usually in lower class races but it one of 3 known front runners so it should be a true run race and Recon Mission is another pace setter but its best time was recorded on the Polytrack surface, the top weight NATIONWIDE 4/5 looks the likely winner but I expect it will be a very short priced favourite. 

Nationwide 4/5 1st +0.8pts

Total 0.8pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50 Div I

In this race I would look to lay *Glamorous Force, Q Twenty Boy and Jumira Bridge if they are single figure prices as this distance might be too far for them with a good early gallop and I think Exchequer and or Freedom Flyer will set the pace to this race and the latter comes out in 3rd top spot using its best rating from 2021 and its best this year is only 5lbs below its best, The Nail Gunner has the plum stall 1 draw and usually likes to track the leaders so should be able to get a good early position on the rails just behind the leader/s and might be worth an each way interest, my money will be riding on RED ALERT 10/1 (EW) and at the price has to be an each way wager. 

*NR 

Red Alert 14/1 8th -2pts

Lay bets QTwenty Boy +1pt, Jumaira Bridge +1pt 

Total 0pts  

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.25 Div II 

This 2nd division only has Another Angel marked down as a front running type so could go well from the front especially if allowed a soft lead as its my 3rd top rated but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but might be able to make the frame in this race, Starter For Ten and Bomb Squad both race as though further would suit them better and this race might not be run to suit their racing style, my idea of the winner is MARTINEO 11/4 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Martineo 11/4 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 5.10 

There's not a lot I can say about this 6 runner class 5 dash, Mehmo may need further as might Storm Melody and could be worth laying but I am hoping that the only known front running type in the race, LETHAL BLAST 4/1, can get to the front and a reproduction of its best rating at Windsor last year would see it winning this race a shade cosily.

Lethal Blast 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1.2pts

2:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (28th August)

NEWMARKET 2.45 

A 10 runner Listed class race with a couple of front runners, the top weight Summerghand is dropped in class from its recent races and if reproducing its best time from 2020 here over the Rowley course it could win but its been way below that standard time wise so far this year and not worth risking, Adaay To Remember won last time out in a lower class race and might be a progressive type but this is a big jump in class but being a front running type it could go well but not one I would like to rely on, I will be on the side of TABDEED 2/1 who is another dropped in class and comes out as my top rated using its time from Newbury last time out when it finished 2nd and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here, I expect it will be the favourite but I don't mind backing shorter priced horse in races where the prize money is significant. 

Tabdeed 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.15 

This is a Listed class race with 4 known front runners amongst the field of 12 and both Tis Marvellous and Justanotherbottle could do well from the front as both are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay Dakota Gold 5/1 if its a single figure price as I think its better over longer distances but with the likely fast pace here it might play to its strengths but maybe too late for it to win this race, Wise Words my 3rd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish as will be TARBOOSH 14/1 (EW) who comes out top rated using a time from Musselburgh this year and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Tarboosh 14/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Dakota Gold +1pt

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.50 

A fairly big field of 15 runners with a couple of known pacesetters, until I've seen the betting I'm not sure if there's any worthwhile lays amongst them, Duke Of Firenze, Ventura Flame, Not On Your Nellie and Arnold have times that could make them competitive if at their best, I will be going with 2 wagers in this race firstly LATIN FIVE 11/2 who comes out top rated on just 2021 times and its good enough for 2nd top spot on overall figures and usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races but my top rated DARK SHOT 11/1 is the only natural looking front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-17 for the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence so I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Dark Shot 14/1 4th -1pt 

Latin Five 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 4.20 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but there is a couple of front running types so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Libertine Belle 5/1 who might need further to show its best, as for the winner I have to admit its a race where i will have to go with dutching 3 runners, LETHAL BLAST 7/2 is one of the 2 possible pacesetters and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its only 2lb below GLAMOROUS BREEZE 3/1 on just 2021 times but the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 6/1 has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated by 3lbs so its close between all 3 of them for various reasons and I cannot split them 

Second Collections 6/1 1st +6pts 

Glamorous Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Lethal Blast 7/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Libertine Belle +1pt

Total +5pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

If this race had any known front running types it would be a cracking race but the lack of known early pace already means my stakes will be kept low, James Watt, Secretinthepark and Nibras Again are all rated within a 1lb of each other in 3rd to 5th top rated so could battle it out to make the frame, in 2nd top spot I've got Han Solo Berger but my top rated is the top weight SOUL SEEKER 8/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and I do like it when a horse comes out top rated carrying higher weight against lesser opponents. 

Soul Seeker 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 6.45 

With nearly half the field being either 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts this race is hard to analyse but I do think the connections of HAIL SEZER 6/1 have found their horse a good opportunity to follow up from the race it won last time out at Doncaster and recorded a fast time the race before at Carlisle when finishing 2nd which puts it at the top of my speed figures list but the trainers 0-4 for the last 2 weeks means my stakes will be kept low. 

Hail Sezer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 7.15 

I was going to leave this race alone with once again half the field being 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts but when I checked the time recorded by ABSOLUTE DREAM 4/1 when it won over this course and distance 2 runs ago I was surprised to see it was well above what I would normally expect from a class 6 race, its last race was over 7 furlongs so can be ignored and is quickly dropped back to its winning distance and should confirm the form of its course and distance win over Shes A Deva.

Absolute Dream 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

2:05 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (10th August)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.05 

A 10 runner class 6 race which to be honest is virtually impossible to analyse to a conclusion, half the field have been known to lead before and 3 of the front runners, Heer We Go Again 9/2, Cool Spirit 8/1 and Katherine Place 7/2, could prove hard to catch but if they do go off too quickly then Street Life 4/1, Raabeh 8/1 and Qaaraat 7/2 could be the ones to prosper, I could possibly go with doing reverse forecasts in this race with the 6 runners but I think the best way to make a profit from this race will be to lay Billy Dylan if its a single figure price who hasn't produced a speed figure over this course and distance who might need further to show its true worth and the trainers record here is 0-31 and the jockey is 0-10 for the stable. 

Lay bet: Billy Dylan +1pt (returned 10/1 but opened 9/1 so possible to lay) 

Total +1pt

LINGFIELD 8.05 

A decent looking class 4 race but only 6 runners again half the field have been known to lead, I don't expect Lorna Cole to win this race but it will be the outsider in the field, Buy Me Back and Charming Kid could be to the fore in the early stages but they might not be able to keep up with other possible pacesetter and *LETHAL BLAST 5/2 could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and is only 1lb off being my top rated but the jockeys 0-12 record for the stable doesn't inspire confidence and my top rated, VANDAD 5/2 has exactly the same 0-12 jockey stat, I will as usual stick with my speed figures and back them both to cover the angles. 

*NR 

Vandad 5/2 1st +2.5pts 

Total +2.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.50 

This is one of those low class claiming races which have become the norm lately I have found a couple of possible front running types in Oh So Nice 16/1 and Tarseek 6/1 but both are drawn high in stalls 10 and 13, they might be ok with their draws with the make-up of this race unless something changes its usual racing style which happens quite often at this class of racing, I can see 4 horses from off the pace that could go well here, At Your Service 11/1, La Roca Del Fuego 5/1, Perfect Symphony 5/2 and Vincenzo Coccotti 9/1 but I'm not sure it would be viable to dutch all 6 runners so maybe reverse forecasts is the way to go but in reality its probably a race best left alone, that decision is yours.

Total on the day +3.5pts 

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (29th April)

LINGFIELD 3.00 

Ten runners in this low class 6 race and there is 2 known front running types and one of them Big Time Maybe is just outside my top 4 ratings but could possibly do enough to make the frame as long as its not made to do too much by the other front runner and then fade, King Robert is 4th top and Lady Florence 3rd top rated and that's using times recorded this year so could battle to make the frame, LETHAL BLAST 10/1 is my 2nd top rated but it is the other known front runner in the race so could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead and it is only 1lb below SOMETHING LUCKY 7/1 who sits in top spot and being so close between the pair of them I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Lethal Blast 12/1 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 17.73)

Something Lucky 7/1 4th -1pt

Total +11pts

MUSSELBURGH 3.25 

In reality I should probably leave this race alone as I have only 1 horse with a recorded time and that is BOUDICA BAY 6/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and being at the top of the handicap is taking on inferior animals, the trainer has a 30% win ratio with any aged horse he sends here, it improves slightly to 32% when looking at the stables older, 4yo+, horses, I expect it will be in the 1st half of the betting and anything bigger than 5/1 would in my opinion make it worth taking the risk. 

Boudica Bay 6/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

Not the greatest race even for a class 6 affair with just one known front running type although that one is better over shorter but You're Cool could go well if allowed an easy lead but its last win over 6 furlongs was way back in 2015, only half of the 10 runners have a recorded speed figure on my graphs but none of those figures are very high so the race wont take much winning Al Asef and Red Alert my 5th and 4th top rated but their times at another course/surface and the latter from 2019, Suzis Connoisseur sits in 3rd top spot using a 2020 time but seems on a downward spiral due to its age, Sir Rodneyredblood is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time from this year, in top spot is SIR HECTOR 5/2 and to help its cause they have employed a 5lb claiming apprentice who was won twice from the five rides for this stable so I'm hoping that's an omen for today's race.

Sir Hector 10/3 5th -1pt

Total on the day +9pts