7:00 Kempton Racing Tips (6th October)

KEMPTON 7.00 

A class 2 conditions race which looks very competitive on paper but the lack of a pacesetter muddies the water, I would normally look to lay Live In The Moment 7/1 as it can struggle to stay the distance if there's a good fast early pace so it might be ok in this race while the bottom weight Bahrain Pride might prefer a slower surface but is dropped in class to run here, Tabdeed and Soldiers Minute are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses but I will have a small wager on STYLISH PERFORMER 14/1 who is forecast to be the outsider in the field but it has won its last 2 races so is in cracking form and looks the value call in the race. 

Stylish Performer 14/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet: Live In The Moment +1pt 

Total 0pts

KEMPTON 8.00 Div I 

A pretty poor race even for a class 6 affair, the early pace could be set by Coolagh Magic 15/8 as its versatile with its racing tactics and has led before, I will look to lay Bama Lama 11/2 who has won its last 2 races both times on this surface but both were slow run affairs and I think it will be lower in the market than its actual chance of winning, the rest of those with a speed figure all have negatives against their names so I will be putting my pennies on RAINBOW MIRAGE 9/2 who is my top rated on just 2021 times and they are the most important unless something has a good reason why its not performed well lately and is then what could be called a dark horse, the race will not take much winning so again it will be low stakes. 

*NR

Rainbow Mirage 9/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 8.30 Div II

This division is even worse and only the two at the top of the handicap have times fast enough to register on my graphs, Moonshiner 4/1 could be a bit of a dark horse as it ran on over 5 furlongs but faded over this distance but I couldn't back or lay it but I will look to lay both Rubee Forty 7/1 and Mr Moneypenny 4/1 who are both still maidens after 10 and 7 races respectively, of the top two in the handicap I cannot split them and will be backing both ACES 6/1 and QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 4/1 the former has a time from Lingfield that makes it my top rated by quite a few spots but can struggle to stay the distance if the early pace is really fast but I cannot see what will lead so it could be ok in the make-up of this race, while the latter is my top rated on just 2021 times and the trainer has a good record at this course.

Queen Of Burguny 4/1 1st +4pts

Lay bets: Rubee Forty +1pt, Mr Moneypenny +1pt 

Total +6pts

Total on the day +5pts

1:50 Brighton Racing Tips (6th August)

1:50 BRIGHTON 

A strange race there's 9 runners but no known front running types but I have got negatives against the names of 6 of the runners and if knew for certain there would be a fast early pace I would look to lay, Red Alert, Ghepardo and Cappananty Con who all look better over shorter distances, the bottom weight The Lacemaker hasn't been in good form lately but does have a time from 2020 that would see it as my 2nd top rated but I would need to see some sign of a revival before putting any money on it plus the trainer is 0-9 at this course, GHERKIN 7/2 comes out top rated on just 2021 times and that time was recorded over this course and distance but my top rated is QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 6/1 and if able to repeat its best time from 2020 it would win with a bit in hand 

Queen Of Burgundy 6/1 5th -1pt 

Gherkin 7/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Cappananty Con +1pt, Red Alert +1pt, Ghepardo +1pt

Total +1pt

3:00 BRIGHTON 

A field of 12 with 2 known front runners amongst them, I'm not sure if I can trust a time recorded earlier this year over this c/d but if it wasn't a fluke time then the top 2 will have this race between them with a fair bit in hand, I will look to lay Tyger Bay if its a single figure price, SIR OLIVER 6/1 is my 3rd top rated and it was done over this course and distance sot has to be respected, TIN HAT 14/1 (EW) comes out 2nd top using a time from last year from Newmarket and could make the frame, BATCHELOR BOY 20/1 (EW) comes out my top rated again using a course and distance time but i will be backing all of my top 3 rated horses and each way bets where the price permits. 

Sir Oliver 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Batchelor Boy 25/1 7th -2pts 

Tin Hat 22/1 8th -2pts 

Total -5pts

3:45 MUSSELBURGH 

An 8 runner race with 3 pace setting types, I will look to lay Sunday Sovereign 6/1 who likes some cut in the ground to show its best, Ornate and Wrenthorpe will make sure there's a decent early pace and I've only got 2lbs between them on my ratings but they would have to improve time wise to win this race, Makanah, Embour and Mokaatil are my 4th to 2nd top rated using this years times so they could have each way chances but I will be backing JABBAROCKIE 6/1 who is the 3rd possible pacesetter and my top rated so if getting to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch. 

Jabbarockie 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sunday Sovereign +1pt

Total 0pts

BRIGHTON 5.10 

Twelve runners with just King Crimson known to like to lead but i doubt it can hold on for the win in this class 6 race, I will look to lay Breezyandbright 9/2 who might need further to show its best and has poor trainer/jockey stats with 3yo’s, Our Man In Havana, Wild Flower and Something Lucky have times that would make them competitive and could battle to make the frame but my money will be riding on AQUADABRA 22/1 (EW) who’s best time from 2021 makes it top rated for just this year and its 2020 time makes it top rated on overall figures and being drawn next door to the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger at the finish and at the price has to be an each way bet. 

Aquadabra 33/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bet Breezeyandbright -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts

7:38 NEWMARKET

Just 7 runners and no known front runner amongst them which is always a bugbear in my analysis, I would look to lay the 3 at the bottom of the handicap, Yimou 9/2, Green Power and Dewey Road, if they are single figure prices and I have a negative against each one of them, Dancinginthewoods is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but its only 4th top on overall figures, Soar Above and Abate haven't got recorded times for this year but come out joint 2nd top rated on my overall figures, BEYOND EQUAL 9/2 who comes out top rated on 2021 figures and its best time from 2020 makes it top rated on my overall figures.

Soft ground - no bet as advised 

Total on the day -11.5pts

NOTE: THE GOING HAS BEEN GIVEN AS GOOD AT THE THREE MEETINGS I AM INTERESTED IN BUT WITH HEAVY SHOWERS FORECAST PLEASE CHECK THE GOING BEFORE PLACING ANY BETS AND ANY SIGNS OF SOFT GROUND THEN IGNORE MY FIGURES AND ANALYSIS. 

3:10 Nottinham Racing Tips (16th July)

NOTTINGHAM 3.10 

Not the best of the races and any stakes will be kept low and I cannot find anything of value, (under 10/1) to lay, as for finding the winner I will be going with 3 each way wagers, CASE KEY 12/1 is my top rated and also one of 2 known front running types in the race but that is using a 2020 time and its 3 runs this year have been relatively poor, QUEEN OF BURGUNDY hasn't been in great form in recent runs but is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-9 for the last 2 weeks and the jockeys 0-4 record doesn't inspire confidence but could go well , GLENAMOY LAD is my 3rd top rated and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats but once again its not been in great form lately but has only ran once so far this year. 

Case Key 12/1 +12pts

Glenamoy Lad 16/1 3rd -1pt 

Queen Of Burgundy 9/4 4th -1pt 

Total +10pts

HAMILTON 6.55 

There's 8 runners in this race but no known pacesetters amongst them which always makes analysis much much harder, I cannot find anything of value to lay and having a win bet has more risks than usual but I will be taking a punt by backing VENTURA FLAME 7/2 who is my top rated but it is a hold up type so will need to be alert to the dangers as the front runners might not fade nearing the finish if there's a slow early pace but the jockey does have a decent 18% win ratio for the stable and the trainers has had a few winners in the last 2 weeks. 

Ventura Flame 9/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 7.30 

Half of the 12 runners in this race have been known to lead before but they will hopefully be setting the race up for a strong finisher, I won't be proposing any lays in this race as there is nothing of value to lay, Mr Wagyu 7/2 is the favourite but its wins have been in lower class races than todays and the handicapper may have caught up with it so I will look to lay it along with Music Society 9/1 as long as it remains in a single figure price, I will be putting my faith in RATHBONE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, it has good trainer stats and the 7lb claiming apprentice has a good 17% win ratio for the stable and that could tilt things in its favour.

Rathbone 6/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 8.20 

Only 6 runners for this class 3 race and no known front runners amongst them, Miss Jingles may need this run for fitness and maybe worth laying, its not a race to be betting in too heavily but I will be having a wager on LOVELY BREEZE 3/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockey stats and its best time was recorded this year over this course and distance. 

Lovely Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +8pts

3:00 Leicester Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th August)

LEICESTER 3.00

A race where there's four 3yo plus others that are lightly raced but according to the forecast tissue prices most are not fancied in the betting, I will look to lay 3 horses (Dreamboat Annie + Aghast + Wiff Waff) I've got Rinty Maginty as my 2nd top-rated on just 2020 times and 3rd top overall so it could go well, Dahik comes out 2nd top overall using its best time from 2019 at Redcar but this one could set the early pace and maybe enough to at least make the frame and I might even have a small covering bet on this one just in case it can lead all the way but it hasn't really shown much so far this year so my main bet will be HARRY'S RIDGE 9/2 who has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and 3rd the race before that so is in good form and has been found a good opportunity here to get back to winning ways. 

Harry's Ridge 9/2 3rd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Wiff Waff (-6.5pts) Betfair SP (10.54pts), Dreamboat Annie +1pt, Aghast +1pt

Total: -5.5pts

LEICESTER 3.30

For a class 5 affair this looks a decent race and to be honest, I cannot find anything to confidently lay which doesn't happen very often, Mr Wagyu looks the most likely pacesetter but is only 5th top-rated but could do better than that if allowed an easy lead, the 3yo Alben Spirit is 4th best with Commander Han in 2nd spot and they both like to track the leaders, another 3yo has caught my eye and ONE NIGHT STAND 11/2 actually comes out top rated using a time recorded over this c/d but it's not won a race in 8 attempts and the trainer is 0-6 here and the jockey 0-4 for this stable and this is enough to worry me and therefore I will also back QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 11/1 who is my 2nd top-rated and is dropped in class to run here. 

Queen Of Burgundy 11/1 4th (-1pt)
One Night Stand 11/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

CHESTER 6.30

A nice Listed race but I will admit this isn't a favourite course of mine and the draw can be the kiss of death if drawn high but the jockeys know this and if the rails are cut back in the home straight then they all have a chance if racing prominently, I would lay (Judicial) who might find the trip too far if there's a fast early pace which I do expect and I think it will be won from the front, some drawn nearer the rail might change their usual tactics and try to lead but hopefully they won't be fast enough to stop either, MAJOR JUMBO 7/2 from stall 6 and this one has a time from 2018 that would see it winning but hasn't been at that level in recent times but this will be its first run of the year over this distance on hopefully good to firm ground, or EMARAATY ANA 4/1 from stall 9 from leading and if getting to the front they could be hard to catch.

Major Jumbo 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Emaraaty Ana 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

Total on the day: -9.5pts