4:20 Redcar Racing Tips (27th July)

REDCAR 4.20 Div I

The first of two pretty poor class 6 handicap sprints over 6 furlongs and the first problem I notice is the lack of front running type of horses, there's 2 in the 2nd division a shame there wasn't one in each, Rainbow Rain 7/2 won over today's course and distance but it was a relatively slow run race so it might have been flattered by that result and I could be tempted to lay it in this race but if nothing sets a good early gallop it could go well again, Isle Of Dreams 5/1 could be a danger if staying today's distance as it was running on over 5 when winning last time out, when tried over 7 furlongs it faded around the 5 furlong mark so this race could be too far for it but i'm not 100% sure so not sure whether to lay it or not, there is only 5 horses that have registered before on my figures, Mr Trevor and Dirchill are my 5th and 4th top rated, the 3yo Hurt You Never comes out 3rd best on both 2022 ratings where it is only 1lb below my top 2 rated horses and on my overall figures so could improve and might be worth an each way wager, DICK DATCHERY 15/2 (EW) is my 2nd top rated on overall figures and joint top on just 2022 times and is usually held up at the rear before staying on at the finish and with a clear run could win if my top rated falters, CUPPACOCO 14/1 (EW) is joint top on 2022 figures but has a time from 2021 at Thirsk which would see it winning a shade cosily but it hasn't been in good form lately else it would have been my sole bet in this race 

Cuppacoco 14/1 2nd +1.8pts

Dick Datchery 15/2 8th -2pt 

Lay bet Rainbow Rain +1pt 

Total +0.8pts

REDCAR 4.55 Div II

This is definitely the better of the 2 divisions but there is only 6 runners with recorded speed figures, I haven't got a clue what will be favourite or if I can find anything of value to lay, there's 2 front running types in Annie Rose and Astapor and the latter is my 6th top rated so should ensure there's a decent early pace, Arnold is my 3rd top rated but the trainer is 2-49 overall and 1-16 with their older horses which doesn't inspire confidence, I have joint top rated horses in firstly Hurstwood 20/1 who hasn't been in good for recently plus the trainer is 0-12 at this course over the last 5 years, my second top rated horse is HARD SOLUTION 14/1 (EW) who also hasn't been in good form lately but has been known to spring back to form without warning and the trainer has a decent 16% win ratio at this course and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses which hopefully means that connections are expecting it to run well here and an each way wager could pay dividends.

Hard Solution 14/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -1.2pts

1:40 Thirsk Racing Tips (15th June)

THIRSK 1.40 

This isn't a great race for a class 4 affair but there is one known front runner in the shape of The Armed Man but this ones recent times have been slow and its best time looks to be where it got towed along in a fast run affair, with nothing that I can see to lay and not being able to narrow it down to anything less than dutching 4 of the runners, FLAVIUS TITUS 12/1 has a time from last year that would put it top on my figures but hasn't won a race since 2019 but might be worth an each way interest, MUTANAASEQ 10/3 is 2nd top rated but is held by DICK DATCHERY 4/1 on recent form but the former has a faster time from Ripon that makes it my 2nd top rated while the latter is only 4th top on my figures, the 4th selection I'm going to dutch is NORTH WIND 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats of my 4 top ratings. 

Mutanaaseq 10/3 2nd -1pt 

North Wind 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Dick Datchery 4/1 4th -1pt 

Flavius Titus 16/1 6th -1pt 

Total -4pts

ASCOT 3.40 

Superstar sprinter BATTAASH 9/4 makes it debut for the year and if fully wound up it should take this race but I am still not convinced this course is its favoured one but it has won here and in a fast time so it should be up to the task and I expect for a 16 runner race it will be a fairly short priced favourite, it is forecast on the tissue prices to be a 15/8 shot which if we knew it was 100% ready for this race would be a steal and it did win first time out last year so I will be backing it at the price and even better now that its drifted a little bit. 

Battaash 9/4 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.10 

There is 6 horses in this 12 runner race that have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race, I will look to lay Albegone 9/2 and Debawtry 13/2 if single figure prices who I think will both need a longer distance to show their worth, True Hero has a time when it got a good tow in a fast run affair from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but it hasn't won since 2018 but is a versatile sort when it comes to racing tactics, of the front runners maybe Sambucca Spirit might do best and looks to be drawn well in stall eleven, my pennies will be riding on BOUDICA BAY 9/2 who can track the leaders or be held up but stall 1 might not be helpful but if getting the rub of the green it has a chance to get back to winning ways. 

Boudica Bay 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 5.45 

Only 7 runners and I will be looking to lay both Mahale 7/2 and Top Boy 8/1 as neither seem to like fast good to firm ground and with 2 known front running types in the race they might get outpaced in the early stages and then not be able to get back into contention in this race, Big Time Maybe is one of the front running types and comes out 2nd best on my figures but the other front running type is THEGREYVTRAIN 11/2 who also happens to be my top rated and if this one does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch and has good 23% trainer stats and even better 38% jockey stats making me think the connections are expecting it to get back to the winners enclosure in this race. 

Thegreyvtrain 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 6.50 

A 5 runner race but again I have marked down 2 horses to lay as both Sir Oliver 15/8 and Shoot To Kill 7/2 can struggle to stay the sixth furlong in a fast run race and there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my 2 top rated horses, Doc Sportello is my 2nd top rated and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on the top weight KENDERGARDEN KOP 11/4 who has good trainer and jockey stats and I'm hoping it can lead all the way.

Kendergarden Kop 11/4 2nd -1pt

Total on the day -8pts

2:45 Hamilton Racing Tips (3rd June)

HAMILTON 2.45 

With 11 runners and a couple that have been known to lead before it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Illusionist 5/1 if a single figure price as it might be too far for it with a fast early pace, it is quite competitive at the top of my figures and Call Me Ginger, Embour and Manigordo could all go well in this race but I think the trainer Tim Easterby could hold the key to this race as both of his horses are two known to show the early pace, he jockey onEquiano Springs is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics but DANZAN 4/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated and the apprentice has a good 24% win ratio for the stable and I'm hoping it can get away quickly and lead from start to finish. 

Danzan 4/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 4.30

If the going is good to firm then I will look to lay Ey Up Its Mick 4/1 who seems to prefer good or softer ground, Hart Stopper is 4th on my figures and should run its usual consistent race and could make the frame if others falter, Picks Pinta is 3rd best but hasn't shown much time wise since 2019, MR WAGYU 7/2 is my 2nd top rated but is the only known front runner in the race so could be more than dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I do have NUBOUGH 5/1 rated higher and this one usually runs on strongly at the finish and I will have to back them both to cover the angles. 

Mr Wagyu 7/2 1st +3.5pts (Betfair sp - )

Nubough 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total +2.5pts

HAMILTON 5.05 

With 6 runners its still not an easy race to analyse, Major Pusey may need this run for fitness and I think it might go from the front and then tire in the closing stages, Latin Five may need further to show its best and has only won once from 17 races, there is very little between Lady Celia, Buniann and Ventura Flame and any or all could go well but top rated is BALLYARE 5/1 but this one hasn't won in 9 previous attempts and only placed once plus it has poor, 0-5 Trainer and 0-7 jockey stats so maybe this race is best left alone and I will only bet if there is any value, 6/1 or above. 

Ballyare 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.45 

A field of 13 with 3, Good Night Mr Tom, Quick Look and Kolossus, known front running types, I'm not sure the first 2 really like good to firm ground so maybe the latter will do best of the pacesetters and it does come out joint 4th top rated so could go well with an easy lead, Ice Age is top using a time from 2019 but isn't in my top 6 on recent 2020/21 times and has poor trainer/jockey stats, Highjacked has been in good form lately and I expect it could go well again here but it is a step up in class and I doubt it will be of value to take the risk, Mutanaaseq could be staying on at the finish but maybe not quick enough to get there in time to win the race, I will be having a small wager on DICK DATCHERY 10/1 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run, it is a competitive race and my stakes will be kept low. 

Dick Datchery 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

Only 5 runners for this class 3 race, I'm not sure Araifjan is quite up to this class of race, Top Breeze hasn't really shown much time wise since 2018, top weight Ivetheengine also needs to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with POWER OVER ME 11/4 who is one of 2 known front runners in the race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and I expect it to be the favourite but if CORINTHIA KNIGHT 11/2 can reproduce its best time from Kempton at this course it could possibly catch the leader and looks the value call in the race but I will do them both to cover the angles.

Corinthia Knight 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Power Over Me 11/4 4th -1pt

Total on the day -2.5pts

2:00 Brighton Racing Tips (27th April)

BRIGHTON 2.00 

Just 7 runners but Invincible Larne likes to set the pace so it should be an ok race as it is my 3rd top rated, this might be a bit short for Boom The Groom 9/1 to show its best on turf and hasn't won on grass since 2016 from 22 attempts, Shamshon seems to run well even when not winning but it has good trainer/jockey stats for this race but hasnt won on grass since 2019 from just 5 attempts, it finished a length behind ZULU ZANDER 7/2 on its last run and it is worse off at today's weights but if i go back to their 2020 times I've got just 1lb between them but once again it is in favour of the selection. 

Zulu Zander 7/2 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 3.00 

This is quite poor even for class 6 standard, i am not sure what will set the pace which is always a problem when it comes to analysing a race, there's few that are out of form on latest runs, Storm Melody hasn't shown much since 2019 timewise, thats when it last won on grass but its best from then would make it my 2nd top rated, Real Estate my 4th top rated recorded its best time last year but hasn't been in good form of late, my 3rd top rated is Holdenhurst who recorded its best last year at Yarmouth which is where my top rated LETHAL ANGEL 3/1 recorded its best time and a repeat of that speed figure would see it winning a shade cosily. 

Lethal Angel 4/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

BRIGHTON 3.35 

Only 5 runners but i still cannot narrow it down to any less than 2 selections, the lack of early pace doesn't help, I'm not sure what to expect from Lady Quickstep while Vape comes out in 4th top spot, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Street Parade, who is usually held up for a late run so this race isn't likely to be run to suit it, and RECALL THE SHOW 5/2 who did its best time over this c/d last time out which is always a positive plus the trainer does well at this course and that's the reason why I will be backing it, if THE LAMPLIGHTER 5/1 can reproduce its best time from 2020 it would be winning cosily but its time this year, admittedly from just one race, wasn't up to that level, i will be backing them both but probably with my stakes tilted in favour of the top weight. 

Recall The Show 10/3 1st +3.33pts

The Lamplighter 5/1 3rd -1pt

Total +2.33pts

AYR 5.35 

Another 5 runner race and again the lack of known early pace doesn't help to analyse the race, four of the runners like to track the leaders so I'm hoping that's enough to ensure there's a decent early gallop, Nubough and Gleniffer may prefer further so this race might not be run to suit them, Captain Jameson has a good time from 2019 but nothing as good last year and may need this run for fitness as it usually does, Pearl Of Qatar 2/1 will I expect run a decent race but looks to be poor value in my opinion, i will be backing DICK DATCHERY 5/2 who is the hold up horse in the race, it isn't much better in the betting but the outsider is only a 6/1 shot.

Dick Datchery 11/4 5th -1pt

Total on the day -0.67pts