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Showing posts with label Economic Crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economic Crisis. Show all posts

Sunday, 27 June 2021

2:25 Pontefract Racing Tips (28th June)

PONTEFRACT 2.25 

A 13 runner class 5 race with a couple of known front runners and I think Breaking Records will be the pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame on its best time from 2020 being my joint 3rd top rated along with Round The Island who will be trying to stay on nearing the finish, I've got HURSTWOOD 6/1 as my 2nd top rated and to help its cause it being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who has 1-3 record for the stable so it might be a positive booking but I do have MR ORANGE 12/1 (EW) rated a few spots higher but this ones best time was recorded last year and so far this year it hasn't shown much but this one is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning and could be worth an each way punt. 

Mr Orange 12/1 5th -2pts 
Hurstwood 13/2 8th -1pt 

Total -3pts

LINGFIELD 3.15 

A 7 runner race with 3 known front running types and two of them Faustus and Lethal Blast are capable of winning this race from the front, I will look to lay Stake Acclaim who seems to prefer a bit of cut in the ground, Ehrmann hasn't any form on good to firm going so not sure what to expect from it, Red Alert has a time from 2018 that would make it my 2nd top rated but hasn't been in good form time wise since then, if pushed i will side with FAUSTUS 7/2 but it would only be for a small stake. 

Faustus 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Lay bet Stake Acclaim +1pt

Total +4.5pts

PONTEFRACT 3.55 

Only 6 runners but a hard race to analyse and not much to say about the race, AL SIMMO 9/4 and/or ARAMIS GREY 5/2 could set the pace to the race and the race might well be won from the front, the former is my top rated one a time from this year and is a more natural looking pacesetter while the latter is versatile with its racing tactics which does include leading. 

Al Simmo 9/4 1st +2.25pts
Aramis Grey 2nd -1pt 

Total +1.25pts

WINDSOR 7.00

I cannot find anything of value to lay in this race, the only known front runner is Zim Baby but it seems to prefer some cut in the ground, I wouldn't put anyone off backing any of, Atalantas Boy 12/1, Chairmanoftheboard 16/1, One Night Stand 9/2 or Dazzling Dan 13/2 who all have pieces of form that would put them in the mix and maybe an each way wager might pay dividends but i will be backing TINTO 7/1 who finished 2nd last time out and if able to reproduce its best from Newmarket last year then it could goon better in this race and this one has a positive looking good jockey booking. 

Tinto 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

MUSSELBURGH 7.45 

A hard race to analyse to a conclusion but I will look to lay Thrilla In Manila 15/8 favourite who did win last time out in a class 6 race but I am not convinced it will be able to reproduce it in this class 5 affair and it looks poor value at the price and another lay is Wades Magic 4/1 who doesn't seem to reproduce its best form on good to firm ground, as for the winner I will dutch 3 horses with each way bets, MAJOR PUSEY 12/1 who will one day manage to hold on when it leads, ECONOMIC CRISIS 16/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish and BLAZING HOT 16/1 another possible front runner so I hope one of them can lead all the way but also cover the angles with one I think will stay on at the finish.

Economic Crisis 16/1 2nd -1pt 
Blazing Hot 18/1 4th -1pt 
Major Pusey 12/1 8th -1pt 

Total on the day -1.25pts

Tuesday, 1 June 2021

2:05 Nottingham Racing Tips (2nd June)

NOTTINGHAM 2.05 

This race isn't one to be getting too heavily involved in with over half the field being lightly raced types, I cannot find anything worthwhile to lay, Rainbow Mirage 6/1 who is usually held up for a late run but with no known front runner in the race it might not be run to suit this horse, I will be having a wager on LETHAL ANGEL 9/1 who recorded a time at Yarmouth in 2020 which would see it winning a shade cosily and the jockey is 1-1 on its only previous ride for today's stable which I hope is a positive to connections expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Lethal Angel 9/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt  


AYR 3.55 

In this 8 runner dash I can see 3 natural front running types and another that could lead if needs be as those 3 probable pacesetters, Requiems Dream, Suwaan and Indian Pursuit as they all have a negative against their name, the first two not being in good form in their recent runs and the other one may need further on good to firm ground, if TANASOQ 13/2 gets to the front from stall 2 it could be hard to catch and starts off as my top rated being 4lbs clear of my 2nd top rated but as ECONOMIC CRISIS 5/2 is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice and that moves it to top spot by 1lb so with it being so close between them i will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Economic Crisis 11/2 2nd -1pt 
Tanasoq 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

RIPON 7.30 

I'm hoping the ground will have dried out for this meeting so please check before you have any bets, its not a race where I can see anything worth laying which shows how competitive this race is, the early pace will be set by either Bossipop 4/1 in stall 1 or Marks Choice 13/2 in stall 6 with the latter being my 3rd top rated it should be a true run affair, Gunmetal 9/1 is the horse sitting in 2nd top spot but I don't think this one wants really fast good to firm ground so it could be ideal for it but i will be backing TREACHEROUS 13/2 who recorded its best time at Goodwood in 2020 and a repeat of that time would be good to get back to winning ways here and it has won 3 of its 6 races over this distance. 

Treacherous 13/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

RIPON 9.00 

I will look to lay the bottom weight Lucky Beggar 3/1 who won last time out but that was in a class 6 race and seems to struggle in class 5 races like this one but knowing its in tip top form is always a positive but it is forecast to be favourite so no value in my thinking, any others that i think can be lay bets are I think going to be big prices, the 2 at the top of the handicap James Watt 9/1 and East Street Review 6/1 could both go well if they can reproduce their best times from 2019 but both of them haven't been near those heights since that year so I will be siding with HARROGATE 5/2 who is the only known front running type in the race and if it does lead it could prove hard to catch.

Saturday, 1 May 2021

2:10 Hamilton Racing Tips (2nd May)

HAMILTON 2.10 

A 7 runner race with no known front runner so it might not be run to suit Sound Of Iona my 4th top rated and Ventura Flame who are both hold up types and if there's a relatively slow early pace then the leaders could keep enough in reserve to repel any late challengers, Amazing Alba might not want the going to be too fast which is the same for Soul Seeker and this might also be better over further, Meccas Hot Steps has been placed in 8 of its 13 runs but time wise hasn't shown enough to register on my figures even on good to firm ground, and it looks like a weak finisher, Pavers Pride hasn't shown much time wise since 2018 which doesn't bode well, that all leaves me with ECONOMIC CRISIS 20/1 who is a 8 times a c/d winner plus it has a positive jockey booking who has a 26% win ratio on the stables older horses, there's not enough runners for 3 places so not worth doing each way. 

Economic Crisis 33/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

HAMILTON 5.25 

Only 6 runners in this race but luckily there is one known front runner in the field, Rain Cap will be the outsider of the field and hasn't shown much and might need some cut in the ground to show its worth, Tanasoq might set the pace but I had to go back to 2017 to find a recorded time for this runner and might be worth a lay if of value, Kilconquhar might be better over further and comes out in 4th top spot, Yukon Mission is good enough for 3rd top spot and I believe its capable of improving on its best so could go well and its only 1lb below Pearl Of Qatar my 2nd top rated who I expect will be the favourite after winning last time out, my top rated on a time from Newmarket last year is FIRMDECISIONS 16/1 and it has an even better time from 2019, I have to admit it hasn't shown much in its latest runs, it had its first run since last October just over a week ago and if that's got it primed for this race it could track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the business end of the race and again there's only 2 places up for grabs so there's no value in going with an each way bet.

Firmdecision 16/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

Saturday, 5 September 2020

2:00 York Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th September)


YORK 2.00 

A nice looking Listed race, the going is given as good but PLEASE check before betting, I would look to lay (Judicial 9/2 as it may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace which i expect here) of the front runners I think Mum's Tipple 14/1 may do best and could do enough to make the frame, Major Jumbo and Galadriel are the other two that have been known to lead before, my 2nd top rated is Aristocratic Lady who can be held up at the back or run in the middle of the pack and could stay on for a place but my money will be riding on the 3yo STARMAN 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey has a 21% win ratio for this stable. 

Starman 4/1 1st (+4pts) Betfair (6.2pts)

Lay bets: Judicial +1pt

Total: +5pts

MUSSELBURGH 2.55

I think this race could be won from the front and it looks set to be a fast and furious affair, I will look to lay (Indian Pursuit 9/2 + Amazing Alba 7/2 + Gorgeous Gobolina 5/1) as all 3 might need further to show their best form, if I go back to 2018 Bashiba would have every chance of winning this race but seems to be on a downward spiral at the age of nine, Henley is another that would do well on 2018 times but again going downhill aged eight and I would lay this one if in a single figures price, the same applies again to Lydiate Lady aged eight, the 3yo Maybelline 25/1 could go well and maybe worth an each way punt but I'm not confident enough to put it forward as such, my money will be riding on THE DEFIANT 9/2 who is a front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.

The Defiant 9/2 Unp (-1pts)

Lay bets: Amazing Alba (Betfair -7.6pts), Indian Pursuit +1pt, Gorgeous Gobolina +1pt 

Total: -5.6pts

MUSSELBURGH 3.30

I was going to leave this race alone until something caught my eye, the one I will be having a small bet on doesn't want fast ground so good going should be ideal but it was the price that swayed me to take the risk so I will have a small each way wager on ECONOMIC CRISIS 22/1 (EW) although the jockeys 0-18 record for the stable is off-putting.

Economic Crisis 22/1 2nd (+4.5pts) 

Total: +4.5pts

Total +3.9pts