11:50 Southwell Racing Tips (17th December)

SOUTHWELL 11.50 

There is four amongst this field of eleven that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run affair, I will look to lay both Tropics 8/1 and The Bell Conductor 7/1 as I think both of them are better on the other All-Weather surface, there are others but I expect they will not be of value to lay, Outrage has been known to lead and could run a decent race if at its best but the trainers 0-5 record at this course and the jockeys 0-9 for the stable puts me off its chances, Charming Kid is another possible pacesetter but the trainer hasn't had a winner in over a month which puts me off this one, as for finding the winner I will be back two horses, one that could set the pace or at least be near the front from the off and one that comes from off the pace, if SECRETINTHEPARK 9/2 does get to the front on this five furlong straight course it could prove hard to catch while my other horse GIOGIOBBO 7/2 who has already won on the new surface here likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly in the closing stages and may have been found a decent opportunity to follow in this race but as usual I prefer to cover the angles as its sometimes hard to know which tactics will win the race. 

Secretinthepark 11/2 7th -1pt

Giogobbo 4/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets The Bell Conductor -6pts

Total -8pts    

KEMPTON 7.45 

Of the twelve runners in this race seven of them are three year olds who could still have some improvement to come but I am hoping its not in this race, I have a few marked down as possible lays but maybe only Coolagh Magic 6/1 will be of any value to lay, I think this horse will be much better when racing over a longer distance, there is a couple of known front running types and one of them Julie Johnston is my 4th top rated so could go well from a prominent position, Griggy may need to be held up here if its to have a chance of winning as it seems a better horse over a shorter distance but still comes out 3rd best on my speed figures, Lesha comes out in 2nd top spot but this ones best time comes from Chelmsford while its best over this course and distance isn't good enough to register on my figures so I'm not really sure what to expect but it could run well but my money will be riding on the other horse that's been known to lead before and if BARRINGTON 11/2 gets to the front from stall 2 it could gain control of the rails and then prove hard to catch.

Barrington 15/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Coolagh Magic +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day  -8pts

All lay bets must be single figure odds at sp else do not qualify

7:30 Kempton Racing Tips (29th October)

KEMPTON 7.30 

On paper a really nice looking class two eight runner sprint but its a bloody hard race to analyse, there is three known front running types in the race so there should be a fast early pace but one of them Enduring may not be fast enough to get in front in this race as I have Fivethousandtoone 11/2 as my joint 2nd top rated but that is using a time recorded on the turf at Newbury so I'm not sure what to expect here but it is a 3yo so could be improving and it does have good trainer/jockey stats, I will be looking to lay Mishal Star 7/1 if its a single figure price as it was a slow run affairs when it won and finished 3rd over this course and distance and may have been flattered but it is a 3yo and another that could improve but hopefully not here, Gellhorn hasn't any form on English AW tracks and only ran once on it in Ireland but its best time on turf at Newmarket would make it my top rated but you would be backing it a little hopefully so i will go with the other joint 2nd top rated who is CORINTHIA KNIGHT 6/1 who did record its best time on this surface at Chelmsford and its best time over this course and distance was the top rating just for this course and distance and this one also has good trainer/jockey stats and I am hoping it can lead all the way and looks the value call in the race. 

Corinthia Knight 18/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt  

KEMPTON 8.00 

This race looks poor even for a class 6 affair and any stakes will be kept to a minimum and to be honest I very nearly left the race alone, I know Seeking Perfection is a front running type so there should be a decent early pace which will help the chances of the one I will be backing who seems to like a fast pace to aim at and that is BARRINGTON 9/1 (EW) who finished 3rd five runs ago over this distance at Lingfield in a class 5 race so this is a step down in class and it also has a time over this course and distance from 2020 which is also very competitive for this class of race, its last four runs have either been on turf or over a longer distance so they can be ignored and the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim will help its cause, the trainer is in good form winning 8 races from 39 runners in the last 2 weeks but its record of this horse is no wins but six placed efforts from its 22 runs on an artificial surface which doesn't inspire confidence but it could be a decent each way punt and it has won twice on turf so its not that the horse isn't genuine and maybe today it will break its AW duck.

Barrington 10/1 2nd +1.5pts

Total on the day +0.5pts

1:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (25th January)

CHELMSFORD 1.10 

Not the greatest of races with 2 known front running types among them, Kupa River is my 3rd top rated and one of the possible pacesetters so could make the frame, SIR HECTOR 8/1 is my 2nd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and I will be backing this one just in case the leaders fade in they battle all the way for the lead but maybe more as a covering bet, I hope that BARRINGTON 5/1 from stall 2 can gain control of the rails and could feasibly lead all the way for the victory that is if it can reproduce its best Lingfield time at this course but hasn't ran over this c/d before so its not guaranteed hence why I will be going with 2 bets in this race. 

Sir Hector 8/1 2nd (-1pt)

Barrington 5/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

KEMPTON 4.45 Div I 

This isn't the greatest of races either with only 5 of them recording a rating on my speed figures. At least there is a couple of front running sorts and I this race could well be won from the front. Aces would be 2nd top rated overall using its best time from Wolverhampton this year but I have a feeling this surface won't suit it as well and its sole run here resulted in a slow time so maybe worth laying at the price. Fard who comes out 4th best also may prefer a different surface to show its best form. Poeta Brasileiro has a time from Chelmsford that makes it my top rated overall but the time when it won over this c/d was in a slow run race and if allowed an easy uncontested lead then it could do so again but that win was from 2018 but I don't think it will be getting an easy lead with Kingsley Klarion 7/2 in the race and this one looked the safest option in the race as the jockey has a decent 17% in rate on this stables older horses but its time last time out when finishing 2nd plus I had to go back to 2018 for its best time and after seeing the betting I will be taking a watching brief in this race. 

KEMPTON 5.15 Div II

This 2nd division does look a bit better but still not great but I have found a nugget that I hope isn't fools gold, the biggest problem is the lack of early pace but I suspect something will set a decent gallop.Jeffrey Harris hasn't any course form but its time from Newcastle makes it my 4th best overall. Secret Potion is usually held up for a late run and comes out 3rd top on a c/d time but it was from 2019. Comeatchoo is well handicapped at the moment but I'm not sure this race will be an ideal opportunity as it can sometimes struggle to stay the distance but if they set a slow early pace it could go well but I will be trusting URBAN HIGHWAY 18/1 (EW) with my money it can be held up or track the leaders and the 5lb claiming apprentice has a 20% win ratio on this stables older horses and looks worth the punt at the price and I would suggest a small each way wager.1:10 

Urban Highway 25/1 EW 5th (-2pts) 

Total - 2pts

Total on the day: -4pts