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Wednesday, 2 June 2021

2:45 Hamilton Racing Tips (3rd June)

HAMILTON 2.45 

With 11 runners and a couple that have been known to lead before it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Illusionist 5/1 if a single figure price as it might be too far for it with a fast early pace, it is quite competitive at the top of my figures and Call Me Ginger, Embour and Manigordo could all go well in this race but I think the trainer Tim Easterby could hold the key to this race as both of his horses are two known to show the early pace, he jockey onEquiano Springs is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics but DANZAN 4/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated and the apprentice has a good 24% win ratio for the stable and I'm hoping it can get away quickly and lead from start to finish. 

Danzan 4/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 4.30

If the going is good to firm then I will look to lay Ey Up Its Mick 4/1 who seems to prefer good or softer ground, Hart Stopper is 4th on my figures and should run its usual consistent race and could make the frame if others falter, Picks Pinta is 3rd best but hasn't shown much time wise since 2019, MR WAGYU 7/2 is my 2nd top rated but is the only known front runner in the race so could be more than dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I do have NUBOUGH 5/1 rated higher and this one usually runs on strongly at the finish and I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Mr Wagyu 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair sp - )
Nubough 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total +2.5pts

HAMILTON 5.05 

With 6 runners its still not an easy race to analyse, Major Pusey may need this run for fitness and I think it might go from the front and then tire in the closing stages, Latin Five may need further to show its best and has only won once from 17 races, there is very little between Lady Celia, Buniann and Ventura Flame and any or all could go well but top rated is BALLYARE 5/1 but this one hasn't won in 9 previous attempts and only placed once plus it has poor, 0-5 Trainer and 0-7 jockey stats so maybe this race is best left alone and I will only bet if there is any value, 6/1 or above. 

Ballyare 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.45 

A field of 13 with 3, Good Night Mr Tom, Quick Look and Kolossus, known front running types, I'm not sure the first 2 really like good to firm ground so maybe the latter will do best of the pacesetters and it does come out joint 4th top rated so could go well with an easy lead, Ice Age is top using a time from 2019 but isn't in my top 6 on recent 2020/21 times and has poor trainer/jockey stats, Highjacked has been in good form lately and I expect it could go well again here but it is a step up in class and I doubt it will be of value to take the risk, Mutanaaseq could be staying on at the finish but maybe not quick enough to get there in time to win the race, I will be having a small wager on DICK DATCHERY 10/1 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run, it is a competitive race and my stakes will be kept low. 

Dick Datchery 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

Only 5 runners for this class 3 race, I'm not sure Araifjan is quite up to this class of race, Top Breeze hasn't really shown much time wise since 2018, top weight Ivetheengine also needs to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with POWER OVER ME 11/4 who is one of 2 known front runners in the race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and I expect it to be the favourite but if CORINTHIA KNIGHT 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Kempton at this course it could possibly catch the leader and looks the value call in the race but I will do them both to cover the angles.

Corinthia Knight 17/2 3rd -1pt 
Power Over Me 11/4 4th -1pt

Total on the day -2.5pts

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