7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th February)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A strange race where I have got negatives against 6 of the 8 runners but only 2 I would look to lay (Pink Flamingo + Peggie Sue) Mythical Spirit has good trainer/jockey stats but hasnt showed much in just 2 runs in 2019 and 2020, Kaths Lustre won last time out but is raised in class here and would need to improve further to win this race if others run to their best, I will be backing 2 runners in this race firstly its WITH CAUTION 16/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race and if allowed to dictate from the front could prove hard to catch and it does have good trainer/jockey stats to make me think they are expecting a big run and at the price, there is no way I can let it run without some money on it and could be a nice each way bet as long as all 8 runners take part but secondly if FANTASTIC FLYER 3/1 who won last time out runs to its best repeats its fastest c/d time it could follow up in this race and the stable does have decent trainer/jockey stats with their older horses. 

Fantastic Flyer 3/1 1st 
With Caution 25/1 unp 

Lay bets: Pink Flamingo (+1pt) Peggies Sue (+1pt) 

Total +4pts 

CHELMSFORD 7.30

I thought the first sprint was a strange race this one is twice as bad, I can find a couple I would look to lay, (*Gunmaker 13/2 + Upavon 7/1) GRIGGY 11/4 has been in good form lately so cannot be discarded lightly, usually stall 9 would be enough to put me off the chances of AQUARIUS 12/1 but it is the only known frontrunning type in the race although BERNIES BOY 11/1 in stall 8 is a versatile type with its racing tactics and that does include leading but usually, it's only if nothing else wants to set the pace, this is only a class 6 race but MAID MILLIE 7/2 who won last time out was racing in a class 7 affair and not guaranteed to be as good now its back up in class. I think the winner will come from the 4 mentioned and maybe I will be able to dutch the 4 of them but maybe the best way forward is to win the race by just doing the lays.

Griggy 11/4 1st + Tri £76.73
Maid Millie 7/2 2nd 
Bernies Boy 11/1 3rd 
Aquarius 16/1 5th

Lay bets Upavon (+1pt) 

Total +0.75pts

Total on Day +4.75pts

6:05 Newcastle Racing Tips (8th November)

As you may have realised I haven't been posting for the last 2 or 3 days because I've had no internet connection, thanks to Talk Talk, I am now rushing around to try and catch up on results, speed figures etc so tonights blog will be short of the usual depth but all the essentials will be covered. 

NEWCASTLE 6.05

There's not a lot to write about in this race and its not a race to be betting too heavily in, the favourite is Astro Jakk who won at Southwell and being a 3 year old could still improve and it would need to win this race on a different surface,Paddy Power is capable of going well if in the right mood but hasn't shown much since the early part of this year, EPEIUS 10/1 is well weighted on its best form and it is my top rated and the trainer has a decent strike-rate at this course, my 2nd top-rated is MAGICAL SPIRIT 11/2 this 3-year-old is a front running sort and could still be able to improve from its win last time out so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Magical Spirit 6/1 2nd 
Epeius 16/1 3rd   

NEWCASTLE 7.35 

I would leave this race well alone, those that do have a recorded speed figure are at the lower end of the scale and there's quite a few 3-year-olds and other lightly raced sorts and there's not enough data to form a confident solution 

CHELMSFORD 7.55 

My top 4 ratings in this race are closely rated and they all have good trainer and/or jockey stats so I will go with dutching, DREAMBOAT ANNIE 25/1 and PEARL SPECTRE 8/1 who are both front running types but not ideally drawn in stalls 9 and 10,the latter is my overall top rated but only by 1lb, the 3rd selection is BROUGHTON EXCELS who is 2nd top-rated on this years times and 4th top-rated overall and has the ideal draw in stall one to get a good early prominent position from which to attack late on, another that should be staying on is the 3 year old AQUARIUS 8/1. 

Broughton Excels 6/4 2nd 
Pearl Spectre 12/1 4th
Dreamboat Annie 25/1 6th  
Aquarius 25/1 9th  

NEWCASTLE 8.05

There isn't a lot of known early speed sorts in this race but The Grey Zebedee could take up the pacesetters role but I doubt it can hang on to lead all the way as its outside my top 3 ratings, the early favourite is Jeffrey Harris 5/2, it did win last time out but over 6 furlongs and may get found out for early speed dropped down to 5 furlongs here so I would look to lay it just because it looks poor value in my eyes, I've co-3rd top-rated horses in Mable Lee from a time in 2018, Gleaming Arch and Kibaar, so they could all be battling to make the frame, Extrasolar maybe on the decline with age but a time from 2018 would see it winning cosily here but its recent form has been quite poor, I will be having a small bet on GUARDIA SVIZZERA 9/1 who is, of course, my top rated but its still a maiden on the AW after 11 runs and its 19 races since it last won but the jockey does quite well for this trainer at this course.

Guardia Svizzer 9/1 7th