4:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips & Lay Bets

CHELMSFORD 4.00 

This 9 runner race can be split into 2 groups 4 lays, (Our Man In Havana + Lyons Lane + Murqaab + Chillon Castle) Swell Song is still a maiden after 11 races but might improve on its 1st run over this c/d, Seneca Castle won over this c/d in 2017 in a slow run affair and its win the last timeout at Wolverhampton looked impressive but the time was relatively slow so would need to improve again to win this race but could go well beings we know it's in good form, I expect it to be the favourite and will not represent value in my eyes, TERRI RULES 7/1 hasnt run over this c/d before but its best time from Lingfield would make it my 2nd top rated behind BERNIE'S BOY 6/1 who also recorded its best time at Lingfield but also has the top speed figure over this c/d for this year but that c/d time is only 1lb higher than MONARCH MAID 12/1 (EW) and this one is the only one known to be a frontrunner in the field so if allowed to dictate could prove hard to beat and has been done as an each-way punt. 

Monarch Maid 14/1 EW 3rd +3.66pts

Bernie's Boy 6/1 4th (-1pt)

Terri Rules 14/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Our Man In Havana +1pts, Lyons Lane +1pt, Murqaab +1pt, Chillon Castle +1pt)

Total: +5.66pts

CHELMSFORD 5.10

The topweight Who Told Jo Jo has won and finished 3rd on its last 2 runs but it's still a maiden on the AW after 15 attempts, enough to put me off but it could possibly make the frame, I will be laying 4 in this race, (Wiff Waff + Mansfield + Delegate The Lady + Te Amo Te Amo) ive found 2 possible pacesetters and both have some chance of winning the race, POPPY MAY 11/2 is in stall 2 and if reproducing its best time from 2018 would be 2nd top on my figure, DREAMBOAT ANNIE 16/1 also recorded its best time in 2018 and despite being known to lead it does sometimes struggle to stay the trip if theres a fast early pace but if allowed to set its own pace then it would have every chance, Tawaafoq has one got one time to its name in 2018 that would just make it my top rated but that time is looking very much a fluke, one that could win if the leaders fade is DEEDS NOT WORDS 11/2 who recorded its best time earlier this year and the apprentices 5lb claim could swing things in its favour.

Poppy May 11/2 3rd (-1pt)

Dreamboat Annie 18/1 7th (-1pt)

Deeds Not Words 12/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Delegate The Lady -20pts, Wiff Waff +1pt, Mansfield +1pt, Te Amo Te Amo +1pt

Total: -20pts 

Total on the day: -14.44pts

1:40 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (24th January)

LINGFIELD 1.40 

This 1st division isn't a bad race for a class 6 affair with 10 runners and 3 known front-running types while half the field appear to have very little hope of winning this race, so I will lay (> Falcao, Strachant, Burauq, Tawaafoq and *Cool Strutter <) Dreamboat Annie has a time from Chelmsford that would make it competitive but the jockey booking doesn't look a positive move, Englishman also has a Chelmsford time that would put it in the mix and this one could be the biggest danger to my selection, Tarseekh and Disruptor are 3rd and 2nd top-rated on just 2019/20 c/d times, *CHOCCO STAR 7/4 who won last time out over this c/d and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here and will be the one I will be backing. 

*NR
Lay bets: Falcao (+1pt) Strachant (+1pt) Burauq (+1pt) 

Total +3pts 

LINGFIELD 2.15 

This 2nd division is a lot poorer and there's only 4 horses with recorded times on my figures, leaving 6 I will look to lay for varying reasons, (> Sir Hector, Brogans Bay, Jonnysimpson, *Yfenni, Invisible Storm and Stopdworldanletmeof <) Bernies Boy is 4th top-rated but a losing run of 24 shows what form its been in winning wise but could make the frame, Illustrious Spirit is still a maiden after 12 runs but could make the frame but isn't ideally drawn with early types on both sides of it in the stalls, Mercers starts off as my top rated but the I'm not convinced the jockey booking is a positive move but never say never, the horse I will be backing is DEEDS NOT WORDS 13/8 who has won its last 2 races and has been found a race to complete the hattrick but I think having covering bets on Mercers and Illustrious Spirit might be best. 

*NR
Deeds Not Words 13/8 3rd 
Lay bets: Sir Hector (- 1.875pts) Brogan's Bay (+1pt) Jonnysimpson (+1pt) Invisible Storm (+1pt) Stopwprldanletmeof (+1pt)

Total +1.125pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15 

The 3rd sprint of the day and again a class 6 affair but not a bad race with plenty of times to work with, I've got (Dazacam,Swissal, and Black Isle Boy) marked down as definite lays but I could well add, (At Your Service, Guardia Svizzera, Rego Park Lady) to the list, Griggy my 4th top rated may find this trip too far if the early pace is as fast as quite well could be in this race, MAN OF THE SEA 6/1 ran on very well over 5 furlongs in a fast time when finishing 3rd last time out so this 6th furlong may suit it better, MIRACLE GARDEN 16/1 is well weighted on its best times and can spring back to form without warning, *KLOPP 10/3 has been in good form lately with 3 places and a win from its last 4 runs and I expect it to go well again here, AQUARIUS 15/2 is my 2nd top rated and the one I expect to set the pace and if getting things right from the front could prove hard to catch for most of these, I will be backing all 4 horses highlighted in this race to hopefully show a profit.

* NR
Miracle Garden 25/1 7th 
Man Of The Sea 6/1 Unp
Lay bets: Dazacam (+1pt) Swissal (+1pt) Black Isle Boy (+1pt)

Total +1pt 

Total on Day + 5.125pts

3:25 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (18th January)

LINGFIELD 3.25

There's 3 horses that could set the pace but Awsaaf in stall 2 would like to lead and then set its own slowish pace but hopefully, that won't happen here and I would look to have a small lay on this one, another that I would also lay to a small stake is George Thomas, Sandridge Lad from stall 5 and Lalania in stall 9 are the other 2 frontrunners and both in my top 5 ratings and could easily make the frame, Alicia Darcy is 2nd top on just 2019/20 c/d times but will need some luck from stall 10, my money will be riding on HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 5/1 who likes to track the leaders and from stall 4 could get a good tow into the race.

Win bet: Highland Acclaim 8/1 6th   
Lay: Awsaaf 9th (+1pt) George Thomas Unp (+1pt) 

Total = +1pt

LINGFIELD 3.50

This is a poor race and two that are forecast to be the 1st two in the betting, Dreamboat Annie who could lead all the way here but is on a losing streak of 20 races and Chocco Star who ran on well over 5 furlongs in a fast run race looks the main danger, Our Man In Havana, Porto Ferro and Pharoh Jake have the odd piece of form that could see them make the frame but maybe these conditions are not quite right for them, it's probably a race best left alone. 

CHELMSFORD 4.45

The topweight DEEDS NOT WORDS 3/1 won well last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here but in all honesty, this race being class 7 will not take much winning and being an apprentice jockeys race where they cannot use their whips adds more negatives to the race so my stake won't be at full strength, maybe the best way to make a profit in this race is with laying, Ask The Guru, Alaskan Bay, Grandee Daisy, and Miss Gradenko even with these lays my stakes will be again kept fairly low. 

Win bet: Deeds Not Words 3/1 1st 
Lay: Ask The Guru (+1pt) Alaskan Bay (+1pt) Grandee Daisy (+1pt) Miss Gradenko (+1pt)

Total = +7pts 

CHELMSFORD 6.15 

This class 3 sprint should be the best race of the day but the big problem is the lack of known pace setting types in the race, the bottom 5 in the handicap are all usually held up for a late run and 3 of my top 5 are in the top 4 in the handicap, there's a few in this race which I will look to lay, Red Alert, Concierge, Savalas, and Calder Prince, El Hombre and Katheefa could do enough to make the frame if reproducing their best times, my top rated on just 2019/20 c/d times is STORM OVER 4/1 who will be coming with a late run and will be carrying some of my money along with LANCELOT DU LAC 8/1 who is coming out of stall one and has been known to lead before and if deploying those tactics here it could pay dividends, its best time from 2018 puts it top-rated overall and this is a drop in class for it.

Win bets: Storm Over 4/1 1st, Lancelot Du Lac 8/1 4th
Lay bets: Red Alert (+1pt) Concierge (+1pt) Savalas (NR) Calder Prince (+1pt) 

Total = + 6pts

Total On Day +18.45pts