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Thursday, 15 July 2021

3:10 Nottinham Racing Tips (16th July)

NOTTINGHAM 3.10 

Not the best of the races and any stakes will be kept low and I cannot find anything of value, (under 10/1) to lay, as for finding the winner I will be going with 3 each way wagers, CASE KEY 12/1 is my top rated and also one of 2 known front running types in the race but that is using a 2020 time and its 3 runs this year have been relatively poor, QUEEN OF BURGUNDY hasn't been in great form in recent runs but is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-9 for the last 2 weeks and the jockeys 0-4 record doesn't inspire confidence but could go well , GLENAMOY LAD is my 3rd top rated and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats but once again its not been in great form lately but has only ran once so far this year. 
Case Key 12/1 +12pts
Glenamoy Lad 16/1 3rd -1pt 
Queen Of Burgundy 9/4 4th -1pt 

Total +10pts

HAMILTON 6.55 

There's 8 runners in this race but no known pacesetters amongst them which always makes analysis much much harder, I cannot find anything of value to lay and having a win bet has more risks than usual but I will be taking a punt by backing VENTURA FLAME 7/2 who is my top rated but it is a hold up type so will need to be alert to the dangers as the front runners might not fade nearing the finish if there's a slow early pace but the jockey does have a decent 18% win ratio for the stable and the trainers has had a few winners in the last 2 weeks. 

Ventura Flame 9/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 7.30 

Half of the 12 runners in this race have been known to lead before but they will hopefully be setting the race up for a strong finisher, I won't be proposing any lays in this race as there is nothing of value to lay, Mr Wagyu 7/2 is the favourite but its wins have been in lower class races than todays and the handicapper may have caught up with it so I will look to lay it along with Music Society 9/1 as long as it remains in a single figure price, I will be putting my faith in RATHBONE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, it has good trainer stats and the 7lb claiming apprentice has a good 17% win ratio for the stable and that could tilt things in its favour.

Rathbone 6/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 8.20 

Only 6 runners for this class 3 race and no known front runners amongst them, Miss Jingles may need this run for fitness and maybe worth laying, its not a race to be betting in too heavily but I will be having a wager on LOVELY BREEZE 3/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockey stats and its best time was recorded this year over this course and distance. 

Lovely Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +8pts

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