1:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.25 

Plenty of early paced types in this race and Savalas could go well from the front if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but it was well below that level in 2021, VICTORY ROSE 14/1 hasn't run over this c/d since 2020 but its best figure from that year would give it every chance here being my 2nd top rated horse so worth a small each way bet, my top rated is *STRONG POWER 9/4 who won on Monday where it won very cosily in a fast run race, that was a class 6 race and it is up to class 5 here but the way it won suggests it should take this upgrade in its stride but just as a precaution, as sometimes they don't run well next time out if raced too quickly after their victory, I will be backing both of them but my stakes will be kept low. 

*NR

Victory Rose 14/1 7th -1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 Div I

In this race I will be looking to lay both Blazing Hot 5/2 and Tomshalfbrother 11/2 who finished 2nd and 3rd last time out behind Sir Hector who I tipped up that day at 25/1 as they are both weighted to finish behind that same horse again here and I will be backing SIR HECTOR 9/2 again in this race as it is weighted to beat them again here but i do have a horse.

COUNTRY CHARM 14/1 rated 4lbs higher but that is using a Newcastle time but it has had one previous run over this c/d which resulted in it not recording a rating but it might be worth an each way punt at the price and I will be backing both of them to small stakes.

Sir Hector 11/2 5th -1pt 

Country Charm 14/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt, Tomshalfbrother +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.05 Div II 

This 2nd division is definitely the poor relation of this race, I expect Cometh The Man to set the pace to the race from the stall 1 draw and in such a poor race it could do enough to at least make the frame but is better over a shorter trip and if tackled for the lead might falter inside the final furlong, others that have bits of form but also with a negative are, Martineo who has been in poor form lately and may need this run for fitness plus a 0-26 jockey stat, Pable Del Pueblo who isn't proven on this surface and Iesha who has poor form over this c/d, one I will look to lay is Royal Heart 13/2 who didn't register on my figures when finishing 3rd over this c/d and its best speed figure from Lingfield isn't good enough to win this race, I will be having a small wager, and I mean a small wager, on ADMIRABLE LAD 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so might be worth an each way wager. 

Admirable Lady 25/1 9th -2pts

Lay bet Royal Heart +1pt

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 3.55

I am not a fan of these amateur riders races and i really should leave the race alone BUT I can see from my ratings that NIGEL NOTT 4/1 and SWISS PRIDE 6/1 are rated a good few spots higher than the rest of the runners and I will go with backing both of them, if Lord P 10/3 is the favourite as predicted by the early tissue prices then I would look to lay it as its c/d win was in a relatively slow run race and it also may need this run for fitness after a 118 day break from racing.

Swiss Pride 8/1 5th -1pt 

Nigel Nott 4/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Lord P +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

4:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10 

BOBBY ON THE BEAT hasn't any form at this distance on this surface and might need further to show its true form so could be a lay bet at 6/1.

BLAZING HOT a versatile type who can lead but maybe not over this distance and has a better rating over a shorter distance and might be worth taking on at 5/2.

CLOSING BELL this 3yo has poor recent form but has faded over 7 furlongs so this drop in distance might suit it.

DARING GUEST it would need to improve on its best rating which was recorded back in 2019 so may be worth laying with a small stake at 8/1. 

TOMSHALFBROTHER has a rating from last year which would make it my second top rated but has been a bit below that level this year. 

YOU'RE COOL a possible front runner in stall 3 but has only slow times this year and its best from 2020 would make it my 3rd top rated so maybe a small each way punt at 25/1.

BARRINGTON another possible front runner in stall 4, it hasn't any c/d form and only a poor rating from Newcastle so maybe this surface doesn't suit it so maybe worth a small lay at 8/1.

SIR HECTOR is top rated using a time recorded in January this year and its hasn't run over this c/d since then and has been known to bounce back to form without prior warning.

DAYSAQ time wise this one would need to improve as its only 5th best on my figures and this might not be its favoured surface. 

FROSTED ANGEL a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won and it looks poor value at 15/2.

WON LOVE a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won MR PC a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won.

COMETH THE MAN a 3yo who has only shown relatively poor recent form and it would be a shock if this one won.

SUMMARY: There should be a decent early pace but I am hoping a front running type wont be able to stay in front the whole way and it doesn't look like a race to be betting too heavily in but i will be hoping that SIR HECTOR 20/1 (EW) can spring a surprise, it is my top rated and has been known to get back to winning ways without warning, its had 13 runs since its last run here all on the Polytrack surface so I'm hoping the switch back to the Tapeta surface will see it spring back to form and will hopefully be worth an each way punt. 

Sir Hector 25/1 1st +31.25pts

Lay bet Bobby On The Beat +1pt

Total +32.25pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.40 

ALEEF would need to improve time wise and races as though further might see it in a better light but it think will be an outsider. 

SMOKEY comes out joint 3rd top rated using a time it recorded this year and might be worth an each way interest. 

TOPLIGHT is a 3yo that won last time out and has been found a good opportunity as it is my 2nd top rated using its most recent race. 

TRUSTY RUSTY its best time doesn't see it it my top four ratings and can be held up or track the leaders but might not catch the pacesetters so maybe worth laying at 5/1. 

JUMIRA BRIDGE is my top rated using a rating it recorded earlier this year but hasn't been in great form in its recent runs.

PORFIN is in very good form winning its last 2 races but it might be a better horse over six furlongs and could get outpaced at this distance so maybe worth a lay at 4/1. 

Q TWENTY BOY looks a horse that needs a longer distance to show its best form and time wise would need to improve and maybe worth laying at 9/2. 

BARE GRILLS one of two known front runners in this race and it comes out joint 3rd top on my ratings so might be hard to peg back for most of these. 

MAY THE SIXTH is the second known front running type but it isn't in my top four ratings but I expect it will be an outsider.

NAGASAKI DREAM is a 3yo who is held by Toplight and it might be a better prospect over further and might be worth taking on here if a single figure price.

AMAZING AMAYA has only slow ratings over this distance both here and at Newcastle so maybe its not its favourite surface. 

SUMMARY: I'm hoping that Bare Grills will set the pace to this race and could do enough to make the frame but I will be backing two runners,TOPLIGHT 5/1 a 3yo who won last time out and could follow up here and would have been my sole bet but I do have *JUMIRA BRIDGE 20/1 rated 3lbs higher, it hasn't been in good form lately but is one that can bounce back to form without warning so I cannot let it run without a bet at a big price.

Lay bets must be priced 9/1 and less sp

*NR

Top Flight 8/1 2nd -1pt

Lay bets Trusty Rusty +1pt, Porfin +1pt, Q Twenty Boy +1pt 

Total on the day +34.25pts

3:05 Salisbury Racing Tips (2nd September)

SALISBURY 3.05 

A field of 7 take part in this class 2 race but more importantly is that I have no idea what will set the early pace, there are four 3yo’s in this race which could still improve with time and experience, I will look to lay Crazy Luck who doesn't seem to appreciate good to firm ground so hence its times have been comparatively slow, while Chocoya is still a maiden after 9 races and may also need further, the top weighted Mountain Brave is my 3rd top rated who could go well but as there's only 2 places up for grabs it wont really be an each way prospect, the bottom weighted Silent Flame is my 2nd top rated and could deploy any tactics but hasn't been known to lead but has 3 win and 2 placed efforts from just 6 AW runs, if QUICKSTEP LADY 4/1 can reproduce the time it recorded at Windsor when it won there it could win this race with a bit in hand plus the jockey has a 19% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Quickstep Lady 4/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 8.05 

I can see horses in this race that have been known to lead before but this race is very competitive time wise and its a race where I will have to dutch 4 horses, 2 that might lead and 2 that will stay on strongly at the finish, the betting will decide if there is any lays in this race but I doubt there will be more than one, MOHAREB 15/2 and PAPA STOUR 12/1 are the 2 that could try to set the pace, the former is top rated on just 2021 course and distance times which is only good enough for joint 3rd top rated on my overall figures while the latter has a time from Chelmsford this year that would make it my top rated but that is on a different surface but its only course and distance run resulted in a time too low to register on my figures so I'm not quite sure what to expect, YAZAMANN 16/1 has good trainer/jockey stats and its best time was recorded in 2020 which makes it the other joint 3rd top rated while its not ran on this surface this year so could go well, STRIKE RED 4/1 comes out 2nd best on my overall figures but this time I'm using a time it recorded on turf at Hamilton, I cannot narrow it down to anything less than the four horses mentioned so dutching all of them looks the safest option. 

Strike Red 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Papa Stour 20/1 2nd -1pt 

Mohareb 9/1 7th -1pt 

Yazamann 33/1 10th -1pt 

Total +1.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.55

Only 6 runners with the top 2 in the handicap being known as front running types and they come out 4th and 3rd top rated on my figures so it should be a good gallop from the off, I think the 3yo Shanghai Rock may need further to show its best while another 3yo Ocean Eyes is held by the 3rd 3yo in the race, Lucky Ava, my 4th top rated, the bottom weight Storm Melody comes out 2nd best and could run on well at the finish along with my top rated SIR HECTOR 7/1 who is usually held up at the back but it hasn't any surface form over this distance this year but its best time from last year would see it winning this race.

Sir Hector 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day +0.5pts

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (29th April)

LINGFIELD 3.00 

Ten runners in this low class 6 race and there is 2 known front running types and one of them Big Time Maybe is just outside my top 4 ratings but could possibly do enough to make the frame as long as its not made to do too much by the other front runner and then fade, King Robert is 4th top and Lady Florence 3rd top rated and that's using times recorded this year so could battle to make the frame, LETHAL BLAST 10/1 is my 2nd top rated but it is the other known front runner in the race so could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead and it is only 1lb below SOMETHING LUCKY 7/1 who sits in top spot and being so close between the pair of them I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Lethal Blast 12/1 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 17.73)

Something Lucky 7/1 4th -1pt

Total +11pts

MUSSELBURGH 3.25 

In reality I should probably leave this race alone as I have only 1 horse with a recorded time and that is BOUDICA BAY 6/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and being at the top of the handicap is taking on inferior animals, the trainer has a 30% win ratio with any aged horse he sends here, it improves slightly to 32% when looking at the stables older, 4yo+, horses, I expect it will be in the 1st half of the betting and anything bigger than 5/1 would in my opinion make it worth taking the risk. 

Boudica Bay 6/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

Not the greatest race even for a class 6 affair with just one known front running type although that one is better over shorter but You're Cool could go well if allowed an easy lead but its last win over 6 furlongs was way back in 2015, only half of the 10 runners have a recorded speed figure on my graphs but none of those figures are very high so the race wont take much winning Al Asef and Red Alert my 5th and 4th top rated but their times at another course/surface and the latter from 2019, Suzis Connoisseur sits in 3rd top spot using a 2020 time but seems on a downward spiral due to its age, Sir Rodneyredblood is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time from this year, in top spot is SIR HECTOR 5/2 and to help its cause they have employed a 5lb claiming apprentice who was won twice from the five rides for this stable so I'm hoping that's an omen for today's race.

Sir Hector 10/3 5th -1pt

Total on the day +9pts

1:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (25th January)

CHELMSFORD 1.10 

Not the greatest of races with 2 known front running types among them, Kupa River is my 3rd top rated and one of the possible pacesetters so could make the frame, SIR HECTOR 8/1 is my 2nd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and I will be backing this one just in case the leaders fade in they battle all the way for the lead but maybe more as a covering bet, I hope that BARRINGTON 5/1 from stall 2 can gain control of the rails and could feasibly lead all the way for the victory that is if it can reproduce its best Lingfield time at this course but hasn't ran over this c/d before so its not guaranteed hence why I will be going with 2 bets in this race. 

Sir Hector 8/1 2nd (-1pt)

Barrington 5/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

KEMPTON 4.45 Div I 

This isn't the greatest of races either with only 5 of them recording a rating on my speed figures. At least there is a couple of front running sorts and I this race could well be won from the front. Aces would be 2nd top rated overall using its best time from Wolverhampton this year but I have a feeling this surface won't suit it as well and its sole run here resulted in a slow time so maybe worth laying at the price. Fard who comes out 4th best also may prefer a different surface to show its best form. Poeta Brasileiro has a time from Chelmsford that makes it my top rated overall but the time when it won over this c/d was in a slow run race and if allowed an easy uncontested lead then it could do so again but that win was from 2018 but I don't think it will be getting an easy lead with Kingsley Klarion 7/2 in the race and this one looked the safest option in the race as the jockey has a decent 17% in rate on this stables older horses but its time last time out when finishing 2nd plus I had to go back to 2018 for its best time and after seeing the betting I will be taking a watching brief in this race. 

KEMPTON 5.15 Div II

This 2nd division does look a bit better but still not great but I have found a nugget that I hope isn't fools gold, the biggest problem is the lack of early pace but I suspect something will set a decent gallop.Jeffrey Harris hasn't any course form but its time from Newcastle makes it my 4th best overall. Secret Potion is usually held up for a late run and comes out 3rd top on a c/d time but it was from 2019. Comeatchoo is well handicapped at the moment but I'm not sure this race will be an ideal opportunity as it can sometimes struggle to stay the distance but if they set a slow early pace it could go well but I will be trusting URBAN HIGHWAY 18/1 (EW) with my money it can be held up or track the leaders and the 5lb claiming apprentice has a 20% win ratio on this stables older horses and looks worth the punt at the price and I would suggest a small each way wager.1:10 

Urban Highway 25/1 EW 5th (-2pts) 

Total - 2pts

Total on the day: -4pts

1:29 Chelmsford Racing Tips (9th January)

CHELMSFORD 1.29 

Only 6 runners but there is 2, Merhoob and Spirit Of May, known front runners in the field Merhood has the higher speed figure for 2020 but Spirit Of May has the higher rating overall and that figure is good enough for 2nd top spot so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but my money will be riding on my top rated EXCELLENT GEORGE 9/2 who can be held up or track the leaders and in this small filed should be able to get a good position from which to attack nearing the finish. 

Excellent George 5/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

CHELMSFORD 2.04 

Again only 6 runners and it is fairly close between my top 4 rated beasts, the pace could be set by Bernie's Boy but wont be allowed to dictate in this field and would need to improve time wise to win if others ran to their best, Storm Melody and Album are my joint 3rd top rated and the latter won last time out so is in good form, Daysaq sits in 2nd top spot but is a hold up type so this race might not be run to suit its style and the jockeys 0-11 record for the stable is off-putting, so i will be backing SIR HECTOR 4/1 who is my top rated and this course will suit it better than last time at Wolverhampton when 3rd behind Album, but there is only 3lbs between my top four so my stake will be kept on the low side. 

Sir Hector 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 3.25 

This isn't a race to be betting too heavily in, I will look to lay (Zulu Zander 13/2) as long as it stays at a single figure price, Flowers Of Venus could be the pacesetter but maybe not good enough to hold on for the win and I think this run might be for fitness after being off for awhile, Kindly 10/1 has a time from 2016 that would make it my 3rd top rated and hasn't had many recent c/d runs so it could possible make the frame if repeating its best and it is an each way price, COME ON GIRL 4/1 won last time out and is my top rated on just recent (2020+2021) c/d times and the horse is two wins from 2 runs over this c/d but is only 3rd best overall, MAMILLIUS 9/2 comes out 2nd best on overall figures and that is using a 2019 c/d time but had only one run over this c/d in 2020, top spot goes to INVINCIBLE LARNE 3/1 but this ones time came from Chelmsford and hasn't run over this c/d before, i will look to dutch the three of them, they are the first 3 in the betting but hey ho you can still make a profit by dutching. 

Mamillius 9/2 1st (+4.5pts)  + f/c 14.80 + t/c 57.60 (Betfair SP 4.2)

Invincible Larne 3/1 2nd (-1pt)

Come On Girl 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Zulu Zander +1pt

Total: +3.5pts 

CHELMSFORD 4.45 

I was going to leave this race alone as there is quite a few lightly raced sorts, the trainer Chelsea Banham has three entries in the race, At Your Service won last time out at Wolverhampton in a decent time but its c/d times have been 10lb below that mark, Kits Allanah is only a 4yo but hasn't shown much so far but the 3rd runner INDEPENDENCE DAY 8/1 who is usually held up for a late run has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated and if repeating that time it would win a shade cosily, so I'm hoping the betting goes in favour of the stables other runner and I get a decent price to hopefully have an each way wager.

Independence Day 8/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

Total on the day: -0.5pts

3:20 Southwell Racing Tips (20th December)

SOUTHWELL 3.20 

A tricky looking class 3 affair and I've got 3 all on the same mark at the top of my list. 

Samovar is one of those 3 but strictly on form the topweight Tawny Port holds it and I'm not sure he is quite up to this class. 

Moonraker who could attempt to set the pace along with Crosse Fire. They could prove hard to catch if getting to the front but haven't been in good form of late. 

I have no option other than to back the 3yo HAREEM QUEEN 2/1 has won its last 2 races for Karl Burke and has been found a good opportunity to complete the hattrick. 

Hareem Queen 9/4 2nd 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

On paper, this looks a cracker of a class 2 race and I have only found one horse that I give virtually no chance 0f winning but with 7 of the 9 runners having been known to lead before there could well be some early scrimmaging for position especially the 4 drawn in the stalls nearest the rail all wanting to set the pace, I just have a feeling they might cut each other's throats and set the race up for something coming from off the pace so my pennies will be riding on THE DALEY EXPRESS 14/1 hoping it can get a clear run in the home straight and it does have a jockey with an 18% win rate for the stable and at the price I have to back it each way. 

The Daley Express 18/1 7th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

Down to class 6 here and its no easier to analyse with just 2 that I’ve discarded from the off, I've got SIR HECTOR 9/2 as my 4th top-rated overall but its 2nd top-rated on 2019 c/d times and being a frontrunner and could lead here, it's only 1lb below AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 50/1 but this one hasn't won in 6 previous AW runs, EDGED OUT 33/1 is joint top-rated overall but this ones time was recorded at Lingfield and has only had one slow run race over this c/d which is a light negative, the other joint top rated is RANGEFIELD EXPRESS 10/1 but this ones time was recorded on this surface but at Newcastle, I will go with dutching all 4 runners mentioned to small each-way stakes hoping I have found the winner and also get another placed

Sir Hector 9/2 2nd 
Rangefield Express 20/1 5th
Edged Out 66/1 6th 
Autumn Splendour 50/1 7th  

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