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Showing posts with label Corinthia Knight. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Corinthia Knight. Show all posts

Sunday, 21 November 2021

5:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (22nd November)

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

Only 5 runners but an intriguing race, Shallow Hal has been in poor form lately and I expect it will be the outsider in this race, The Last Lion a hold up type and Above who likes to track the leaders both need to improve time wise to win this race, REGIONAL 11/8 I expect will be the favourite and as it is the one I expect to set the pace to the race this 3yo could be hard to catch and wouldn't need to improve much on its best turf speed figure on its debut here on an artificial surface to hold CORINTHIA KNIGHT 7/1 at bay in the latter stages but I do have the latter horse rated a few spots higher on my speed figures, it likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and this race could be run to suit it but I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Regional 6/4 2nd -1pt 
Corinthia Knight 16/1 5th

Total -2pts  

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A full house of 14 for this race with three horses that are known as front running sorts which means I can look to lay Shalaa Asker 11/2 who I think is better over a shorter distance, Stay Smart in stall 2 could be the one to gain control of the rails and it is my 3rd top rated but it hasn't been in the best of form lately but being a 3yo it could go well especially if getting a quick exit from the stalls, my top rated is Garth Rockett 16/1 recording its best time in 2020 but this one hasn't shown anything since February this year and that time is well below its best from the previous year, to make me think this race will see it back to winning ways and the bookies seem to agree, so my money will be riding on another 3yo in the shape of BIG BARD 2/1 who has won its last two races and has been found a very good opportunity to complete the hat trick despite being stuck out in stall 13 as it might be able to follow another front running type Secret Glow from stall 14 across towards the rails and then gain a good position from which to attack in the closing stages of the race. 

Big Bard 2/1 6th -1pt

Lay bet: Shalaa Asker +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

A field of 12 for this class 6 race and at first glance its a bit of a strange race to analyse and any stakes have to be kept low, Shanghai Rocks 13/2 might need further to show its best but as its a 3yo I’m not sure whether I can lay it or not but it might be worth the risk if the price is right but I think its current price is a little bit too high to be of value for the lay while anything under 5/1 I might have taken the risk, the same can apply to Lethal Angel 15/2, my top two ratings are both horses that like to set the pace to races, MOVEONUP 14/1 (EW) is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time it recorded when winning over this course and distance in 2020 but this one has been in poor form lately but if it springs back to form it could go well and I expect the apprentice jockeys instructions will simply be to try to get to the front, I would probably have only backed TILSWORTH ROSE 20/1 (EW) in this race if it wasn't for the poor 0-8 jockey stats and the trainers poorish 6% win ratio at this course but this one won four races ago and could be the one to gain control of the rails which are important on the bends, I will back them both but maybe with my stakes tilted in the favour of the latter and my top rated horse, at the prices I will be having a couple of small each way punts.

Moveonup 16/1 8th 2pt 
Tilsworth Rose 33/1 9th -2pts

Total -4pts

Total on the day -4pts

Thursday, 28 October 2021

7:30 Kempton Racing Tips (29th October)

KEMPTON 7.30 

On paper a really nice looking class two eight runner sprint but its a bloody hard race to analyse, there is three known front running types in the race so there should be a fast early pace but one of them Enduring may not be fast enough to get in front in this race as I have Fivethousandtoone 11/2 as my joint 2nd top rated but that is using a time recorded on the turf at Newbury so I'm not sure what to expect here but it is a 3yo so could be improving and it does have good trainer/jockey stats, I will be looking to lay Mishal Star 7/1 if its a single figure price as it was a slow run affairs when it won and finished 3rd over this course and distance and may have been flattered but it is a 3yo and another that could improve but hopefully not here, Gellhorn hasn't any form on English AW tracks and only ran once on it in Ireland but its best time on turf at Newmarket would make it my top rated but you would be backing it a little hopefully so i will go with the other joint 2nd top rated who is CORINTHIA KNIGHT 6/1 who did record its best time on this surface at Chelmsford and its best time over this course and distance was the top rating just for this course and distance and this one also has good trainer/jockey stats and I am hoping it can lead all the way and looks the value call in the race. 

Corinthia Knight 18/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

KEMPTON 8.00 

This race looks poor even for a class 6 affair and any stakes will be kept to a minimum and to be honest I very nearly left the race alone, I know Seeking Perfection is a front running type so there should be a decent early pace which will help the chances of the one I will be backing who seems to like a fast pace to aim at and that is BARRINGTON 9/1 (EW) who finished 3rd five runs ago over this distance at Lingfield in a class 5 race so this is a step down in class and it also has a time over this course and distance from 2020 which is also very competitive for this class of race, its last four runs have either been on turf or over a longer distance so they can be ignored and the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim will help its cause, the trainer is in good form winning 8 races from 39 runners in the last 2 weeks but its record of this horse is no wins but six placed efforts from its 22 runs on an artificial surface which doesn't inspire confidence but it could be a decent each way punt and it has won twice on turf so its not that the horse isn't genuine and maybe today it will break its AW duck.

Barrington 10/1 2nd +1.5pts

Total on the day +0.5pts

Wednesday, 2 June 2021

2:45 Hamilton Racing Tips (3rd June)

HAMILTON 2.45 

With 11 runners and a couple that have been known to lead before it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Illusionist 5/1 if a single figure price as it might be too far for it with a fast early pace, it is quite competitive at the top of my figures and Call Me Ginger, Embour and Manigordo could all go well in this race but I think the trainer Tim Easterby could hold the key to this race as both of his horses are two known to show the early pace, he jockey onEquiano Springs is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics but DANZAN 4/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated and the apprentice has a good 24% win ratio for the stable and I'm hoping it can get away quickly and lead from start to finish. 

Danzan 4/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 4.30

If the going is good to firm then I will look to lay Ey Up Its Mick 4/1 who seems to prefer good or softer ground, Hart Stopper is 4th on my figures and should run its usual consistent race and could make the frame if others falter, Picks Pinta is 3rd best but hasn't shown much time wise since 2019, MR WAGYU 7/2 is my 2nd top rated but is the only known front runner in the race so could be more than dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I do have NUBOUGH 5/1 rated higher and this one usually runs on strongly at the finish and I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Mr Wagyu 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair sp - )
Nubough 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total +2.5pts

HAMILTON 5.05 

With 6 runners its still not an easy race to analyse, Major Pusey may need this run for fitness and I think it might go from the front and then tire in the closing stages, Latin Five may need further to show its best and has only won once from 17 races, there is very little between Lady Celia, Buniann and Ventura Flame and any or all could go well but top rated is BALLYARE 5/1 but this one hasn't won in 9 previous attempts and only placed once plus it has poor, 0-5 Trainer and 0-7 jockey stats so maybe this race is best left alone and I will only bet if there is any value, 6/1 or above. 

Ballyare 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.45 

A field of 13 with 3, Good Night Mr Tom, Quick Look and Kolossus, known front running types, I'm not sure the first 2 really like good to firm ground so maybe the latter will do best of the pacesetters and it does come out joint 4th top rated so could go well with an easy lead, Ice Age is top using a time from 2019 but isn't in my top 6 on recent 2020/21 times and has poor trainer/jockey stats, Highjacked has been in good form lately and I expect it could go well again here but it is a step up in class and I doubt it will be of value to take the risk, Mutanaaseq could be staying on at the finish but maybe not quick enough to get there in time to win the race, I will be having a small wager on DICK DATCHERY 10/1 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run, it is a competitive race and my stakes will be kept low. 

Dick Datchery 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

Only 5 runners for this class 3 race, I'm not sure Araifjan is quite up to this class of race, Top Breeze hasn't really shown much time wise since 2018, top weight Ivetheengine also needs to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with POWER OVER ME 11/4 who is one of 2 known front runners in the race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and I expect it to be the favourite but if CORINTHIA KNIGHT 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Kempton at this course it could possibly catch the leader and looks the value call in the race but I will do them both to cover the angles.

Corinthia Knight 17/2 3rd -1pt 
Power Over Me 11/4 4th -1pt

Total on the day -2.5pts

Wednesday, 11 March 2020

7:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (12th March)


CHELMSFORD 7.30 

Only 5 runners and I can only find (Lord Riddiford) to lay, the bottom weight Airshow should be another lay as this trip might be too short on this surface and timewise it needs to improve, that leaves 3 others and I will look to dutch them all as I cannot split them, CORINTHIA KNIGHT 5/1 is a possible frontrunner and if getting to the front it could prove dangerous and its best time from 2018 would make it 2nd top-rated overall, VERNE CASTLE 10/3 is only rated 1lb higher than RESTLESS ROSE 6/4 on just 2019/20 c/d times but the former has an even better time from 2018 that would make it top-rated overall, all 3 have good jockey stats while Restless Rose has the best trainer stats.

Restless Road 13/8 2nd 
Corinthia Knight 6/1 3rd 
Verne Castle 9/2 4th 

Lay bets: Lord Riddiford (-2.25pts)

Total -5.25pts  

CHELMSFORD 8.00

Its one of those days with another race where I will be dutching horses to hopefully make a profit, I will look to lay (Stopdworldnletmeoff) I could quite easily add Tilsworth Rose, Bernies Boy and Amazing Amaya to the lay list but 2 of them are not at the top of the handicap for no reason although I think both of them might prefer a longer trip while the other has a very interesting positive looking jockey booking, I will be dutching, KYLLUKEY 7/2, CUBAN SPIRIT 11/1, SUPERSEDED 9/2 and Awake In Asia 9/1, the latter 3 have all been known to lead before and could dominate the race while the first-named could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade entering the final furlong.

Kylluckey 14/1 1st 
Cuban Spirit 12/1 4th 
Superseded 9/2 9th 

Lay bets: Stopdworldnletmeoff  (+1pt) 

Total +13pts 

Total on day +7.75pts




Saturday, 22 February 2020

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd February)


LINGFIELD 2.05 

This is a Listed class race in name only because none of them have proven themselves outside of handicaps and this is annoying when looking at form because although a horse might have won a Listed race was it a genuine race for the class but then again something has got to win this race. To be honest, it's a hard race to analyse especially when I cannot discard any of them, the topweight Good Effort will probably be the favourite but I think its a better horse over further as its best time at this distance from Newcastle would make it a few pounds short of winning this race but it does have very good trainer/jockey stats but its not the only one, Furious comes out 3rd top but this ones best time came from Chelmsford which is the same surface, Royal Birth comes out 2nd best and it has been running ok lately and it could make the frame again, I am hoping all 8 run so there's 3 places up for grabs and if so I will take a punt with an each-way wager on CORINTHIA KNIGHT 14/1 who is one of those with good trainer/jockey stats. 

Corinthia Knight 14/1 6th

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

Down to 5 runners where I can find one (Six Strings) to lay, I expect the early pace will be set by either Boom The Groom or You're Cool or maybe both, the topweight Verne Castle is dropped in class compared to some of its recent races but I would have to go back to 2018 to find its best time which would make it my 2nd top-rated but it's not reached those heights last year or this year so far, Restless Rose has good trainer/jockey stats and it is my 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times, Boom The Groom is another where I have to go back to 2018 to find its best time and it would take it to top of my list but recent times only make it my 4th best, YOU'RE COOL 7/2 is top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and its 3rd place on its last run looks a pointer to it coming back to form and therefore has to be the one I back.

You're Cool 7/1 3rd

Lay bets: Six Strings (+1pt) 

Total 0pts

Total on Day -1pt

Tuesday, 26 November 2019

5:50 Wolverhampton: Free Horse Racing Tips for Wolverhampton Tomorrow (26th November)


WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50

A very nice looking class 2 race with 8 competitors and a couple fo front runners so it should be a true run affair, Leodis Dream has just 1 poor run over this c/d to its name, the 3 yo Rocket Action should be trying to stay on at the finish and could make the frame, Royal Birth has 1 run at this c/d to its name but it does have good trainer/jockey stats, Tanasoq may prefer a longer trip but could be dangerous if taking to this surface, Thegreatestshowman won last time out but I'm not sure its ready for this rise in class while both Kick On Kick On and Canford Bay might find themselves out of their depth in a class 2 race, my money will be riding on CORINTHIA KNIGHT 5/1 who is a frontrunning type and in the make-up of this race stall 7 isn't that bad of a draw and if getting to the front could prove very hard to catch.

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20 

This race is very muddled which isn't unusual for a class 6 affair, the 3yo OH SO NICE 13/2 has the top speed figure for 2019 over this c/d but it is just 3lbs above the lowest figures I work with, Edged Out has only got 2 AW runs to its name and they were both quite poor but neither were on this surface, JORVIK PRINCE 16/1 has a time from 2018 over this c/d that would make it my top-rated but the trainers 0-8 and jockeys 0-7 records are a little off-putting, if TWILIGHTING 3/1 who is another 3yo, or KATHERINE PLACE 5/1 take to this surface they could be dangerous but their best times are equal but both recorded at Kempton, I will hopefully be able to dutch the 4 horses mentioned but my stakes will be kept quite low as its a tricky race and at this low-level consistency isn't a keyword.